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Neptunas 2 vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 87-89
21-21 24-19 25-26 17-23
Position#12
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game92.0
Neptunas 2
Lithuania
vs
Vilkaviskis 🏆
Lithuania
Position#9
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game66.0
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis
19 Nov 2026
NEPT v VILK
upcoming
09 Oct 2025
NEPT81
VILK82
09 Mar 2025
NEPT80
VILK83
21 Nov 2024
NEPT73
VILK64
12 Oct 2023
NEPT87
VILK89
09 Feb 2023
NEPT68
VILK99
20 Oct 2022
NEPT66
VILK73
11 Dec 2021
NEPT76
VILK79
26 Jan 2021
NEPT88
VILK72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
L
77-98
77
98
-21
no box
A11/02
NKL
Palangos Kursiai
#12
W
79-68
79
68
+11
no box
A16/02
NKL
Palangos Kursiai
#12
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H18/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#7
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
no box
H23/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
71-95
71
95
-24
no box
A02/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H04/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
92-77
92
77
+15
no box
H09/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
A11/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
82-90
82
90
-8
79avg 72
H07/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
71-94
71
94
-23
64avg 72
A10/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
23-23
20-26
12-21
15-18
19-18
20-18
25-14
15-23
9-26
27-16
23-18
16-26
16-14
25-25
17-9
22-33
15-25
16-23
18-14
24-16
14-25
13-22
23-20
24-23
29-16
21-20
18-18
27-18
23-25
16-18
11-25
23-19
20-32
17-23
22-16
15-25
17-20
22-23
17-26
165.0Avg total
78.7Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.592.0168.5-15.50%
Season at home (1)82.090.0172.0-8.00%
Season away (1)71.094.0165.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)78.786.3165.0-7.630%
Last 5 (5)79.286.0165.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (30)72.882.9155.7-10.127%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#9
W
105-81
105
81
+24
no box
A25/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#14
W
95-71
95
71
+24
no box
H02/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#7
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
A04/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
96-75
96
75
+21
no box
A09/03
NKL
Palangos Kursiai
#12
L
84-102
84
102
-18
no box
H11/03
NKL
Silute
#6
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A16/03
NKL
Silute
#6
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
H19/03
NKL
Silute
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
A22/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
88-60
88
60
+28
84avg 79
H05/10
NKL
Silute
#14
W
82-72
82
72
+10
73avg 79
H07/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
23-20
27-27
27-16
33-22
25-15
23-16
14-18
25-21
15-13
30-20
14-34
19-10
28-23
29-20
20-22
27-28
22-29
10-24
25-21
24-26
20-16
14-25
18-14
18-21
24-20
18-20
17-18
18-21
19-25
27-22
14-16
32-12
20-15
15-18
21-15
22-17
23-25
20-22
17-8
165.8Avg total
86.5Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.066.0151.0+19.0100%
Season at home (2)85.066.0151.0+19.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.579.3165.8+7.250%
Last 5 (5)80.275.2155.4+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.789.3161.0-17.70%
vs Similar ◀ (21)81.581.0162.4+0.538%
vs Weaker (6)81.574.8156.3+6.767%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
Neptunas 2Vilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#8
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A11/02
NKL
Palangos Kursiai
#12
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A16/02
NKL
Palangos Kursiai
#12
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H18/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#7
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H23/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A02/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H04/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H09/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A11/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H07/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A10/10
NKL
84.1Avg total
38.8Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.642.178.7-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.741.479.1-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)35.542.778.3-7.227%-
Last 10 (10)38.845.384.1-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.887.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (30)36.642.178.7-5.530%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#9
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A25/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#14
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H02/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A04/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A09/03
NKL
Palangos Kursiai
#12
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H11/03
NKL
Silute
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A16/03
NKL
Silute
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H19/03
NKL
Silute
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A22/03
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H05/10
NKL
Silute
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H07/10
NKL
86.2Avg total
46.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.782.9+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.539.181.6+3.450%-
Last 30 away (14)41.942.684.4-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)46.539.786.2+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.683.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.746.385.0-7.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)42.140.682.7+1.552%-
vs Weaker (6)44.338.382.7+6.067%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.022.0
57.9%
51.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.05.5
34.4%
33.3%16.5
🏀 Free throws20.516.0
78.0%
70.3%16.0
They take 54.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.024.5
57.0%
51.9%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.0
27.5%
33.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws26.516.0
60.4%
70.3%16.0
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
LLLWLLWLWL
Vilkaviskis
WWLLLLWLWW
#12
League position
#9
-20.0
Net rating
+22.2
105.3
Offensive rating
106.1
125.2
Defensive rating
83.9
56.0%
Effective FG%
51.1%
60.3%
Opp. effective FG%
43.3%
21.2%
Turnover %
22.0%
20.0%
Off. rebound %
40.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.4%
3-point %
27.5%
56.4%
Assist %
52.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 106.1Defence125.2 · 83.9Shooting56.0% · 51.1%3-point %34.4% · 27.5%Ball care21.2% · 22.0%Off. rebounds20.0% · 40.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas 2 wins
7
Vilkaviskis wins
DateGameScore
02/03/23Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 295-71
09/02/23Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis68-99
17/01/23Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 273-72
20/10/22Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis66-73
11/12/21Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis76-79
16/10/21Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 291-78
04/02/21Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 281-75
26/01/21Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis88-72
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/23ASuduva-Mantinga71-94
07/10/23HJurbarkas82-90
11/03/23ADelikatesas Joniskis77-86
09/03/23HKretinga92-77
04/03/23HRytas 274-83
02/03/23AVilkaviskis71-95
23/02/23HUkmerges Stekas90-89 OT
18/02/23HPalangos Kursiai74-83
16/02/23APalangos Kursiai79-68
11/02/23ARytas 277-98
Vilkaviskislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23HSilute82-72
05/10/23HUkmerges Stekas88-60
22/03/23ASilute78-84
19/03/23HSilute77-79
16/03/23ASilute76-81
11/03/23HPalangos Kursiai84-102
09/03/23ARytas 296-75
04/03/23AUkmerges Stekas84-88
02/03/23HNeptunas 295-71
25/02/23ADelikatesas Joniskis105-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.582.071.0
Allowed / game92.090.094.0
Point differential-15.5-8.0-23.0
Avg total168.5172.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game66.066.0-
Point differential+19.0+19.0-
Avg total151.0151.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vilkaviskis220100%85.066.0+19.0
2 Suduva-Mantinga220100%88.072.0+16.0
3 BC Olimpas Palanga220100%84.575.5+9.0
4 Delikatesas Joniskis220100%84.576.5+8.0
5 Telsiai220100%78.572.0+6.5
6 Jurbarkas220100%85.581.0+4.5
7 Kretinga21150%84.082.0+2.0
8 Ukmerges Stekas21150%77.587.0-9.5
9 Zalgiris Kaunas 231233%72.374.7-2.3
10 Vytis VDU3030%80.384.0-3.7
11 Kauno Atletas2020%77.585.0-7.5
12 Silute2020%69.079.5-10.5
13 Rytas 22020%70.583.5-13.0
14 Neptunas 22020%76.592.0-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 22124251787
Vilkaviskis2119262389
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