Neptunas 2 vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 92-77

24-23 29-16 21-20 18-18

Position#14

Record7-29

FormWLWLL

Points / game70.6

Allowed / game82.9

Neptunas 2 🏆

Kretinga

Position#13

Record13-23

FormLWWLL

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game83.2

NKL

Other2022-23

Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Kretinga

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kretinga winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2 Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ukmerges Stekas

65-102

102

-37

A26/01

NKL

Kretinga

#13

77-85

-8

A02/02

NKL

Delikatesas Joniskis

65-81

-16

H04/02

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#11

68-99

-31

H09/02

NKL

Rytas 2

77-98

-21

A11/02

NKL

Palangos Kursiai

#12

79-68

+11

A16/02

NKL

Palangos Kursiai

#12

74-83

-9

H18/02

NKL

Ukmerges Stekas

90-89 OT

H23/02

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#11

71-95

-24

A02/03

NKL

Rytas 2

74-83

-9

H04/03

NKL

19-26

15-26

19-24

12-26

15-25

18-21

20-20

24-19

18-16

12-19

21-26

14-20

17-25

19-28

19-24

13-22

22-28

23-23

20-26

12-21

15-18

19-18

20-18

25-14

15-23

9-26

27-16

23-18

16-26

16-14

25-25

17-9

22-33

15-25

16-23

18-14

24-16

14-25

13-22

23-20

162.3Avg total

74.0Scored

88.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	70.6	82.9	153.5	-12.3	19%
Season at home (18)	71.2	80.9	152.1	-9.7	22%
Season away (18)	70.0	84.9	154.9	-14.9	17%
Last 10 (10)	74.0	88.3	162.3	-14.3	20%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	83.6	161.2	-6.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	71.5	82.9	154.4	-11.4	23%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kretinga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Palangos Kursiai

#12

79-85

-6

H26/01

NKL

Rytas 2

74-94

-20

A28/01

NKL

Neptunas 2

#14

85-77

H02/02

NKL

Ukmerges Stekas

75-94

-19

A04/02

NKL

Delikatesas Joniskis

75-90

-15

A11/02

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#11

61-93

-32

A16/02

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#11

91-73

+18

H18/02

NKL

Palangos Kursiai

#12

79-66

+13

A23/02

NKL

Rytas 2

79-97

-18

H25/02

NKL

Delikatesas Joniskis

74-89

-15

H04/03

NKL

23-17

17-30

19-15

20-23

16-18

19-24

22-30

17-22

25-15

21-18

20-20

19-24

19-26

18-18

16-27

22-23

12-32

24-19

23-23

16-16

7-16

13-28

25-22

16-27

19-19

23-26

24-18

25-10

22-13

22-17

14-16

21-20

26-24

18-28

22-16

13-29

25-16

13-27

16-24

20-22

163.0Avg total

77.2Scored

85.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	78.8	83.2	162.1	-4.4	36%
Season at home (18)	79.8	86.3	166.2	-6.5	22%
Season away (18)	77.8	80.2	157.9	-2.4	50%
Last 10 (10)	77.2	85.8	163.0	-8.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	83.6	160.4	-6.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	75.1	86.0	161.1	-10.9	27%
vs Similar (13)	80.1	83.8	163.8	-3.7	31%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	83.0	72.0	155.0	+11.0	100%

This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Neptunas 2Kretinga

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	21.4	39.7	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	21.3	39.7	-3.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	21.5	39.7	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	23.6	41.9	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.2	41.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	18.3	21.4	39.7	-3.1	30%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	21.6	41.3	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	20.4	38.9	-2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.3	22.5	40.7	-4.2	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.6	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	23.0	16.5	39.5	+6.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	20.1	37.4	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	19.3	36.8	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	20.8	37.9	-3.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	22.5	38.5	-6.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	21.6	36.2	-7.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	17.3	20.1	37.4	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	22.2	40.5	-4.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	24.8	43.0	-6.6	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	23.5	42.3	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	25.2	43.0	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.3	21.5	38.7	-4.2	20%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.1	23.7	42.8	-4.6	23%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	100%	-

Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ukmerges Stekas

34-52

-18

A26/01

NKL

Kretinga

#13

33-46

-13

A02/02

NKL

Delikatesas Joniskis

30-35

-5

H04/02

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#11

36-53

-17

H09/02

NKL

Rytas 2

45-51

-6

A11/02

NKL

Palangos Kursiai

#12

34-36

-2

A16/02

NKL

Palangos Kursiai

#12

24-49

-25

H18/02

NKL

Ukmerges Stekas

32-40

-8

H23/02

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#11

37-58

-21

A02/03

NKL

Rytas 2

38-41

-3

H04/03

NKL

80.4Avg total

34.3Scored

46.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	41.5	77.0	-5.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.8	40.7	76.5	-4.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	42.3	77.6	-6.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.3	46.1	80.4	-11.8	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	44.8	77.8	-11.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	35.6	41.5	77.0	-5.9	27%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Palangos Kursiai

#12

40-47

-7

H26/01

NKL

Rytas 2

35-42

-7

A28/01

NKL

Neptunas 2

#14

46-33

+13

H02/02

NKL

Ukmerges Stekas

37-44

-7

A04/02

NKL

Delikatesas Joniskis

36-51

-15

A11/02

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#11

20-44

-24

A16/02

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#11

42-45

-3

H18/02

NKL

Palangos Kursiai

#12

44-30

+14

A23/02

NKL

Rytas 2

44-52

-8

H25/02

NKL

Delikatesas Joniskis

38-43

-5

H04/03

NKL

81.3Avg total

38.2Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	43.2	80.5	-5.9	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.9	46.4	84.3	-8.4	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.8	40.4	77.2	-3.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	43.1	81.3	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	42.8	80.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	35.5	43.9	79.5	-8.4	13%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.4	43.6	82.0	-5.2	23%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	43.5	35.0	78.5	+8.5	100%	-

This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.5	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	20.3	38.4	-2.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	21.7	38.4	-4.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.5	17%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	21.1	42.7	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	19.8	39.8	+0.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.1	41.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.6	17.7	33.3	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.3	36.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	15.0	36.2	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	37%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.6	40.5	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.1	27%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.5	20.8	41.2	-0.3	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	20.0	15.0	35.0	+5.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	40.5	75.6	-5.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.7	37.9	71.7	-4.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	43.1	79.6	-6.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	40.7	78.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	35.8	77.2	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	35.1	40.5	75.6	-5.4	27%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	40.9	81.4	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	41.8	83.4	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	40.1	79.6	-0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	42.7	81.7	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	40.8	80.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	39.5	42.1	81.6	-2.5	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	41.7	40.2	81.8	+1.5	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	39.5	37.0	76.5	+2.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Neptunas 2 wins

Kretinga wins

Date	Game	Score
02/02/23	Kretinga v Neptunas 2	85-77
01/12/22	Neptunas 2 v Kretinga	67-81
13/10/22	Kretinga v Neptunas 2	92-59
03/03/22	Neptunas 2 v Kretinga	83-71
10/02/22	Kretinga v Neptunas 2	75-78
06/01/22	Neptunas 2 v Kretinga	65-83
04/11/21	Kretinga v Neptunas 2	71-68

Neptunas 2last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/23	H	Rytas 2	74-83
02/03/23	A	Vilkaviskis	71-95
23/02/23	H	Ukmerges Stekas	90-89 OT
18/02/23	H	Palangos Kursiai	74-83
16/02/23	A	Palangos Kursiai	79-68
11/02/23	A	Rytas 2	77-98
09/02/23	H	Vilkaviskis	68-99
04/02/23	H	Delikatesas Joniskis	65-81
02/02/23	A	Kretinga	77-85
26/01/23	A	Ukmerges Stekas	65-102

Kretingalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/23	H	Delikatesas Joniskis	74-89
25/02/23	H	Rytas 2	79-97
23/02/23	A	Palangos Kursiai	79-66
18/02/23	H	Vilkaviskis	91-73
16/02/23	A	Vilkaviskis	61-93
11/02/23	A	Delikatesas Joniskis	75-90
04/02/23	A	Ukmerges Stekas	75-94
02/02/23	H	Neptunas 2	85-77
28/01/23	A	Rytas 2	74-94
26/01/23	H	Palangos Kursiai	79-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2

NKL 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	19%
Home	LLLWL	22%
Away	LLLWL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	18	18
Win %	19%	22%	17%
Points / game	70.6	71.2	70.0
Allowed / game	82.9	80.9	84.9
Point differential	-12.3	-9.7	-14.9
Avg total	153.5	152.1	154.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	6%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	50% (6)	0% (2)
Overtime %	11%	17%	6%

Kretinga

NKL 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	36%
Home	LWWLL	22%
Away	LLLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	18	18
Win %	36%	22%	50%
Points / game	78.8	79.8	77.8
Allowed / game	83.2	86.3	80.2
Point differential	-4.4	-6.5	-2.4
Avg total	162.1	166.2	157.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	11%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	33% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Suduva-Mantinga	36	30	6	83%	83.4	70.1	+13.3
2	Telsiai	37	28	9	76%	81.6	72.8	+8.9
3	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	36	25	11	69%	75.6	70.5	+5.1
4	Mazeikiai	36	22	14	61%	76.2	75.2	+1.1
5	Vytis VDU	37	21	16	57%	80.2	77.7	+2.6
6	Ukmerges Stekas	37	17	20	46%	79.3	76.8	+2.4
7	Rytas 2	37	17	20	46%	83.0	84.2	-1.2
8	Delikatesas Joniskis	36	16	20	44%	78.9	81.3	-2.4
9	Silute	36	16	20	44%	73.4	78.2	-4.9
10	Vilkaviskis	36	15	21	42%	79.1	80.1	-0.9
11	Kauno Atletas	36	14	22	39%	74.2	77.9	-3.7
12	Palangos Kursiai	36	13	23	36%	75.2	79.1	-3.9
13	Kretinga	36	13	23	36%	78.8	83.2	-4.4
14	Neptunas 2	36	7	29	19%	70.6	82.9	-12.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Neptunas 2	24	29	21	18	92
Kretinga	23	16	20	18	77

← all games of the day

Neptunas 2 vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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