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Jurbarkas vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-65
21-14 12-16 15-20 25-15
Position#3
Record25-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#6
Record26-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game78.5
LithuaniaNKLNKL - Quarter-finals· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Vilkaviskis
10 Jan 2026
JURB54
VILK72
19 Mar 2025
JURB73
VILK65
13 Mar 2025
JURB76
VILK79
20 Feb 2025
JURB77
VILK62
17 Oct 2024
JURB88
VILK86
01 Feb 2024
JURB90
VILK78
23 Dec 2023
JURB86
VILK78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
94avg 78
H25/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
66-69
66
69
-3
59avg 78
H06/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
84avg 78
A08/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
70avg 78
A13/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
77-62
77
62
+15
76avg 78
H20/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
75avg 78
A22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
62-73
62
73
-11
59avg 78
A27/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
82-74
82
74
+8
76avg 78
H01/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
66avg 78
H13/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
62avg 78
A16/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
24-15
19-20
30-32
21-16
13-19
18-16
14-18
21-15
26-24
19-31
21-25
15-22
16-27
25-13
23-26
21-18
12-16
24-17
20-11
13-20
19-15
21-20
27-18
12-23
14-13
22-19
14-18
15-11
22-18
24-17
21-28
20-17
21-24
16-15
19-23
18-18
14-14
16-15
10-11
157.1Avg total
78.4Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)81.078.3159.3+2.764%
Season at home (19)83.676.9160.5+6.679%
Season away (20)78.579.6158.1-1.050%
Last 10 (10)78.478.7157.1-0.340%
Last 5 (5)75.075.2150.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.085.0166.0-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (22)80.280.9161.1-0.745%
vs Weaker (6)79.566.3145.8+13.2100%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
61avg 72
H13/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
82avg 72
A15/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
83-92
83
92
-9
71avg 72
A18/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
62-77
62
77
-15
47avg 72
A20/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
74-83
74
83
-9
57avg 72
H22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
80-76
80
76
+4
71avg 72
H01/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
81-69
81
69
+12
68avg 72
H07/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
83-80
83
80
+3
71avg 72
A09/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
79-76
79
76
+3
64avg 72
A13/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
67avg 72
H16/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-10
18-18
16-25
18-15
24-30
23-18
24-23
18-14
24-19
19-28
17-23
23-22
18-21
16-12
17-24
11-20
19-14
17-20
19-26
19-23
23-19
22-21
14-19
21-17
21-19
17-15
24-19
19-16
19-16
24-22
26-22
14-20
17-20
24-21
15-16
23-19
18-18
14-14
15-16
11-10
156.6Avg total
78.5Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)82.278.5160.8+3.763%
Season at home (21)85.375.9161.1+9.481%
Season away (20)79.081.3160.4-2.345%
Last 10 (10)78.578.1156.6+0.470%
Last 5 (5)80.075.2155.2+4.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.085.5167.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (21)79.278.4157.6+0.857%
vs Weaker (7)85.776.3162.0+9.486%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
JurbarkasVilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H25/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H06/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A08/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A13/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H20/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A27/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H01/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H13/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A16/03
NKL
72.2Avg total
35.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.436.575.9+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.134.375.4+6.967%-
Last 30 away (15)37.638.776.3-1.133%-
Last 10 (10)35.436.872.2-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)33.634.668.2-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.537.070.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)40.237.377.5+2.950%-
vs Weaker (6)38.333.371.7+5.050%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H13/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A15/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A18/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A20/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H22/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H01/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/03
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A09/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A13/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H16/03
NKL
77.7Avg total
40.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.280.3+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.038.980.9+3.169%-
Last 30 away (14)38.141.679.6-3.514%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.577.7+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.076.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.544.588.0-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)39.639.879.4-0.243%-
vs Weaker (7)40.940.080.9+0.943%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.8
54.3%
52.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.6
28.8%
32.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.113.0
64.7%
70.5%13.0
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.8
51.0%
52.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.7
30.6%
32.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.112.8
63.7%
70.5%12.8
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
LLWLWWLLLW
Vilkaviskis
WWWWWLLLWW
#3
League position
#6
-0.4
Net rating
+0.3
101.9
Offensive rating
105.2
102.3
Defensive rating
104.9
49.8%
Effective FG%
49.0%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
19.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.8%
3-point %
30.6%
63.7%
Assist %
44.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 105.2Defence102.3 · 104.9Shooting49.8% · 49.0%3-point %28.8% · 30.6%Ball care19.9% · 16.2%Off. rebounds33.2% · 34.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Jurbarkas wins
4
Vilkaviskis wins
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25AVilkaviskis75-77 OT
13/03/25HVilkaviskis76-79
01/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas 282-74
27/02/25ATelsiai62-73
22/02/25ABC Olimpas Palanga80-73
20/02/25HVilkaviskis77-62
13/02/25AOmega-Tauras79-88
08/02/25AVytis VDU87-95
06/02/25HSuduva-Mantinga66-69
25/01/25HTelsiai100-97 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HJurbarkas77-75 OT
13/03/25AJurbarkas79-76
09/03/25ANeptunas 283-80
07/03/25HNeptunas 281-69
01/03/25HTelsiai80-76
22/02/25HSuduva-Mantinga74-83
20/02/25AJurbarkas62-77
18/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas 283-92
15/02/25AOmega-Tauras89-85
13/02/25HBC Olimpas Palanga77-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL64%
HomeWLWWL79%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %64%79%50%
Points / game81.083.678.5
Allowed / game78.376.979.6
Point differential+2.7+6.6-1.1
Avg total159.3160.5158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%37%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)62% (8)71% (7)
Overtime %8%5%10%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeWLWWW81%
AwayWLLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %63%81%45%
Points / game82.285.379.0
Allowed / game78.575.981.3
Point differential+3.7+9.4-2.3
Avg total160.8161.1160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)57% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai40281270%84.677.9+6.7
2 BC Olimpas Palanga40261465%81.874.8+7.0
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 240261465%79.876.2+3.6
4 Vytis VDU42271564%89.586.1+3.5
5 Jurbarkas39251464%81.078.3+2.7
6 Vilkaviskis41261563%82.278.5+3.7
7 Suduva-Mantinga43261760%81.276.7+4.6
8 Ukmerges Stekas40202050%80.078.8+1.2
9 Omega-Tauras43212249%81.482.1-0.8
10 Neptunas 239182146%80.480.6-0.1
11 Rytas 240182245%80.482.3-1.9
12 Silute37142338%81.483.8-2.3
13 Kretinga39142536%80.883.5-2.7
14 Plunges Olimpas37132435%79.282.0-2.8
15 Alytaus Alytus3792824%78.090.6-12.6
16 Delikatesas Joniskis3763116%80.893.5-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas2112152573
Vilkaviskis1416201565
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