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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 98-64
25-10 21-17 31-18 21-19
Position#9
Record9-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#14
Record6-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game89.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H20/01
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A24/01
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
A27/01
LKL
Khimki M.
#13
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A31/01
Euroleague
Skycop
#7
W
96-67
96
67
+29
H03/02
LKL
Barcelona
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A07/02
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
90-75
90
75
+15
A10/02
LKL
Buducnost
#15
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H22/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A28/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#2
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A03/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
14-18
26-25
18-18
13-21
17-13
20-18
20-28
21-22
21-21
25-13
31-24
17-19
20-17
19-11
8-27
30-15
23-16
24-18
19-18
20-23
18-22
24-15
10-18
25-23
27-20
17-18
21-14
20-18
19-18
21-26
24-14
12-17
13-23
27-19
21-21
15-23
22-25
19-16
15-17
157.0Avg total
80.0Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.779.5157.2-1.838%
Season at home (12)79.280.4159.6-1.242%
Season away (12)76.278.6154.8-2.433%
Last 10 (10)80.077.0157.0+3.050%
Last 5 (5)78.078.0156.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.885.0158.8-11.20%
vs Similar (10)77.477.9155.3-0.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.172.2158.4+13.981%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#14
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H20/01
ACB
Buducnost
#15
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A25/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A27/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
104-106 OT
104
106
-2
H01/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
83-101
83
101
-18
H03/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
74-93
74
93
-19
A07/02
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H10/02
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
85-107
85
107
-22
A21/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
80-99
80
99
-19
H28/02
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A03/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
11-25
37-19
28-20
24-27
14-9
19-25
13-14
20-19
19-17
14-26
22-26
28-27
18-12
21-29
22-21
19-19
21-29
25-31
18-22
19-26
27-17
14-26
14-24
27-21
23-13
22-28
13-28
20-29
22-27
22-27
21-24
26-28
19-22
21-23
14-26
27-18
17-25
22-24
21-22
176.3Avg total
83.3Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.189.0168.1-10.025%
Season at home (13)80.888.4169.2-7.631%
Season away (11)77.189.8166.9-12.718%
Last 10 (10)83.393.0176.3-9.710%
Last 5 (5)82.295.6177.8-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.889.9165.7-14.111%
vs Similar (10)80.378.9159.2+1.450%
vs Weaker (2)88.082.5170.5+5.550%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -4.1-4.1
Zalgiris KaunasGran Canaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H20/01
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A24/01
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A27/01
LKL
Khimki M.
#13
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A31/01
Euroleague
Skycop
#7
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H03/02
LKL
Barcelona
#5
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A07/02
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A10/02
LKL
Buducnost
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A28/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A03/03
LKL
78.3Avg total
39.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.137.075.1+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.835.675.4+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)36.638.274.9-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.278.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.480.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.541.073.5-8.525%-
vs Similar (10)35.938.774.6-2.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.935.075.9+5.969%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#14
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H20/01
ACB
Buducnost
#15
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A25/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H01/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H03/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A07/02
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H10/02
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A21/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H28/02
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A03/03
ACB
84.3Avg total
41.5Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.681.2-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.739.979.6-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)39.443.682.9-4.243%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.884.3-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.290.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.343.382.7-4.033%-
vs Similar (10)38.439.678.0-1.260%-
vs Weaker (2)47.036.583.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.1
48.0%
52.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.25.2
34.2%
37.0%15.6
🏀 Free throws19.516.1
82.6%
76.7%16.1
They take 55.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.3
48.2%
52.7%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.2
36.2%
37.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.613.3
75.6%
76.7%13.3
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LLWWLWLWLW
Gran Canaria
LLLLLLLLLW
#9
League position
#14
-9.8
Net rating
-15.3
100.4
Offensive rating
106.1
110.2
Defensive rating
121.4
48.9%
Effective FG%
50.9%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
60.8%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.3%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.2%
3-point %
36.2%
67.1%
Assist %
61.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 106.1Defence110.2 · 121.4Shooting48.9% · 50.9%3-point %34.2% · 36.2%Ball care19.0% · 17.3%Off. rebounds24.8% · 30.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Gran Canaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
1
Gran Canaria wins
DateGameScore
28/12/18Gran Canaria v Zalgiris Kaunas73-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19ANeptunas71-81
28/02/19ABaskonia73-80
22/02/19HBuducnost84-76
10/02/19AAlytaus Dzukija90-75
07/02/19ABarcelona72-78
03/02/19HSkycop96-67
31/01/19AKhimki M.64-74
27/01/19AJuventus98-80
24/01/19AOlimpia Milano70-80
20/01/19HNevezis82-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19ASan Pablo Burgos87-89
28/02/19HPanathinaikos80-99
21/02/19ACSKA Moscow85-107
10/02/19HGipuzkoa85-90
07/02/19AAnadolu Efes74-93
03/02/19HBaskonia83-101
01/02/19HOlimpia Milano104-106 OT
27/01/19AJoventut Badalona75-88
25/01/19ABuducnost70-75
20/01/19HMurcia90-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeWLLWW42%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%42%33%
Points / game77.779.276.2
Allowed / game79.580.478.6
Point differential-1.8-1.2-2.4
Avg total157.2159.6154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %12%8%17%
Gran Canaria
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLLLLL31%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %25%31%18%
Points / game79.180.877.1
Allowed / game89.088.489.8
Point differential-10.0-7.6-12.7
Avg total168.1169.2166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2421388%84.674.5+10.1
2 CSKA Moscow2419579%88.080.8+7.2
3 Real Madrid2418675%85.476.7+8.7
4 Anadolu Efes2415962%84.179.8+4.4
5 Barcelona2415962%78.275.7+2.5
6 Olimpia Milano24131154%87.586.0+1.5
7 Baskonia24121250%81.079.5+1.5
8 Olympiacos24121250%77.877.5+0.3
9 Bayern24121250%79.680.5-1.0
10 Panathinaikos25121348%79.479.4-0.0
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv24111346%79.379.5-0.2
12 Khimki M.2491538%78.480.0-1.6
13 Zalgiris Kaunas2491538%77.779.5-1.8
14 Buducnost2461825%74.684.6-10.0
15 Gran Canaria2461825%79.189.0-10.0
16 Darussafaka2532212%74.085.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2521312198
Gran Canaria1017181964
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