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Rytas vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:50
Final 86-77
18-22 22-18 27-21 19-16
Position#3
Record0-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game105.0
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#4
Record2-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game81.5
LithuaniaLKL· Active Vilnius Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Rytas v Neptunas
11 Apr 2027
RYT v NEP
upcoming
10 Oct 2026
RYT86
NEP77
14 Feb 2026
RYT100
NEP95
18 Oct 2025
RYT97
NEP93
24 Apr 2025
RYT103
NEP85
18 Jan 2025
RYT77
NEP92
21 Sep 2024
RYT84
NEP90
16 Mar 2024
RYT83
NEP84
11 Nov 2023
RYT93
NEP75
12 May 2023
RYT107
NEP99
29 Sep 2022
RYT93
NEP67
05 Dec 2021
RYT97
NEP76
04 May 2021
RYT97
NEP76
20 Jan 2021
RYT95
NEP83
18 Jan 2020
RYT92
NEP69
28 Sep 2019
RYT85
NEP75
24 May 2019
RYT v NEP
upcoming
30 Mar 2019
RYT70
NEP52
03 Nov 2018
RYT66
NEP78
06 Jun 2018
RYT88
NEP82
02 Jun 2018
RYT74
NEP67
28 May 2018
RYT79
NEP84
18 Mar 2018
RYT86
NEP99
14 Oct 2017
RYT92
NEP79
10 Jun 2017
RYT75
NEP66
04 Jun 2017
RYT71
NEP54
29 May 2017
RYT79
NEP60
08 Apr 2017
RYT82
NEP62
30 Dec 2016
RYT78
NEP75
22 May 2016
RYT72
NEP73
17 May 2016
RYT66
NEP64
11 May 2016
RYT71
NEP83
09 Apr 2016
RYT95
NEP88
27 Dec 2015
RYT80
NEP76
20 May 2015
RYT96
NEP89
14 May 2015
RYT88
NEP79
13 Apr 2015
RYT84
NEP75
28 Dec 2014
RYT90
NEP94
28 Sep 2013
RYT87
NEP78
03 Nov 2011
RYT90
NEP65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
W
98-91
98
91
+7
98avg 88
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
71-96
71
96
-25
69avg 88
A03/05
LKL
Tenerife
#12
W
87-69
87
69
+18
84avg 88
H07/05
Champions League
AEK Athens
#1
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
87avg 88
A09/05
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
117-88
117
88
+29
120avg 88
A13/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
98-103
98
103
-5
95avg 88
A16/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
84-92
84
92
-8
77avg 88
A21/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
95-101
95
101
-6
85avg 88
H23/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
L
102-105
102
105
-3
98avg 88
H03/10
LKL
Sabah Baku
#24
W
82-73
82
73
+9
74avg 88
H06/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
22-21
20-22
32-24
19-24
14-24
22-26
16-22
18-17
22-17
22-19
25-16
15-25
10-17
20-21
35-17
32-22
27-13
28-33
30-20
25-22
30-25
19-25
24-31
27-29
22-26
16-16
19-21
32-30
24-20
27-30
12-21
25-31
23-20
32-27
22-27
16-20
23-18
22-19
21-16
183.0Avg total
92.6Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)102.0105.0207.0-3.00%
Season at home (1)102.0105.0207.0-3.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.690.4183.0+2.250%
Last 5 (5)92.294.8187.0-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.791.3170.0-12.70%
vs Similar ◀ (8)94.886.8181.5+8.075%
vs Weaker (19)93.185.6178.7+7.574%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
86-73
86
73
+13
86avg 83
H06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
68-80
68
80
-12
60avg 83
A08/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
66-63
66
63
+3
56avg 83
H11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
93avg 83
A13/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
56avg 83
H20/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
99-84
99
84
+15
97avg 83
H23/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 83
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#27
L
73-76
73
76
-3
66avg 83
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
89-62
89
62
+27
92avg 83
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#12
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 83
A07/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
15-23
23-25
17-11
28-18
13-13
13-25
14-24
15-24
25-13
10-15
16-11
28-26
22-16
20-22
21-18
18-20
16-20
17-21
18-32
18-16
31-20
28-20
22-28
24-18
20-16
27-24
7-29
15-21
21-15
15-23
22-17
34-10
21-12
14-19
20-21
15-31
24-26
27-18
18-18
159.6Avg total
80.3Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.881.5165.2+2.250%
Season at home (3)85.779.7165.3+6.067%
Season away (1)78.087.0165.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)80.379.3159.6+1.050%
Last 5 (5)84.680.4165.0+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.093.0174.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.881.3164.1+1.550%
vs Weaker (17)89.685.6175.2+3.953%
This opponent (Rytas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -3.4-3.4
RytasNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A03/05
LKL
Tenerife
#12
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H07/05
Champions League
AEK Athens
#1
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A09/05
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
59-35
59
35
+24
A13/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A16/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A21/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H23/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H03/10
LKL
Sabah Baku
#24
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H06/10
Champions League
89.5Avg total
45.0Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.443.789.1+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.640.587.1+6.180%-
Last 30 away (15)44.346.991.1-2.647%-
Last 10 (10)45.044.589.5+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)49.448.297.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.754.089.7-18.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.940.985.8+4.075%-
vs Weaker (19)47.243.290.4+4.068%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A08/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A13/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H20/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H23/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#27
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#12
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A07/10
Eurocup
80.6Avg total
43.4Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.941.687.5+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.142.289.4+4.959%-
Last 30 away (13)44.340.785.0+3.662%-
Last 10 (10)43.437.280.6+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.637.081.6+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.050.391.3-9.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.837.681.4+6.270%-
vs Weaker (17)48.042.490.4+5.665%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.622.5
61.5%
55.6%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.1
32.5%
35.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws25.217.3
68.7%
70.8%17.3
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.9
52.3%
55.6%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.7
34.7%
35.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.617.7
75.0%
70.8%17.7
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
WLLLLWWWLW
Neptunas
LWLLWLWWLW
#3
League position
#4
+2.4
Net rating
+0.7
102.9
Offensive rating
95.2
100.4
Defensive rating
94.4
55.6%
Effective FG%
52.2%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
13.9%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.40
32.5%
3-point %
34.7%
68.4%
Assist %
65.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 95.2Defence100.4 · 94.4Shooting55.6% · 52.2%3-point %32.5% · 34.7%Ball care13.9% · 16.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Rytas   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Rytas wins
4
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
29/04/26Neptunas v Rytas91-98
14/02/26Rytas v Neptunas100-95
31/01/26Neptunas v Rytas95-87
18/10/25Rytas v Neptunas97-93
24/04/25Rytas v Neptunas103-85
12/04/25Neptunas v Rytas92-85
18/01/25Rytas v Neptunas77-92
04/01/25Neptunas v Rytas76-94
21/12/24Neptunas v Rytas67-78
21/09/24Rytas v Neptunas84-90
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/26HSabah Baku82-73
03/10/26HGargzdai102-105
23/05/26HJuventus95-101
21/05/26AJuventus84-92
16/05/26AGargzdai98-103
13/05/26ANevezis117-88
09/05/26AAEK Athens92-86 OT
07/05/26HTenerife87-69
03/05/26ALietkabelis71-96
29/04/26ANeptunas98-91
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/26AChemnitz84-93
03/10/26HNevezis89-62
29/09/26HTrento73-76
26/09/26AGargzdai78-87
23/09/26HJuventus99-84
20/09/26HZalgiris Kaunas69-93
13/06/26ALietkabelis91-82
11/06/26HLietkabelis66-63
08/06/26ALietkabelis68-80
06/06/26HLietkabelis86-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game102.0102.0-
Allowed / game105.0105.0-
Point differential-3.0-3.0-
Avg total207.0207.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Neptunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game83.885.778.0
Allowed / game81.579.787.0
Point differential+2.2+6.0-9.0
Avg total165.2165.3165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas440100%97.274.0+23.2
2 Gargzdai43175%89.889.2+0.5
3 Juventus42250%88.284.2+4.0
4 Neptunas42250%83.881.5+2.2
5 Siauliai42250%81.582.8-1.2
6 Lietkabelis42250%78.586.0-7.5
7 Jonava31233%79.379.7-0.3
8 Taurage31233%83.789.3-5.7
9 Rytas1010%102.0105.0-3.0
10 Nevezis3030%68.089.3-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rytas1822271986
Neptunas2218211677
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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