Zalgiris Kaunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 15:20

Final 82-79

24-18 14-18 26-25 18-18

Position#1

Record16-2

FormLLLWW

Points / game85.7

Allowed / game68.4

Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆

Nevezis

Position#9

Record4-14

FormLLWLW

Points / game72.2

Allowed / game85.0

LKL

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Nevezis winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#10

80-73

H21/12

Euroleague

Juventus

72-69

H23/12

LKL

Gran Canaria

#14

66-73

-7

A28/12

Euroleague

Skycop

93-48

+45

H30/12

LKL

CSKA Moscow

79-84

-5

H04/01

Euroleague

Neptunas

93-98 OT

-5

A06/01

LKL

Anadolu Efes

58-79

-21

H08/01

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

61-78

-17

A10/01

Euroleague

Lietkabelis

73-69

A13/01

LKL

Panathinaikos

82-69

+13

H18/01

Euroleague

16-16

23-17

20-20

21-20

15-24

23-13

18-18

16-14

17-20

9-16

24-21

16-16

23-11

21-14

31-14

18-9

17-28

17-16

25-11

20-29

12-16

28-18

22-21

16-23

14-16

15-24

16-23

13-16

11-19

18-24

15-14

17-21

12-20

17-15

18-13

26-21

13-19

20-18

19-14

30-18

149.7Avg total

75.7Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	85.7	68.4	154.1	+17.3	89%
Season at home (9)	85.0	67.3	152.3	+17.7	89%
Season away (9)	86.4	69.4	155.9	+17.0	89%
Last 10 (10)	75.7	74.0	149.7	+1.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	78.6	152.0	-5.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	77.4	84.4	161.9	-7.0	14%
vs Similar (8)	83.4	79.8	163.1	+3.6	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	85.0	68.3	153.3	+16.7	87%

This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Nevezis

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lietkabelis

66-87

-21

A03/11

LKL

Neptunas

69-83

-14

H10/11

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

68-74

-6

H18/11

LKL

Rytas

61-100

100

-39

A24/11

LKL

Lietkabelis

68-83

-15

H07/12

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

55-79

-24

H16/12

LKL

Skycop

93-96 OT

-3

A22/12

LKL

Siauliai

#10

81-78

A02/01

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

67-92

-25

A05/01

LKL

Juventus

97-93

H13/01

LKL

21-17

10-27

28-20

7-23

9-22

20-28

21-12

19-21

13-25

18-10

13-20

24-19

12-24

16-29

16-17

17-30

10-24

16-25

23-19

19-15

9-18

17-20

10-23

19-18

13-22

11-19

18-12

23-12

23-21

20-23

22-19

16-15

17-26

12-17

25-33

13-16

27-21

26-22

21-30

23-20

159.0Avg total

72.5Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	72.2	85.0	157.2	-12.8	22%
Season at home (9)	73.9	80.8	154.7	-6.9	33%
Season away (9)	70.4	89.2	159.7	-18.8	11%
Last 10 (10)	72.5	86.5	159.0	-14.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	87.6	166.2	-9.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	72.9	87.0	159.9	-14.1	17%
vs Similar (6)	84.0	78.8	162.8	+5.2	83%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Zalgiris KaunasNevezis

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.8	36.6	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	15.9	33.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.0	18.9	33.9	-3.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.4	18.0	30.4	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.4	19.1	38.6	+0.3	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.1	15.9	35.1	+3.2	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	23.3	40.9	-5.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.1	22.5	39.6	-5.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	24.3	42.5	-6.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	22.0	37.4	-6.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.6	39.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	16.8	23.9	40.7	-7.0	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.7	21.2	41.8	-0.5	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.0	37.8	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	17.5	36.4	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	18.6	39.4	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.5	36.6	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	43%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.1	17.2	37.3	+2.9	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	20.4	42.4	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.8	21.9	37.7	-6.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	22.0	38.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.2	37.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	17.9	21.0	38.8	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	24.0	21.8	45.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#10

39-33

H21/12

Euroleague

Juventus

38-37

H23/12

LKL

Gran Canaria

#14

26-36

-10

A28/12

Euroleague

Skycop

44-25

+19

H30/12

LKL

CSKA Moscow

34-44

-10

H04/01

Euroleague

Neptunas

40-34

A06/01

LKL

Anadolu Efes

29-40

-11

H08/01

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

29-43

-14

A10/01

Euroleague

Lietkabelis

29-35

-6

A13/01

LKL

Panathinaikos

33-37

-4

H18/01

Euroleague

70.5Avg total

34.1Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	35.8	74.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.9	36.9	75.8	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.2	34.5	72.7	+3.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	36.4	70.5	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	37.8	69.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.4	39.0	76.4	-1.6	57%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.4	38.0	76.4	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	39.2	33.1	72.3	+6.1	67%	-

This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lietkabelis

31-44

-13

A03/11

LKL

Neptunas

29-50

-21

H10/11

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

31-35

-4

H18/11

LKL

Rytas

28-53

-25

A24/11

LKL

Lietkabelis

26-49

-23

H07/12

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

26-38

-12

H16/12

LKL

Skycop

24-41

-17

A22/12

LKL

Siauliai

#10

43-44

-1

A02/01

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

29-43

-14

A05/01

LKL

Juventus

53-43

+10

H13/01

LKL

76.0Avg total

32.0Scored

44.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	44.5	81.2	-7.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	42.9	82.0	-3.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.0	46.2	80.2	-12.2	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.0	44.0	76.0	-12.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	41.8	76.8	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	34.7	44.8	79.5	-10.1	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	44.7	43.0	87.7	+1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	17.1	38.8	+4.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	17.0	38.5	+4.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	17.2	39.1	+4.7	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	16.9	37.7	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.9	17.7	37.6	+2.1	57%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	24.1	16.0	40.1	+8.1	93%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.9	38.7	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	19.2	38.2	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	20.7	39.3	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.4	42.6	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.7	20.4	39.0	-1.7	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	20.2	41.1	+0.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.6	25.9	44.4	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.8	20.8	44.5	+3.0	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.7	17.8	38.5	+2.9	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	19.2	39.7	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	20.9	37.4	-4.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.2	35.0	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.3	20.5	38.8	-2.2	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	17.8	37.7	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	37.6	80.3	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.3	37.2	79.6	+5.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.1	37.9	81.1	+5.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	35.6	75.7	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	36.8	75.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	38.4	43.6	82.0	-5.1	14%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.5	39.4	81.9	+3.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	44.8	33.8	78.6	+11.0	93%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	39.9	77.3	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.6	38.4	77.9	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.1	41.6	76.6	-6.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	39.4	77.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	39.6	77.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	37.0	40.9	77.9	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.3	35.8	75.2	+3.5	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 74.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀23%

🏀25%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 23% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 25% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game

50%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	19.5	50.6%	55.4%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	14.6	5.6	38.4%	35.5%	16.8
🏀 Free throws	22.6	18.5	81.9%	73.8%	18.5

They take 53.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 14.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	19.3	54.1%	55.4%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	8.9	35.2%	35.5%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	14.4	10.9	75.7%	73.8%	10.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	21.3	53.8%	55.4%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	14.2	6.0	42.2%	35.5%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	22.4	17.5	78.2%	73.8%	17.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.0	18.3	52.2%	55.4%	36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.9	8.6	36.1%	35.5%	25.9
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.7	76.9%	73.8%	14.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zalgiris Kaunas wins

Nevezis wins

Date	Game	Score
16/12/18	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	55-79
03/10/18	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	81-68
25/05/18	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	84-69
24/05/18	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	75-96
12/05/18	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	95-70
29/04/18	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	91-72
12/03/18	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	73-79
07/01/18	Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis	94-68
01/10/17	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	66-77
09/04/17	Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas	54-82

Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/01/19	H	Panathinaikos	82-69
13/01/19	A	Lietkabelis	73-69
10/01/19	A	Fenerbahce	61-78
08/01/19	H	Anadolu Efes	58-79
06/01/19	A	Neptunas	93-98 OT
04/01/19	H	CSKA Moscow	79-84
30/12/18	H	Skycop	93-48
28/12/18	A	Gran Canaria	66-73
23/12/18	H	Juventus	72-69
21/12/18	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	80-73

Nevezislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/01/19	H	Juventus	97-93
05/01/19	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	67-92
02/01/19	A	Siauliai	81-78
22/12/18	A	Skycop	93-96 OT
16/12/18	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	55-79
07/12/18	H	Lietkabelis	68-83
24/11/18	A	Rytas	61-100
18/11/18	H	Alytaus Dzukija	68-74
10/11/18	H	Neptunas	69-83
03/11/18	A	Lietkabelis	66-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas

LKL 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	89%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	WWWLW	89%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	89%	89%	89%
Points / game	85.7	85.0	86.4
Allowed / game	68.4	67.3	69.4
Point differential	+17.3	+17.7	+17.0
Avg total	154.1	152.3	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	61%	67%	56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

Nevezis

LKL 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	22%
Home	LLLLW	33%
Away	LLLWL	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	22%	33%	11%
Points / game	72.2	73.9	70.4
Allowed / game	85.0	80.8	89.2
Point differential	-12.8	-6.9	-18.8
Avg total	157.2	154.7	159.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	18	16	2	89%	85.7	68.4	+17.3
2	Neptunas	19	15	4	79%	86.1	76.7	+9.3
3	Rytas	19	14	5	74%	84.6	75.4	+9.2
4	Lietkabelis	19	11	8	58%	79.8	78.3	+1.5
5	Pieno Zvaigzdes	19	10	9	53%	81.9	86.2	-4.3
6	Juventus	18	7	11	39%	78.9	80.6	-1.7
7	Skycop	19	7	12	37%	77.3	84.6	-7.3
8	Alytaus Dzukija	19	6	13	32%	78.7	81.8	-3.1
9	Nevezis	18	4	14	22%	72.2	85.0	-12.8
10	Siauliai	18	3	15	17%	79.1	87.4	-8.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zalgiris Kaunas	24	14	26	18	82
Nevezis	18	18	25	18	79

← all games of the day

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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