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Kretinga vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 64-104
14-23 12-25 19-27 19-29
Position#9
Record15-16
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game85.8
Kretinga
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
Position#3
Record20-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game85.3
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 2
24 Oct 2026
KRET85
ZALG101
07 Feb 2026
KRET64
ZALG104
10 Oct 2024
KRET65
ZALG90
09 Mar 2024
KRET72
ZALG88
26 Oct 2023
KRET77
ZALG98
10 Nov 2022
KRET80
ZALG103
08 Jan 2022
KRET55
ZALG82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#11
W
95-94
95
94
+1
92avg 79
A03/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
85-107
85
107
-22
71avg 79
A10/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
75-89
75
89
-14
68avg 79
H13/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
113-79
113
79
+34
no box
H15/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
87-102
87
102
-15
no box
A17/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
82-77
82
77
+5
85avg 79
A22/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
83-77
83
77
+6
74avg 79
H24/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
66avg 79
A29/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
71avg 79
H31/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
69avg 79
A05/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
25-22
20-22
29-21
13-24
20-34
30-28
22-21
23-22
19-24
21-20
12-23
22-22
33-14
32-17
26-26
26-24
22-21
12-30
27-27
20-14
21-28
17-17
24-18
17-12
20-21
25-22
21-22
15-20
17-24
17-20
30-20
25-24
20-19
15-26
17-19
18-16
15-18
11-19
23-14
173.5Avg total
85.8Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)85.085.8170.8-0.848%
Season at home (15)84.681.5166.1+3.153%
Season away (16)85.489.9175.2-4.544%
Last 10 (10)85.887.7173.5-1.950%
Last 5 (5)80.681.2161.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)79.093.3172.3-14.30%
vs Similar (20)84.584.0168.4+0.560%
vs Weaker (4)98.582.8181.2+15.875%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
113-107 OT
113
107
+6
102avg 75
H08/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
91-78
91
78
+13
80avg 75
A10/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
H15/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
80-111
80
111
-31
no box
A17/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
79-80
79
80
-1
71avg 75
A20/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
96-87
96
87
+9
89avg 75
H24/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
63avg 75
H27/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
105-91
105
91
+14
108avg 75
H29/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
72-83
72
83
-11
59avg 75
A31/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
80-94
80
94
-14
70avg 75
H05/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
19-17
19-25
38-31
28-13
24-19
19-20
20-26
26-17
23-15
12-27
22-22
17-31
19-25
25-19
19-36
16-16
29-17
15-27
19-20
23-16
25-26
17-25
31-20
23-28
13-21
20-20
21-18
23-24
21-26
36-17
25-24
19-17
21-24
16-23
16-19
17-24
25-18
21-22
17-30
177.5Avg total
87.6Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.085.3171.3+0.765%
Season at home (16)92.487.8180.2+4.681%
Season away (15)79.282.5161.7-3.347%
Last 10 (10)87.689.9177.5-2.350%
Last 5 (5)86.088.4174.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.091.5169.5-13.50%
vs Similar (14)81.983.2165.1-1.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.986.2177.1+4.779%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.8-1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.8-1.8
KretingaZalgiris Kaunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#11
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A03/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A10/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H13/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H15/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A22/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H24/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A29/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H31/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A05/02
NKL
84.4Avg total
41.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.382.6-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.838.780.5+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.843.684.4-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)41.243.284.4-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.276.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.043.381.3-5.333%-
vs Similar (20)40.841.482.1-0.640%-
vs Weaker (4)48.538.286.8+10.275%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H08/01
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A10/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H15/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A17/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A20/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H24/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H27/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H29/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A31/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H05/02
NKL
84.4Avg total
42.9Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.182.5+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.641.885.3+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)41.038.379.3+2.757%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.584.4+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.886.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.544.582.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (14)42.537.980.4+4.664%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.941.884.7+1.150%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.723.4
53.5%
54.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.6
29.6%
32.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.014.5
69.0%
69.3%14.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.8
54.5%
54.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.4
30.2%
32.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.516.5
70.2%
69.3%16.5
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
WLLWWLWLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LLWLWLLWWW
#9
League position
#3
-6.6
Net rating
+1.6
95.2
Offensive rating
96.2
101.8
Defensive rating
94.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.7%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.3%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.6%
3-point %
30.2%
53.0%
Assist %
52.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 96.2Defence101.8 · 94.6Shooting50.5% · 50.7%3-point %29.6% · 30.2%Ball care15.6% · 15.3%Off. rebounds31.0% · 31.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Kretinga   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kretinga wins
6
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
29/11/25Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga91-86
09/01/25Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga87-73
10/10/24Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 265-90
11/03/24Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga83-87
09/03/24Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 272-88
07/03/24Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga64-67
14/12/23Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga71-75 OT
26/10/23Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 277-98
12/01/23Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga71-75
10/11/22Kretinga v Zalgiris Kaunas 280-103
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26ABC Olimpas Palanga82-80 OT
31/01/26HNeptunas 277-88
29/01/26AVytis VDU79-84
24/01/26HVilkaviskis83-77
22/01/26APlunges Olimpas82-77
17/01/26ARytas 287-102
15/01/26HUkmerges Stekas113-79
13/01/26HTelsiai75-89
10/01/26ASuduva-Mantinga85-107
03/01/26AMazeikiai95-94
Zalgiris Kaunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26HSuduva-Mantinga80-94
31/01/26AOmega-Tauras72-83
29/01/26HTelsiai105-91
27/01/26HVytis VDU77-87
24/01/26HBC Olimpas Palanga96-87
20/01/26ANeptunas 279-80
17/01/26ASilute80-111
15/01/26HJurbarkas83-81
10/01/26AMazeikiai91-78
08/01/26HKedainiu SC113-107 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW48%
HomeLLWWL53%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %48%53%44%
Points / game85.084.685.4
Allowed / game85.881.589.9
Point differential-0.8+3.1-4.5
Avg total170.8166.1175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%40%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (2)62% (8)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL65%
HomeWWLWL81%
AwayWWLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %65%81%47%
Points / game86.092.479.2
Allowed / game85.387.882.5
Point differential+0.7+4.6-3.3
Avg total171.3180.2161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %13%19%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga3228488%90.575.1+15.4
2 Vytis VDU3223972%88.183.8+4.2
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 231201165%86.085.3+0.7
4 Kedainiu SC31191261%87.986.3+1.6
5 Vilkaviskis32181456%82.477.9+4.5
6 Mazeikiai32181456%84.180.7+3.4
7 Rytas 232181456%83.680.6+3.0
8 Telsiai32181456%84.884.4+0.3
9 Neptunas 232171553%79.077.8+1.2
10 Jurbarkas32161650%79.377.9+1.4
11 Kretinga31151648%85.085.8-0.8
12 Silute32141844%86.890.5-3.7
13 Omega-Tauras31131842%85.289.0-3.8
14 BC Olimpas Palanga31112035%79.584.2-4.8
15 Ukmerges Stekas3182326%79.589.4-9.9
16 Plunges Olimpas3272522%80.786.9-6.2
17 Alytaus Alytus3262619%78.685.9-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga1412191964
Zalgiris Kaunas 223252729104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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