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Baskonia vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 80-73
17-12 23-13 19-27 21-21
Position#8
Record11-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#9
Record9-14
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game79.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24
European cup2018
Meetings · Baskonia v Zalgiris Kaunas
28 Jan 2027
BAS v ZAL
upcoming
30 Jan 2026
BAS102
ZAL91
06 Mar 2025
BAS66
ZAL65
19 Oct 2023
BAS82
ZAL99
23 Nov 2022
BAS93
ZAL73
01 Apr 2022
BAS96
ZAL79
29 Jan 2021
BAS81
ZAL68
28 Feb 2019
BAS80
ZAL73
15 Mar 2018
BAS84
ZAL64
06 Apr 2017
BAS79
ZAL84
25 Feb 2016
BAS71
ZAL65
19 Oct 2012
BAS71
ZAL77
10 Nov 2010
BAS88
ZAL92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H18/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H20/01
ACB
Darussafaka
#16
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A25/01
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H27/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H31/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
101-83
101
83
+18
A03/02
ACB
Bayern
#12
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H08/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A10/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
89-98
89
98
-9
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#5
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A21/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
26-28
20-10
18-16
19-15
19-21
23-26
12-20
29-21
18-24
14-18
14-17
15-18
23-8
16-14
18-23
26-18
28-23
27-16
16-16
19-19
29-21
31-25
22-18
19-16
19-21
21-16
17-15
19-15
18-22
15-20
24-25
16-29
26-16
26-28
21-25
9-22
17-24
19-16
22-15
158.7Avg total
80.6Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.079.8160.9+1.248%
Season at home (10)80.272.4152.6+7.870%
Season away (13)81.785.5167.2-3.831%
Last 10 (10)80.678.1158.7+2.550%
Last 5 (5)81.881.6163.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.788.3171.0-5.733%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.880.4160.2-0.742%
vs Weaker (14)82.173.9156.0+8.379%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A13/01
LKL
Panathinaikos
#7
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H18/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H20/01
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A24/01
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
A27/01
LKL
Khimki M.
#13
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A31/01
Euroleague
Skycop
#7
W
96-67
96
67
+29
H03/02
LKL
Barcelona
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A07/02
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
90-75
90
75
+15
A10/02
LKL
Buducnost
#15
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H22/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
17-15
18-13
26-21
13-19
20-18
19-14
30-18
24-18
14-18
26-25
18-18
13-21
17-13
20-18
20-28
21-22
21-21
25-13
31-24
17-19
20-17
19-11
8-27
30-15
23-16
24-18
19-18
20-23
18-22
24-15
10-18
25-23
27-20
17-18
21-14
20-18
19-18
21-26
24-14
155.8Avg total
81.1Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.979.5157.3-1.639%
Season at home (12)79.280.4159.6-1.242%
Season away (11)76.578.5154.9-2.036%
Last 10 (10)81.174.7155.8+6.470%
Last 5 (5)81.274.0155.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.885.0158.8-11.20%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.678.7157.3-0.140%
vs Weaker (16)87.671.2158.8+16.388%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
BaskoniaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H18/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H20/01
ACB
Darussafaka
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A25/01
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H27/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H31/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A03/02
ACB
Bayern
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H08/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A10/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#5
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A21/02
Euroleague
81.2Avg total
41.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.279.2+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.838.480.2+3.462%-
Last 30 away (17)38.539.978.4-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.281.2+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.079.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.043.384.3-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.941.581.4-1.642%-
vs Weaker (14)39.636.075.6+3.671%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A13/01
LKL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H18/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H20/01
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A24/01
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A27/01
LKL
Khimki M.
#13
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A31/01
Euroleague
Skycop
#7
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H03/02
LKL
Barcelona
#5
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A07/02
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A10/02
LKL
Buducnost
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/02
Euroleague
76.7Avg total
39.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.836.375.0+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.435.975.3+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.136.774.8+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.676.7+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.282.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.541.073.5-8.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.838.675.4-1.840%-
vs Weaker (16)41.633.675.2+7.975%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.9
52.8%
52.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.0
34.8%
37.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.113.9
76.8%
76.7%13.9
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.8
48.3%
52.7%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.05.8
36.2%
37.0%17.4
🏀 Free throws19.215.8
82.3%
76.7%15.8
They take 54.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLLWWWWLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWLWLWWW
#8
League position
#9
+5.1
Net rating
-7.3
107.1
Offensive rating
103.5
102.0
Defensive rating
110.8
52.6%
Effective FG%
50.1%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
18.5%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.8%
3-point %
36.2%
61.6%
Assist %
66.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 103.5Defence102.0 · 110.8Shooting52.6% · 50.1%3-point %34.8% · 36.2%Ball care17.4% · 18.5%Off. rebounds26.4% · 26.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Baskonia   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Baskonia wins
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/19ABarcelona67-77
15/02/19HJoventut Badalona89-98
10/02/19AReal Madrid76-82
08/02/19HBayern76-68
03/02/19AGran Canaria101-83
31/01/19HMaccabi Tel Aviv97-73
27/01/19HObradoiro CAB72-63
25/01/19ADarussafaka75-80
20/01/19HBarcelona73-82
18/01/19HOlimpia Milano80-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/19HBuducnost84-76
10/02/19AAlytaus Dzukija90-75
07/02/19ABarcelona72-78
03/02/19HSkycop96-67
31/01/19AKhimki M.64-74
27/01/19AJuventus98-80
24/01/19AOlimpia Milano70-80
20/01/19HNevezis82-79
18/01/19HPanathinaikos82-69
13/01/19ALietkabelis73-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL48%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayWLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %48%70%31%
Points / game81.080.281.7
Allowed / game79.872.485.5
Point differential+1.2+7.8-3.8
Avg total160.9152.6167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%30%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW39%
HomeWLLWW42%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %39%42%36%
Points / game77.979.276.5
Allowed / game79.580.478.5
Point differential-1.6-1.2-2.0
Avg total157.3159.6154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%8%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %13%8%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2421388%84.674.5+10.1
2 Real Madrid2318578%86.076.7+9.4
3 CSKA Moscow2318578%87.780.8+6.9
4 Anadolu Efes2415962%84.179.8+4.4
5 Barcelona2314961%78.276.0+2.3
6 Olimpia Milano24131154%87.586.0+1.5
7 Olympiacos23121152%77.776.7+1.0
8 Baskonia23111248%81.079.8+1.2
9 Bayern23111248%79.280.8-1.6
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv24111346%79.379.5-0.2
11 Panathinaikos23101343%78.079.9-1.9
12 Zalgiris Kaunas2391439%77.979.5-1.6
13 Khimki M.2491538%78.480.0-1.6
14 Gran Canaria2361726%79.088.6-9.6
15 Buducnost2361726%74.684.4-9.8
16 Darussafaka2432112%74.384.8-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1723192180
Zalgiris Kaunas1213272173
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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