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Zalgiris Kaunas 2 vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 85-72
23-17 27-16 25-21 10-18
Position#10
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Position#12
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game83.8
LithuaniaNKL· Kaunas
Other2023-24
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Neptunas 2
01 Dec 2026
ZALG v NEPT
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
ZALG75
NEPT79
28 Mar 2026
ZALG72
NEPT78
18 Oct 2025
ZALG87
NEPT75
26 Oct 2024
ZALG84
NEPT73
21 Oct 2023
ZALG85
NEPT72
05 Jan 2023
ZALG78
NEPT58
25 Nov 2021
ZALG74
NEPT64
29 Oct 2020
ZALG92
NEPT78
19 Mar 2020
ZALG v NEPT
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
ZALG93
NEPT80
08 Dec 2018
ZALG78
NEPT81
09 Dec 2017
ZALG74
NEPT64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Silute
#6
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
H30/03
NKL
Silute
#6
W
68-61
68
61
+7
no box
A02/04
NKL
Silute
#6
W
83-65
83
65
+18
no box
H06/04
NKL
Telsiai
#3
W
79-71
79
71
+8
no box
A21/04
NKL
Mazeikiai
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
no box
A22/04
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
72-55
72
55
+17
71avg 66
H05/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
52avg 66
A07/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
72avg 66
H09/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
70-79
70
79
-9
66avg 66
A12/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
72-75
72
75
-3
69avg 66
H14/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
26-17
22-18
23-17
14-12
17-19
22-16
15-14
24-24
22-20
24-13
13-8
19-21
7-15
29-17
24-18
22-19
10-20
13-13
24-13
19-20
14-5
18-22
21-8
19-22
20-23
15-18
18-24
18-18
16-23
17-19
22-22
22-23
18-22
17-18
13-16
20-20
23-22
17-17
12-16
146.1Avg total
75.2Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.875.6147.4-3.820%
Season at home (3)72.370.7143.0+1.733%
Season away (2)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)75.270.9146.1+4.360%
Last 5 (5)71.875.6147.4-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.676.0146.6-5.420%
vs Similar (7)76.472.9149.3+3.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)73.767.3141.0+6.467%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#7
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
no box
H23/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
71-95
71
95
-24
no box
A02/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H04/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
92-77
92
77
+15
no box
H09/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
A11/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
82-90
82
90
-8
79avg 72
H07/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
71-94
71
94
-23
64avg 72
A10/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
87-89
87
89
-2
84avg 72
H12/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 72
A14/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
67avg 72
H19/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
16-14
25-25
17-9
22-33
15-25
16-23
18-14
24-16
14-25
13-22
23-20
24-23
29-16
21-20
18-18
27-18
23-25
16-18
11-25
23-19
20-32
17-23
22-16
15-25
17-20
22-23
17-26
21-21
24-19
25-26
17-23
18-17
17-23
16-21
24-18
22-10
10-19
15-24
25-14
164.0Avg total
79.1Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.483.8161.2-6.420%
Season at home (3)80.382.0162.3-1.733%
Season away (2)73.086.5159.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)79.184.9164.0-5.830%
Last 5 (5)77.483.8161.2-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)73.182.4155.5-9.329%
vs Similar (2)81.084.0165.0-3.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Neptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#6
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H30/03
NKL
Silute
#6
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A02/04
NKL
Silute
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/04
NKL
Telsiai
#3
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/04
NKL
Mazeikiai
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A22/04
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H05/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A07/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H09/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A12/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/10
NKL
75.5Avg total
37.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.735.972.7+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.435.173.5+3.264%-
Last 30 away (16)35.336.671.9-1.338%-
Last 10 (10)37.338.275.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.677.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.237.073.2-0.840%-
vs Similar (7)37.637.475.0+0.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)36.635.171.6+1.550%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#7
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H23/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A02/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H04/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H09/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A11/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H07/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A10/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H12/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A14/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H19/10
NKL
82.3Avg total
39.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.841.778.5-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.440.278.6-1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)35.043.578.5-8.521%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.682.3-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.078.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)36.641.978.4-5.332%-
vs Similar (2)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.820.2
48.3%
51.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.46.6
35.9%
33.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.211.2
61.5%
70.3%11.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.023.4
58.5%
51.9%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.65.6
28.6%
33.3%16.8
🏀 Free throws17.413.4
77.0%
70.3%13.4
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LLLLWWWWWW
Neptunas 2
WLLLLLWLLW
#10
League position
#12
-5.2
Net rating
-7.6
96.8
Offensive rating
104.1
102.0
Defensive rating
111.7
50.0%
Effective FG%
53.4%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
27.3%
Turnover %
22.8%
39.8%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.9%
3-point %
28.6%
56.0%
Assist %
52.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 104.1Defence102.0 · 111.7Shooting50.0% · 53.4%3-point %35.9% · 28.6%Ball care27.3% · 22.8%Off. rebounds39.8% · 31.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
3
Neptunas 2 wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HJurbarkas72-75
12/10/23ADelikatesas Joniskis70-79
09/10/23HSuduva-Mantinga73-82
07/10/23ABC Olimpas Palanga72-87
05/10/23HRytas 272-55
22/04/23AMazeikiai69-65
21/04/23ATelsiai79-71
06/04/23HSilute83-65
02/04/23ASilute68-61
30/03/23HSilute94-69
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/23HUkmerges Stekas72-67
14/10/23ASilute75-79
12/10/23HVilkaviskis87-89
10/10/23ASuduva-Mantinga71-94
07/10/23HJurbarkas82-90
11/03/23ADelikatesas Joniskis77-86
09/03/23HKretinga92-77
04/03/23HRytas 274-83
02/03/23AVilkaviskis71-95
23/02/23HUkmerges Stekas90-89 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game71.872.371.0
Allowed / game75.670.783.0
Point differential-3.8+1.7-12.0
Avg total147.4143.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game77.480.373.0
Allowed / game83.882.086.5
Point differential-6.4-1.7-13.5
Avg total161.2162.3159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga440100%88.071.8+16.2
2 Telsiai440100%88.576.0+12.5
3 BC Olimpas Palanga54180%85.075.6+9.4
4 Vilkaviskis54180%80.672.4+8.2
5 Jurbarkas54180%79.076.0+3.0
6 Delikatesas Joniskis43175%79.882.5-2.8
7 Kretinga52340%80.280.6-0.4
8 Kauno Atletas52340%79.681.4-1.8
9 Silute52340%76.482.2-5.8
10 Ukmerges Stekas52340%72.679.8-7.2
11 Zalgiris Kaunas 251420%71.875.6-3.8
12 Neptunas 251420%77.483.8-6.4
13 Vytis VDU4040%78.582.8-4.2
14 Rytas 25050%72.284.8-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas 22327251085
Neptunas 21716211872
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