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Vilkaviskis vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-69
21-19 17-15 24-19 19-16
Position#6
Record22-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#10
Record18-19
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game80.5
LithuaniaNKL· Vilkavi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 2
11 Dec 2025
VILK72
NEPT62
07 Mar 2025
VILK81
NEPT69
23 Nov 2024
VILK93
NEPT78
02 Dec 2023
VILK85
NEPT83
02 Mar 2023
VILK95
NEPT71
17 Jan 2023
VILK73
NEPT72
16 Oct 2021
VILK91
NEPT78
04 Feb 2021
VILK81
NEPT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
89-82
89
82
+7
92avg 71
H16/01
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
74avg 71
A18/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
89-87
89
87
+2
82avg 71
H25/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
81avg 71
H06/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
61avg 71
H13/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
82avg 71
A15/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
83-92
83
92
-9
71avg 71
A18/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
62-77
62
77
-15
47avg 71
A20/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
74-83
74
83
-9
57avg 71
H22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
80-76
80
76
+4
71avg 71
H01/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
22-29
15-16
30-18
20-26
22-23
19-25
23-21
25-25
22-20
24-23
18-19
31-30
18-22
21-13
24-33
25-10
18-18
16-25
18-15
24-30
23-18
24-23
18-14
24-19
19-28
17-23
23-22
18-21
16-12
17-24
11-20
19-14
17-20
19-26
19-23
23-19
22-21
14-19
21-17
166.4Avg total
82.1Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)82.578.9161.4+3.659%
Season at home (19)85.976.3162.2+9.779%
Season away (18)78.881.7160.6-2.939%
Last 10 (10)82.184.3166.4-2.250%
Last 5 (5)77.682.6160.2-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.381.3170.7+8.067%
vs Similar ◀ (19)78.678.9157.5-0.347%
vs Weaker (8)86.576.2162.8+10.288%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
92-98
92
98
-6
83avg 72
A18/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
72avg 72
H21/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
61-65
61
65
-4
46avg 72
H25/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
77-95
77
95
-18
67avg 72
H08/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
81-90
81
90
-9
68avg 72
A11/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
111-78
111
78
+33
117avg 72
H13/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
77-84
77
84
-7
62avg 72
A20/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
82-85
82
85
-3
75avg 72
H22/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
95-76
95
76
+19
94avg 72
H27/02
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 72
A01/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
25-24
19-27
32-23
19-31
23-22
18-15
20-23
14-12
14-16
16-19
17-18
17-26
28-17
12-27
20-25
20-17
24-18
18-26
19-29
34-19
30-20
22-23
25-16
18-16
26-21
23-25
10-22
22-17
15-26
21-18
24-24
24-27
24-13
25-16
22-20
19-17
21-31
29-22
21-9
168.7Avg total
84.6Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)80.880.5161.2+0.349%
Season at home (19)83.278.9162.1+4.358%
Season away (18)78.282.2160.3-4.039%
Last 10 (10)84.684.1168.7+0.530%
Last 5 (5)91.080.4171.4+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.790.0163.7-16.30%
vs Similar ◀ (21)80.681.5162.1-0.948%
vs Weaker (6)89.783.5173.2+6.250%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
VilkaviskisNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H16/01
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H25/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H06/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H13/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A15/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A18/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A20/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H01/03
NKL
85.4Avg total
43.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.480.4-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.739.582.2+3.275%-
Last 30 away (14)37.041.478.4-4.414%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.485.4+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.481.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.043.086.0+0.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.340.479.7-1.142%-
vs Weaker (8)40.639.480.0+1.250%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A18/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H21/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H25/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H08/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A11/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
64-39
64
39
+25
H13/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A20/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H22/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H27/02
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A01/03
NKL
84.7Avg total
43.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.783.0-2.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.540.482.9+2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)38.145.083.1-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)43.341.484.7+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.641.488.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.343.772.0-15.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)40.243.083.1-2.829%-
vs Weaker (6)46.741.388.0+5.350%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.2
52.2%
52.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.2
33.6%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.112.3
64.4%
70.5%12.3
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.5
52.0%
52.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.89.5
30.8%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.516.3
72.4%
70.5%16.3
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vilkaviskis
WLLLWWLWLW
Neptunas 2
WWLLWLLLLL
#6
League position
#10
-2.7
Net rating
+1.2
108.0
Offensive rating
110.2
110.7
Defensive rating
109.0
51.6%
Effective FG%
49.4%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.3%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.6%
3-point %
30.8%
51.3%
Assist %
60.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 110.2Defence110.7 · 109.0Shooting51.6% · 49.4%3-point %33.6% · 30.8%Ball care16.4% · 15.3%Off. rebounds32.6% · 33.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Vilkaviskis   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Vilkaviskis wins
1
Neptunas 2 wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HTelsiai80-76
22/02/25HSuduva-Mantinga74-83
20/02/25AJurbarkas62-77
18/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas 283-92
15/02/25AOmega-Tauras89-85
13/02/25HBC Olimpas Palanga77-68
06/02/25HVytis VDU94-98
25/01/25HKretinga89-87
18/01/25ATelsiai84-95
16/01/25HUkmerges Stekas89-82
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AKretinga90-79
27/02/25HSilute95-76
22/02/25HPlunges Olimpas82-85
20/02/25AUkmerges Stekas77-84
13/02/25HAlytaus Alytus111-78
11/02/25ARytas 281-90
08/02/25HDelikatesas Joniskis77-95
25/01/25HRytas 261-65
21/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas 280-91
18/01/25ADelikatesas Joniskis92-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vilkaviskis
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW59%
HomeWLWLW79%
AwayLLWLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %59%79%39%
Points / game82.585.978.8
Allowed / game78.976.381.7
Point differential+3.6+9.7-2.9
Avg total161.4162.2160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW49%
HomeLLWLW58%
AwayLLLLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %49%58%39%
Points / game80.883.278.2
Allowed / game80.578.982.2
Point differential+0.3+4.3-4.0
Avg total161.2162.1160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%21%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)17% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai37261170%85.178.0+7.1
2 Jurbarkas37251268%81.378.3+3.0
3 Vytis VDU38251366%89.885.9+3.9
4 BC Olimpas Palanga37241365%81.374.2+7.1
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 237241365%80.176.4+3.7
6 Suduva-Mantinga38241463%82.276.7+5.6
7 Vilkaviskis37221559%82.578.9+3.6
8 Ukmerges Stekas38201853%80.178.3+1.8
9 Neptunas 237181949%80.880.5+0.3
10 Omega-Tauras38182047%81.482.7-1.3
11 Rytas 238172145%80.682.8-2.1
12 Silute37142338%81.483.8-2.3
13 Kretinga38142437%80.783.0-2.4
14 Plunges Olimpas37132435%79.282.0-2.8
15 Alytaus Alytus3792824%78.090.6-12.6
16 Delikatesas Joniskis3763116%80.893.5-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vilkaviskis2117241981
Neptunas 21915191669
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