PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Neptunas 2 vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 80-83
16-19 22-24 22-26 20-14
Position#10
Record18-20
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#6
Record23-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game78.7
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis
19 Nov 2026
NEPT v VILK
upcoming
09 Oct 2025
NEPT81
VILK82
09 Mar 2025
NEPT80
VILK83
21 Nov 2024
NEPT73
VILK64
12 Oct 2023
NEPT87
VILK89
09 Feb 2023
NEPT68
VILK99
20 Oct 2022
NEPT66
VILK73
11 Dec 2021
NEPT76
VILK79
26 Jan 2021
NEPT88
VILK72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
72avg 72
H21/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
61-65
61
65
-4
46avg 72
H25/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
77-95
77
95
-18
67avg 72
H08/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
81-90
81
90
-9
68avg 72
A11/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
111-78
111
78
+33
117avg 72
H13/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
77-84
77
84
-7
62avg 72
A20/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
82-85
82
85
-3
75avg 72
H22/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
95-76
95
76
+19
94avg 72
H27/02
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 72
A01/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
69-81
69
81
-12
62avg 72
A07/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
23-22
18-15
20-23
14-12
14-16
16-19
17-18
17-26
28-17
12-27
20-25
20-17
24-18
18-26
19-29
34-19
30-20
22-23
25-16
18-16
26-21
23-25
10-22
22-17
15-26
21-18
24-24
24-27
24-13
25-16
22-20
19-17
21-31
29-22
21-9
19-21
15-17
19-24
16-19
164.7Avg total
82.3Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)80.480.5160.9-0.147%
Season at home (19)83.278.9162.1+4.358%
Season away (19)77.782.1159.8-4.437%
Last 10 (10)82.382.4164.7-0.130%
Last 5 (5)82.681.0163.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.790.0163.7-16.30%
vs Similar ◀ (21)80.481.3161.8-0.948%
vs Weaker (6)89.783.5173.2+6.250%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
74avg 71
A18/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
89-87
89
87
+2
82avg 71
H25/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
81avg 71
H06/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
61avg 71
H13/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
82avg 71
A15/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
83-92
83
92
-9
71avg 71
A18/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
62-77
62
77
-15
47avg 71
A20/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
74-83
74
83
-9
57avg 71
H22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
80-76
80
76
+4
71avg 71
H01/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
81-69
81
69
+12
68avg 71
H07/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
22-23
19-25
23-21
25-25
22-20
24-23
18-19
31-30
18-22
21-13
24-33
25-10
18-18
16-25
18-15
24-30
23-18
24-23
18-14
24-19
19-28
17-23
23-22
18-21
16-12
17-24
11-20
19-14
17-20
19-26
19-23
23-19
22-21
14-19
21-17
21-19
17-15
24-19
19-16
164.3Avg total
81.3Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)82.478.7161.1+3.861%
Season at home (20)85.775.9161.6+9.880%
Season away (18)78.881.7160.6-2.939%
Last 10 (10)81.383.0164.3-1.750%
Last 5 (5)76.079.4155.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.381.3170.7+8.067%
vs Similar ◀ (20)78.878.4157.2+0.350%
vs Weaker (7)85.776.3162.0+9.486%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
Neptunas 2Vilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H21/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H25/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H08/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A11/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
64-39
64
39
+25
H13/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A20/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H22/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H27/02
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A01/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A07/03
NKL
83.0Avg total
42.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.582.9-2.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.540.482.9+2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)38.344.682.9-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)42.640.483.0+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.281.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.343.772.0-15.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)40.342.783.0-2.329%-
vs Weaker (6)46.741.388.0+5.350%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H25/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H06/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H13/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A15/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A18/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A20/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H01/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/03
NKL
83.4Avg total
42.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.480.4-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.639.482.1+3.275%-
Last 30 away (14)37.041.478.4-4.414%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.083.4+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.676.8+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.043.086.0+0.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.240.179.3-0.945%-
vs Weaker (7)40.940.080.9+0.943%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.4
50.7%
52.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.2
31.3%
32.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.415.1
70.6%
70.5%15.1
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.0
51.5%
52.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.1
33.2%
32.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.712.2
65.2%
70.5%12.2
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
LWWLLWLLLL
Vilkaviskis
WWLLLWWLWL
#10
League position
#6
+0.4
Net rating
-2.0
108.1
Offensive rating
108.1
107.7
Defensive rating
110.1
49.0%
Effective FG%
50.9%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.4%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.3%
3-point %
33.2%
61.5%
Assist %
46.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 108.1Defence107.7 · 110.1Shooting49.0% · 50.9%3-point %31.3% · 33.2%Ball care15.7% · 15.4%Off. rebounds33.0% · 32.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas 2 wins
9
Vilkaviskis wins
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25AVilkaviskis69-81
01/03/25AKretinga90-79
27/02/25HSilute95-76
22/02/25HPlunges Olimpas82-85
20/02/25AUkmerges Stekas77-84
13/02/25HAlytaus Alytus111-78
11/02/25ARytas 281-90
08/02/25HDelikatesas Joniskis77-95
25/01/25HRytas 261-65
21/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas 280-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25HNeptunas 281-69
01/03/25HTelsiai80-76
22/02/25HSuduva-Mantinga74-83
20/02/25AJurbarkas62-77
18/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas 283-92
15/02/25AOmega-Tauras89-85
13/02/25HBC Olimpas Palanga77-68
06/02/25HVytis VDU94-98
25/01/25HKretinga89-87
18/01/25ATelsiai84-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL47%
HomeLLWLW58%
AwayLLLWL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %47%58%37%
Points / game80.483.277.7
Allowed / game80.578.982.1
Point differential-0.1+4.3-4.4
Avg total160.9162.1159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%21%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)17% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW61%
HomeLWLWW80%
AwayLLWLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %61%80%39%
Points / game82.485.778.8
Allowed / game78.775.981.7
Point differential+3.8+9.8-2.9
Avg total161.1161.6160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%45%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai37261170%85.178.0+7.1
2 Jurbarkas37251268%81.378.3+3.0
3 Vytis VDU39261367%90.186.0+4.1
4 BC Olimpas Palanga37241365%81.374.2+7.1
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 237241365%80.176.4+3.7
6 Suduva-Mantinga39241562%81.976.9+5.1
7 Vilkaviskis38231561%82.478.7+3.8
8 Ukmerges Stekas39201951%80.178.6+1.5
9 Omega-Tauras39192049%81.682.6-0.9
10 Neptunas 238182047%80.480.5-0.1
11 Rytas 239182146%80.782.5-1.7
12 Silute37142338%81.483.8-2.3
13 Kretinga39142536%80.883.5-2.7
14 Plunges Olimpas37132435%79.282.0-2.8
15 Alytaus Alytus3792824%78.090.6-12.6
16 Delikatesas Joniskis3763116%80.893.5-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 21622222080
Vilkaviskis1924261483
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.