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Neptunas 2 vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 80-91
19-31 23-22 18-15 20-23
Position#10
Record15-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#2
Record18-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game75.3
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Zalgiris Kaunas 2
17 Nov 2026
NEPT v ZALG
upcoming
07 Apr 2026
NEPT89
ZALG71
01 Apr 2026
NEPT93
ZALG103
20 Jan 2026
NEPT80
ZALG79
21 Jan 2025
NEPT80
ZALG91
07 Dec 2023
NEPT68
ZALG69
03 Nov 2022
NEPT67
ZALG77
28 Oct 2021
NEPT66
ZALG91
07 Jan 2021
NEPT59
ZALG75
25 Jan 2020
NEPT87
ZALG78
09 Nov 2019
NEPT77
ZALG64
13 Oct 2018
NEPT80
ZALG88
14 Apr 2018
NEPT68
ZALG57
24 Feb 2018
NEPT79
ZALG76
04 Nov 2017
NEPT76
ZALG74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
73-65
73
65
+8
62avg 73
H05/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
58avg 73
A12/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
97-89
97
89
+8
88avg 73
H14/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
76-68
76
68
+8
57avg 73
A17/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
95-84
95
84
+11
84avg 73
A20/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
75-99
75
99
-24
59avg 73
A04/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 73
H09/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
74-91
74
91
-17
61avg 73
A11/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
87-81
87
81
+6
78avg 73
H16/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
92-98
92
98
-6
83avg 73
A18/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
16-21
19-20
19-12
15-22
11-20
19-23
23-23
26-22
19-23
24-13
28-31
23-26
16-17
22-13
15-12
25-18
31-29
18-19
21-18
16-28
11-24
24-22
24-25
13-21
19-16
16-25
30-21
15-24
23-21
21-26
15-20
21-25
25-18
27-23
14-15
16-24
25-24
19-27
32-23
166.1Avg total
81.5Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.879.8159.6-0.054%
Season at home (13)82.777.6160.3+5.169%
Season away (15)77.381.7159.0-4.540%
Last 10 (10)81.584.6166.1-3.150%
Last 5 (5)81.290.4171.6-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.381.2154.5-7.833%
vs Similar ◀ (20)81.680.7162.3+0.960%
vs Weaker (4)87.582.0169.5+5.550%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
71-73 OT
71
73
-2
56avg 70
H05/12
NKL
Silute
#12
L
76-80
76
80
-4
66avg 70
A12/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
84-60
84
60
+24
73avg 70
H14/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
79-84
79
84
-5
75avg 70
H17/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
76-69
76
69
+7
68avg 70
A04/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
87-73
87
73
+14
78avg 70
H09/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
69-56
69
56
+13
63avg 70
A11/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
82-80
82
80
+2
74avg 70
A14/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 70
H16/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
81-74
81
74
+7
76avg 70
A18/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
18-21
18-11
12-18
18-18
15-20
12-20
31-22
19-15
26-8
26-17
13-20
14-20
26-20
21-17
18-27
24-20
18-17
16-15
18-17
24-20
15-21
28-20
20-12
14-17
9-13
22-11
24-15
18-29
17-16
23-19
24-16
20-18
18-13
22-24
28-16
20-15
19-21
27-12
15-26
151.3Avg total
79.3Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.975.3155.2+4.664%
Season at home (14)79.075.1154.1+3.957%
Season away (14)80.875.5156.3+5.371%
Last 10 (10)79.372.0151.3+7.370%
Last 5 (5)81.470.8152.2+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.572.5142.0-3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (16)82.278.9161.1+3.356%
vs Weaker (12)79.571.7151.2+7.875%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
Neptunas 2Zalgiris Kaunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A12/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A20/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A04/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H09/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A11/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H16/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A18/01
NKL
82.0Avg total
38.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.342.081.3-2.827%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.438.879.2+1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)38.244.983.1-6.619%-
Last 10 (10)38.543.582.0-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.845.081.8-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.838.370.2-6.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.843.284.0-2.525%-
vs Weaker (4)42.841.584.2+1.225%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H05/12
NKL
Silute
#12
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A12/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H14/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H17/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A04/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H09/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A11/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A14/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H16/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A18/01
NKL
72.8Avg total
37.0Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.377.3+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.737.375.9+1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)41.437.378.7+4.153%-
Last 10 (10)37.035.872.8+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.836.671.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.033.070.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.338.579.8+2.850%-
vs Weaker (12)38.836.375.2+2.542%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.1
50.0%
52.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.2
32.3%
32.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.315.7
70.4%
70.5%15.7
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.118.7
46.6%
52.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.4
31.0%
32.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.915.7
75.1%
70.5%15.7
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
LWLLLWWWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
WWWWWWLWLL
#10
League position
#2
-4.4
Net rating
+9.8
106.2
Offensive rating
104.6
110.5
Defensive rating
94.9
49.2%
Effective FG%
46.6%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
14.3%
Turnover %
18.9%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
36.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.3%
3-point %
31.0%
55.7%
Assist %
56.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 104.6Defence110.5 · 94.9Shooting49.2% · 46.6%3-point %32.3% · 31.0%Ball care14.3% · 18.9%Off. rebounds26.7% · 36.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas 2 wins
9
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25ADelikatesas Joniskis92-98
16/01/25HOmega-Tauras87-81
11/01/25AUkmerges Stekas74-91
09/01/25HBC Olimpas Palanga78-83
04/01/25ASuduva-Mantinga75-99
20/12/24AJurbarkas95-84
17/12/24AAlytaus Alytus76-68
14/12/24HKretinga97-89
12/12/24ATelsiai68-88
05/12/24HSilute73-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25ABC Olimpas Palanga81-74
16/01/25HSuduva-Mantinga88-71
14/01/25AJurbarkas82-80
11/01/25AAlytaus Alytus69-56
09/01/25HKretinga87-73
04/01/25ATelsiai76-69
17/12/24HVytis VDU79-84
14/12/24HVilkaviskis84-60
12/12/24ASilute76-80
05/12/24HOmega-Tauras71-73 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL54%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %54%69%40%
Points / game79.882.777.3
Allowed / game79.877.681.7
Point differential-0.0+5.1-4.5
Avg total159.6160.3159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%15%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)25% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %64%57%71%
Points / game79.979.080.8
Allowed / game75.375.175.5
Point differential+4.6+3.9+5.3
Avg total155.2154.1156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%43%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai2922776%85.778.0+7.7
2 Jurbarkas2820871%81.978.3+3.5
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2920969%81.972.8+9.1
4 Vytis VDU28181064%90.184.5+5.6
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 228181064%79.975.3+4.6
6 Vilkaviskis29181162%82.977.7+5.2
7 Omega-Tauras28171161%81.479.8+1.6
8 Suduva-Mantinga29171259%82.178.2+3.9
9 Neptunas 228151354%79.879.8-0.0
10 Ukmerges Stekas29131645%77.478.0-0.6
11 Silute29111838%81.083.2-2.3
12 Rytas 229111838%79.782.8-3.1
13 Plunges Olimpas2891932%76.981.6-4.7
14 Kretinga2992031%78.183.9-5.8
15 Alytaus Alytus2992031%78.487.5-9.1
16 Delikatesas Joniskis292277%77.993.2-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 21923182080
Zalgiris Kaunas 23122152391
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