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Neptunas 2 vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 72-67
22-10 10-19 15-24 25-14
Position#12
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#5
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game81.8
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas
16 Jan 2027
NEPT v UKME
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
NEPT77
UKME70
13 Dec 2025
NEPT92
UKME93
12 Oct 2024
NEPT85
UKME67
24 Feb 2024
NEPT78
UKME75
19 Oct 2023
NEPT72
UKME67
23 Feb 2023
NEPT90
UKME89
14 Jan 2023
NEPT53
UKME62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Palangos Kursiai
#12
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H18/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#7
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
no box
H23/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
71-95
71
95
-24
no box
A02/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H04/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
92-77
92
77
+15
no box
H09/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
A11/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
82-90
82
90
-8
79avg 73
H07/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
71-94
71
94
-23
64avg 73
A10/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
87-89
87
89
-2
84avg 73
H12/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 73
A14/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
9-26
27-16
23-18
16-26
16-14
25-25
17-9
22-33
15-25
16-23
18-14
24-16
14-25
13-22
23-20
24-23
29-16
21-20
18-18
27-18
23-25
16-18
11-25
23-19
20-32
17-23
22-16
15-25
17-20
22-23
17-26
21-21
24-19
25-26
17-23
18-17
17-23
16-21
24-18
165.8Avg total
79.3Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.888.0166.8-9.20%
Season at home (2)84.589.5174.0-5.00%
Season away (2)73.086.5159.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)79.386.5165.8-7.220%
Last 5 (5)78.487.6166.0-9.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)73.882.9156.6-9.129%
vs Similar (2)81.084.0165.0-3.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
H04/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
90-63
90
63
+27
no box
A11/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
no box
H16/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
A18/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
101-84
101
84
+17
no box
H21/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
85-92
85
92
-7
no box
A23/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
60-88
60
88
-28
47avg 65
A05/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
95-86
95
86
+9
89avg 65
A07/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
73-70
73
70
+3
70avg 65
A12/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
68-83
68
83
-15
55avg 65
A14/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
13-15
20-30
34-14
26-22
19-10
20-19
25-12
26-20
18-13
22-25
13-26
26-25
23-25
18-24
19-20
28-21
24-19
29-21
20-23
18-22
23-17
28-25
16-28
12-32
15-20
18-15
15-21
22-25
24-18
30-22
19-21
20-8
18-16
21-14
14-32
19-25
20-15
15-21
14-22
165.3Avg total
82.5Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.081.8155.8-7.850%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)74.081.8155.8-7.850%
Last 10 (10)82.582.8165.3-0.350%
Last 5 (5)76.283.8160.0-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.779.3152.0-6.70%
vs Similar (7)74.381.4155.7-7.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.178.3164.4+7.860%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.0-3.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.0-3.0
Neptunas 2Ukmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palangos Kursiai
#12
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H18/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#7
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H23/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A02/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H04/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H09/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A11/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H07/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A10/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H12/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A14/10
NKL
83.5Avg total
38.9Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.241.979.2-4.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.840.979.7-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)35.742.978.6-7.327%-
Last 10 (10)38.944.683.5-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.884.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)37.042.179.1-5.032%-
vs Similar (2)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H04/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A11/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H16/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A18/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H21/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A23/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A05/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A07/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A12/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/10
NKL
80.8Avg total
41.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.079.0+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.337.581.9+6.880%-
Last 30 away (15)37.738.476.1-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.380.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.677.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.338.777.0-0.333%-
vs Similar (7)34.038.172.1-4.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.937.881.7+6.180%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.5 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.223.8
60.5%
51.9%47.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.55.5
29.7%
33.3%16.5
🏀 Free throws18.514.2
77.0%
70.3%14.2
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.5
50.3%
51.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.0
28.3%
33.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.013.0
68.4%
70.3%13.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
LLLLLWLLWL
Ukmerges Stekas
LWWLLWLLWW
#12
League position
#5
-11.8
Net rating
-11.7
105.2
Offensive rating
97.9
117.0
Defensive rating
109.6
55.4%
Effective FG%
47.2%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
23.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.7%
3-point %
28.3%
52.1%
Assist %
67.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 97.9Defence117.0 · 109.6Shooting55.4% · 47.2%3-point %29.7% · 28.3%Ball care23.0% · 17.0%Off. rebounds28.3% · 25.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas 2 wins
3
Ukmerges Stekas wins
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23ASilute75-79
12/10/23HVilkaviskis87-89
10/10/23ASuduva-Mantinga71-94
07/10/23HJurbarkas82-90
11/03/23ADelikatesas Joniskis77-86
09/03/23HKretinga92-77
04/03/23HRytas 274-83
02/03/23AVilkaviskis71-95
23/02/23HUkmerges Stekas90-89 OT
18/02/23HPalangos Kursiai74-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23ASuduva-Mantinga68-83
12/10/23AJurbarkas73-70
07/10/23ARytas 295-86
05/10/23AVilkaviskis60-88
23/03/23ARytas 285-92
21/03/23HRytas 2101-84
18/03/23ARytas 286-94
16/03/23HRytas 279-84
11/03/23AKretinga90-63
04/03/23HVilkaviskis88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.884.573.0
Allowed / game88.089.586.5
Point differential-9.2-5.0-13.5
Avg total166.8174.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
Home--
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %50%-50%
Points / game74.0-74.0
Allowed / game81.8-81.8
Point differential-7.8--7.8
Avg total155.8-155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga440100%88.071.8+16.2
2 Delikatesas Joniskis330100%82.774.3+8.3
3 Telsiai330100%82.377.7+4.7
4 Vilkaviskis43175%81.072.0+9.0
5 BC Olimpas Palanga43175%86.278.2+8.0
6 Jurbarkas43175%79.076.8+2.2
7 Kretinga42250%81.881.0+0.8
8 Kauno Atletas42250%78.579.2-0.8
9 Ukmerges Stekas42250%74.081.8-7.8
10 Silute41325%73.081.8-8.8
11 Zalgiris Kaunas 251420%71.875.6-3.8
12 Vytis VDU3030%80.384.0-3.7
13 Neptunas 24040%78.888.0-9.2
14 Rytas 24040%74.086.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 22210152572
Ukmerges Stekas1019241467
← all games of the day
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