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Zalgiris Kaunas 2 vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 75-79
17-20 17-21 18-21 23-17
Position#3
Record28-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#4
Record26-19
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.0
LithuaniaNKLNKL - Quarter-finals· Kaunas
Other2025-26
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Neptunas 2
01 Dec 2026
ZALG v NEPT
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
ZALG75
NEPT79
28 Mar 2026
ZALG72
NEPT78
18 Oct 2025
ZALG87
NEPT75
26 Oct 2024
ZALG84
NEPT73
21 Oct 2023
ZALG85
NEPT72
05 Jan 2023
ZALG78
NEPT58
25 Nov 2021
ZALG74
NEPT64
29 Oct 2020
ZALG92
NEPT78
19 Mar 2020
ZALG v NEPT
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
ZALG93
NEPT80
08 Dec 2018
ZALG78
NEPT81
09 Dec 2017
ZALG74
NEPT64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Zalgiris Kaunas 2
6.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.5
88.0▲ 1.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.1
86.0▲ 2.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
59%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.3
17.6▲ 0.3
🔥 Form · Neptunas 2
4.7out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.8
80.6▲ 0.8
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 77.0
72.2▼ 4.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
57%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.4
16.4▼ 0.0
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#9
W
104-64
104
64
+40
A07/02
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H19/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H21/02
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A24/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H05/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
92-81
92
81
+11
A07/03
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
H12/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
81-92
81
92
-11
A14/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H28/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
103-93
103
93
+10
A01/04
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
25-12
27-19
29-19
24-20
22-21
36-16
20-17
21-23
16-17
26-16
20-25
28-23
24-25
23-14
18-21
24-14
19-16
11-17
25-11
26-24
28-21
19-16
19-20
24-24
19-22
21-19
28-21
19-21
14-25
26-20
22-26
19-29
22-20
20-17
11-12
26-29
26-29
22-8
29-27
169.1Avg total
90.1Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)87.083.7170.7+3.368%
Season at home (21)90.884.9175.6+5.981%
Season away (20)83.082.5165.6+0.555%
Last 10 (10)90.179.0169.1+11.180%
Last 5 (5)88.086.0174.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.788.0167.7-8.333%
vs Similar ◀ (16)85.882.0167.8+3.869%
vs Weaker (11)90.184.2174.3+5.982%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#9
W
86-58
86
58
+28
H26/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A28/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A05/03
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
100-106
100
106
-6
H07/03
NKL
Silute
#12
W
85-84
85
84
+1
A14/03
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A20/03
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
78-53
78
53
+25
H23/03
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
93-66
93
66
+27
A25/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A28/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
93-103
93
103
-10
H01/04
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
18-15
28-13
18-20
14-12
17-25
18-19
26-17
18-15
11-11
20-21
14-22
28-27
28-23
23-25
21-31
22-19
23-23
15-24
25-18
16-12
16-19
9-17
20-19
16-8
25-19
16-10
21-16
22-20
22-18
24-18
25-10
29-19
20-22
17-20
12-11
29-26
29-26
8-22
27-29
156.3Avg total
81.2Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)79.877.0156.8+2.858%
Season at home (22)82.477.1159.5+5.255%
Season away (23)77.376.8154.1+0.661%
Last 10 (10)81.275.1156.3+6.160%
Last 5 (5)80.672.2152.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.591.0157.5-24.50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.077.5154.5-0.560%
vs Weaker (18)85.771.9157.6+13.878%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Neptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#9
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A07/02
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H19/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H21/02
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A24/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H05/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A07/03
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H12/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A14/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H28/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A01/04
NKL
87.8Avg total
44.9Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.483.6+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.841.883.5+0.038%-
Last 30 away (14)42.741.083.7+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)44.942.987.8+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.648.893.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.343.080.3-5.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.240.482.6+1.850%-
vs Weaker (11)43.542.586.0+1.145%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#9
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H26/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A28/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A05/03
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H07/03
NKL
Silute
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/03
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A20/03
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H23/03
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A25/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A28/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H01/04
NKL
79.4Avg total
42.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.279.2+0.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.340.682.9+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)37.637.975.5-0.367%-
Last 10 (10)42.536.979.4+5.690%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.882.6+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.551.584.0-19.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.040.279.2-1.250%-
vs Weaker (18)41.337.378.6+3.978%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.624.0
56.3%
54.5%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.9
35.7%
32.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws26.418.4
69.7%
69.3%18.4
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.3
53.7%
54.5%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.9
36.0%
32.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.711.7
62.6%
69.3%11.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
WLLWWWWWWW
Neptunas 2
LWWWLWLLWW
#3
League position
#4
+12.8
Net rating
+7.3
101.5
Offensive rating
97.5
88.6
Defensive rating
90.2
55.4%
Effective FG%
53.8%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
14.7%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.7%
3-point %
36.0%
61.1%
Assist %
58.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 97.5Defence88.6 · 90.2Shooting55.4% · 53.8%3-point %35.7% · 36.0%Ball care14.7% · 13.2%Free throws0.41 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
2
Neptunas 2 wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26ANeptunas 2103-93
28/03/26HNeptunas 272-78
14/03/26AVilkaviskis81-92
12/03/26HKedainiu SC92-86
07/03/26AVytis VDU92-81
05/03/26HRytas 279-58
24/02/26ATelsiai93-83
21/02/26HSuduva-Mantinga83-81
19/02/26HMazeikiai102-74
07/02/26AKretinga104-64
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26HZalgiris Kaunas 293-103
28/03/26AZalgiris Kaunas 278-72
25/03/26ATelsiai93-66
23/03/26HTelsiai78-53
20/03/26ATelsiai61-67
14/03/26ASilute85-84
07/03/26HPlunges Olimpas100-106
05/03/26AJurbarkas63-69
28/02/26ABC Olimpas Palanga75-73
26/02/26HKretinga86-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW68%
HomeWWWWL81%
AwayWWWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %68%81%55%
Points / game87.090.883.0
Allowed / game83.784.982.5
Point differential+3.3+5.9+0.5
Avg total170.7175.6165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%29%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %10%14%5%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeWWLWL55%
AwayLWLWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %58%55%61%
Points / game79.882.477.3
Allowed / game77.077.176.8
Point differential+2.8+5.2+0.6
Avg total156.8159.5154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%36%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)40% (5)100% (6)
Overtime %7%5%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga4134783%90.875.4+15.4
2 Vytis VDU41281368%89.285.5+3.7
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 241281368%87.083.7+3.3
4 Jurbarkas44271761%82.279.8+2.5
5 Vilkaviskis41241759%82.678.6+4.1
6 Neptunas 245261958%79.877.0+2.8
7 Kedainiu SC41221954%86.285.7+0.6
8 Kretinga44232152%84.686.0-1.4
9 Rytas 241212051%83.081.7+1.2
10 Telsiai42212150%82.084.1-2.2
11 Mazeikiai41202149%83.583.1+0.3
12 Silute44192543%87.089.8-2.8
13 Omega-Tauras40152538%84.588.7-4.2
14 Plunges Olimpas40142635%83.086.6-3.6
15 BC Olimpas Palanga40142635%79.883.7-4.0
16 Ukmerges Stekas4093122%80.589.9-9.4
17 Alytaus Alytus4083220%80.287.3-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas 21717182375
Neptunas 22021211779
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