PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Rytas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 21 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 14:50
Scheduled
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
3.6/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game85.4
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Rytas
21 Mar 2027
ZAL v RYT
upcoming
06 Dec 2026
ZAL v RYT
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
ZAL98
RYT81
22 Feb 2026
ZAL101
RYT85
02 Nov 2025
ZAL79
RYT75
21 Jun 2025
ZAL76
RYT69
17 Jun 2025
ZAL80
RYT86
12 Jun 2025
ZAL89
RYT97
18 May 2025
ZAL97
RYT79
08 Dec 2024
ZAL78
RYT67
10 Jun 2024
ZAL91
RYT81
05 Jun 2024
ZAL88
RYT89
14 Apr 2024
ZAL92
RYT78
10 Mar 2024
ZAL97
RYT94
10 Jun 2023
ZAL97
RYT87
06 Jun 2023
ZAL95
RYT80
01 Jun 2023
ZAL108
RYT93
17 Apr 2023
ZAL81
RYT75
12 Mar 2023
ZAL94
RYT100
07 Nov 2021
ZAL75
RYT84
07 Jun 2021
ZAL84
RYT73
02 Jun 2021
ZAL90
RYT75
11 Apr 2021
ZAL85
RYT86
06 Dec 2020
ZAL92
RYT45
26 Jan 2020
ZAL71
RYT61
08 Dec 2019
ZAL78
RYT72
12 May 2019
ZAL91
RYT75
09 Dec 2018
ZAL95
RYT86
18 Jun 2018
ZAL80
RYT70
14 Jun 2018
ZAL90
RYT80
09 Jun 2018
ZAL96
RYT83
13 Apr 2018
ZAL77
RYT66
10 Dec 2017
ZAL63
RYT65
22 Apr 2017
ZAL90
RYT60
27 Nov 2016
ZAL84
RYT68
17 Apr 2016
ZAL79
RYT74
25 Oct 2015
ZAL79
RYT70
03 Jun 2015
ZAL71
RYT68
28 May 2015
ZAL73
RYT66
25 Apr 2015
ZAL82
RYT81
12 Jan 2015
ZAL91
RYT77
12 May 2014
ZAL72
RYT57
26 Apr 2014
ZAL84
RYT86
04 May 2013
ZAL72
RYT45
30 Apr 2013
ZAL88
RYT73
13 Apr 2013
ZAL70
RYT73
13 May 2012
ZAL90
RYT84
06 May 2012
ZAL71
RYT56
29 Apr 2012
ZAL74
RYT70
05 Apr 2012
ZAL86
RYT81
13 Mar 2010
ZAL85
RYT82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
70-85
70
85
-15
63avg 88
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
95avg 88
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 88
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#7
W
86-63
86
63
+23
93avg 88
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 88
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 88
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
83-67
83
67
+16
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#8
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A08/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
24-21
20-25
14-18
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
25-21
17-28
28-20
24-20
20-17
25-14
17-13
21-23
21-17
27-25
12-20
34-23
18-25
27-16
18-11
23-31
167.9Avg total
89.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.276.1169.3+17.1100%
Season at home (4)95.072.2167.2+22.8100%
Season away (5)91.879.2171.0+12.6100%
Last 10 (10)89.278.7167.9+10.590%
Last 5 (5)88.880.8169.6+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.093.0184.0-2.00%
vs Similar (4)84.584.2168.8+0.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)93.478.2171.6+15.292%
This opponent (Rytas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 87
H10/10
LKL
Nanterre
#38
L
65-93
65
93
-28
57avg 87
A13/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
W
95-88
95
88
+7
97avg 87
A17/10
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 87
A21/10
LKL
Juventus
#8
W
94-76
94
76
+18
94avg 87
A25/10
LKL
Trabzonspor
#26
W
97-81
97
81
+16
93avg 87
H28/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A05/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A07/11
LKL
Nanterre
#38
W
102-82
102
82
+20
no box
H11/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
22-18
27-21
19-16
17-21
13-14
15-31
20-27
21-27
27-15
28-24
19-22
21-24
12-17
24-16
22-14
30-25
21-17
20-10
23-24
25-22
21-7
26-28
25-24
21-25
28-17
20-28
20-24
27-22
22-22
12-22
30-21
21-20
25-22
14-23
21-20
32-16
20-20
22-25
28-21
171.3Avg total
87.9Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.685.4175.0+4.262%
Season at home (3)92.392.0184.3+0.333%
Season away (5)88.081.4169.4+6.680%
Last 10 (10)87.983.4171.3+4.570%
Last 5 (5)92.085.8177.8+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)79.584.5164.0-5.00%
vs Similar (5)93.085.6178.6+7.480%
vs Weaker (23)90.884.5175.3+6.370%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
Zalgiris KaunasRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/10
Euroleague
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#7
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A08/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/11
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
43.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.039.284.3+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.739.586.3+7.280%-
Last 30 away (15)43.338.982.3+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.281.3+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.685.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.044.088.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (4)42.244.086.2-1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.538.383.8+7.280%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H10/10
LKL
Nanterre
#38
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A13/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A17/10
LKL
Taurage
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A21/10
LKL
Juventus
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A25/10
LKL
Trabzonspor
#26
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H28/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A05/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/11
LKL
Nanterre
#38
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H11/11
Champions League
83.7Avg total
44.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.486.2+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.639.485.0+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)43.843.787.5+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.439.383.7+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)48.438.687.0+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)43.042.085.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (5)39.842.482.2-2.640%-
vs Weaker (23)46.041.287.1+4.870%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
70.8%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.6
58.7%
55.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
35.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws27.618.8
68.1%
70.8%18.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWWL
Rytas
WLWLWWWWLW
#1
League position
#2
+11.2
Net rating
+2.5
106.4
Offensive rating
99.7
95.2
Defensive rating
97.2
59.8%
Effective FG%
55.3%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.44
43.4%
3-point %
33.9%
69.0%
Assist %
61.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 99.7Defence95.2 · 97.2Shooting59.8% · 55.3%3-point %43.4% · 33.9%Ball care16.4% · 15.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
1
Rytas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AOlimpia Milano86-83
08/11/26AJuventus94-85
06/11/26ABesiktas83-67
02/11/26ARytas94-89
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76
16/10/26HAnadolu Efes70-85
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HNanterre102-82
07/11/26ALietkabelis81-85
05/11/26AJonava91-87
02/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas89-94
28/10/26HTrabzonspor97-81
25/10/26AJuventus94-76
21/10/26ATaurage79-71
17/10/26ASiauliai95-88
13/10/26ANanterre65-93
10/10/26HNeptunas86-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.295.091.8
Allowed / game76.172.279.2
Point differential+17.1+22.8+12.6
Avg total169.3167.2171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rytas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%33%80%
Points / game89.692.388.0
Allowed / game85.492.081.4
Point differential+4.2+0.3+6.6
Avg total175.0184.3169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
8 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.