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Jurbarkas vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:10
Final 76-79
20-17 21-24 16-15 19-23
Position#3
Record25-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#6
Record24-15
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game78.7
LithuaniaNKLNKL - Quarter-finals· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Vilkaviskis
10 Jan 2026
JURB54
VILK72
19 Mar 2025
JURB73
VILK65
13 Mar 2025
JURB76
VILK79
20 Feb 2025
JURB77
VILK62
17 Oct 2024
JURB88
VILK86
01 Feb 2024
JURB90
VILK78
23 Dec 2023
JURB86
VILK78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
69-84
69
84
-15
56avg 79
A18/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
83-74
83
74
+9
82avg 79
A21/01
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
94avg 79
H25/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
66-69
66
69
-3
59avg 79
H06/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
84avg 79
A08/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
70avg 79
A13/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
77-62
77
62
+15
76avg 79
H20/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
75avg 79
A22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
62-73
62
73
-11
59avg 79
A27/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
82-74
82
74
+8
76avg 79
H01/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
26-23
11-23
12-20
19-20
20-18
25-16
19-20
17-23
24-15
19-20
30-32
21-16
13-19
18-16
14-18
21-15
26-24
19-31
21-25
15-22
16-27
25-13
23-26
21-18
12-16
24-17
20-11
13-20
19-15
21-20
27-18
12-23
14-13
22-19
14-18
15-11
22-18
24-17
21-28
157.4Avg total
78.5Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)81.378.3159.6+3.068%
Season at home (18)84.076.8160.8+7.283%
Season away (19)78.779.7158.5-1.053%
Last 10 (10)78.578.9157.4-0.450%
Last 5 (5)76.074.0150.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.085.0166.0-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (21)80.680.9161.5-0.252%
vs Weaker (7)82.067.4149.4+14.6100%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#13
W
89-87
89
87
+2
82avg 71
H25/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
81avg 71
H06/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
61avg 71
H13/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
82avg 71
A15/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
83-92
83
92
-9
71avg 71
A18/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
62-77
62
77
-15
47avg 71
A20/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
74-83
74
83
-9
57avg 71
H22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
80-76
80
76
+4
71avg 71
H01/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
81-69
81
69
+12
68avg 71
H07/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
83-80
83
80
+3
71avg 71
A09/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
22-20
24-23
18-19
31-30
18-22
21-13
24-33
25-10
18-18
16-25
18-15
24-30
23-18
24-23
18-14
24-19
19-28
17-23
23-22
18-21
16-12
17-24
11-20
19-14
17-20
19-26
19-23
23-19
22-21
14-19
21-17
21-19
17-15
24-19
19-16
19-16
24-22
26-22
14-20
162.7Avg total
81.2Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)82.578.7161.2+3.862%
Season at home (20)85.775.9161.6+9.880%
Season away (19)79.181.6160.7-2.642%
Last 10 (10)81.281.5162.7-0.360%
Last 5 (5)76.077.0153.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.381.3170.7+8.067%
vs Similar ◀ (20)79.079.0158.0+0.150%
vs Weaker (7)85.776.3162.0+9.486%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
JurbarkasVilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A18/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A21/01
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H25/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H06/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A08/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A13/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H20/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A27/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H01/03
NKL
74.0Avg total
36.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.036.376.3+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.933.975.7+8.073%-
Last 30 away (15)38.138.776.9-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)36.637.474.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)31.836.668.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.537.070.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)40.537.177.7+3.457%-
vs Weaker (7)40.333.673.9+6.757%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#13
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H25/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H06/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H13/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A15/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A18/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A20/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H01/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A09/03
NKL
82.4Avg total
42.5Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.680.7-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.639.482.1+3.275%-
Last 30 away (14)37.341.979.2-4.614%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.982.4+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.875.0+3.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.043.086.0+0.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.540.579.9-1.045%-
vs Weaker (7)40.940.080.9+0.943%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.7
52.5%
52.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.0
30.8%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.613.9
64.4%
70.5%13.9
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.6
51.9%
52.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.2
32.8%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.812.6
63.6%
70.5%12.6
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WLWWLLLWWL
Vilkaviskis
WWWLLLWWLW
#3
League position
#6
-1.1
Net rating
-0.1
102.4
Offensive rating
108.3
103.4
Defensive rating
108.4
49.9%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
19.6%
Turnover %
15.2%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.8%
3-point %
32.8%
67.5%
Assist %
47.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 108.3Defence103.4 · 108.4Shooting49.9% · 50.9%3-point %30.8% · 32.8%Ball care19.6% · 15.2%Off. rebounds32.3% · 32.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Jurbarkas wins
2
Vilkaviskis wins
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas 282-74
27/02/25ATelsiai62-73
22/02/25ABC Olimpas Palanga80-73
20/02/25HVilkaviskis77-62
13/02/25AOmega-Tauras79-88
08/02/25AVytis VDU87-95
06/02/25HSuduva-Mantinga66-69
25/01/25HTelsiai100-97 OT
21/01/25APlunges Olimpas83-74
18/01/25AUkmerges Stekas69-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25ANeptunas 283-80
07/03/25HNeptunas 281-69
01/03/25HTelsiai80-76
22/02/25HSuduva-Mantinga74-83
20/02/25AJurbarkas62-77
18/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas 283-92
15/02/25AOmega-Tauras89-85
13/02/25HBC Olimpas Palanga77-68
06/02/25HVytis VDU94-98
25/01/25HKretinga89-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW68%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %68%83%53%
Points / game81.384.078.7
Allowed / game78.376.879.7
Point differential+3.0+7.2-1.0
Avg total159.6160.8158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%39%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won77% (13)71% (7)83% (6)
Overtime %5%6%5%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeLWLWW80%
AwayLWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %62%80%42%
Points / game82.585.779.1
Allowed / game78.775.981.6
Point differential+3.8+9.8-2.6
Avg total161.2161.6160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%45%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai37261170%85.178.0+7.1
2 Jurbarkas37251268%81.378.3+3.0
3 BC Olimpas Palanga38251366%81.674.1+7.5
4 Vytis VDU40261465%89.686.1+3.5
5 Suduva-Mantinga41261563%81.576.3+5.2
6 Zalgiris Kaunas 238241463%79.676.2+3.4
7 Vilkaviskis39241562%82.578.7+3.8
8 Ukmerges Stekas40202050%80.078.8+1.2
9 Omega-Tauras40202050%81.782.4-0.7
10 Neptunas 239182146%80.480.6-0.1
11 Rytas 240182245%80.482.3-1.9
12 Silute37142338%81.483.8-2.3
13 Kretinga39142536%80.883.5-2.7
14 Plunges Olimpas37132435%79.282.0-2.8
15 Alytaus Alytus3792824%78.090.6-12.6
16 Delikatesas Joniskis3763116%80.893.5-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas2021161976
Vilkaviskis1724152379
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