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Zenit Petersburg vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-65
17-14 19-22 20-13 21-16
Position#6
Record11-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#11
Record11-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20
European cup2020
Meetings · Zenit Petersburg v Zalgiris Kaunas
15 Jan 2021
ZPE77
ZAL65
05 Feb 2013
ZPE69
ZAL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zenit Petersburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zenit PetersburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPetersburg
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
81-96
81
96
-15
72avg 79
A13/12
VTB United League
Bayern
#5
W
79-75
79
75
+4
77avg 79
H16/12
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
65-83
65
83
-18
58avg 79
A18/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
98-69
98
69
+29
100avg 79
H22/12
Euroleague
Astana
#12
W
77-70
77
70
+7
78avg 79
A26/12
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
79avg 79
A29/12
Euroleague
Enisey
#11
W
85-67
85
67
+18
86avg 79
A03/01
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
89-77
89
77
+12
88avg 79
A07/01
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
97-71
97
71
+26
100avg 79
H10/01
VTB United League
Bayern
#5
L
80-82
80
82
-2
70avg 79
A13/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
15-21
22-25
23-29
14-20
21-23
21-17
23-15
17-24
14-21
18-21
16-17
30-12
18-25
21-17
29-15
17-9
16-22
30-12
14-27
18-22
19-13
25-17
16-20
16-17
29-17
25-20
15-13
26-16
21-19
29-19
13-23
32-18
28-19
25-17
12-17
19-13
21-19
16-24
24-26
159.1Avg total
82.9Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.873.4150.2+3.465%
Season at home (6)77.575.0152.5+2.550%
Season away (11)76.572.5149.0+3.973%
Last 10 (10)82.976.2159.1+6.770%
Last 5 (5)85.873.8159.6+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.069.0142.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.675.9152.5+0.764%
vs Weaker (18)84.271.3155.5+12.883%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#16
W
81-69
81
69
+12
81avg 81
A11/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
92-73
92
73
+19
96avg 81
H15/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
99-62
99
62
+37
108avg 81
H17/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
82-77
82
77
+5
85avg 81
A20/12
LKL
Bayern
#5
W
74-73
74
73
+1
74avg 81
H23/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
74-71
74
71
+3
73avg 81
A29/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
104-74
104
74
+30
108avg 81
A03/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
98-82
98
82
+16
no box
A05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Khimki M.
#18
W
102-75
102
75
+27
108avg 81
H08/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
61avg 81
A13/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
19-21
17-17
21-19
25-22
19-14
24-11
24-26
24-7
27-24
30-16
18-15
27-13
13-7
13-27
29-30
22-16
18-19
16-16
18-22
12-14
19-23
23-11
20-23
34-20
25-20
25-14
20-20
25-26
28-24
23-17
22-15
22-20
17-28
39-13
24-14
11-18
21-27
20-15
21-23
161.8Avg total
87.9Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.577.5158.0+3.158%
Season at home (10)84.378.6162.9+5.750%
Season away (9)76.376.2152.6+0.167%
Last 10 (10)87.973.9161.8+14.090%
Last 5 (5)90.277.0167.2+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.579.0154.5-3.525%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.678.5159.1+2.158%
vs Weaker (14)87.671.2158.9+16.493%
This opponent (Zenit Petersburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
Zenit PetersburgZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zenit PetersburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A13/12
VTB United League
Bayern
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H16/12
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A18/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H22/12
Euroleague
Astana
#12
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A26/12
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A29/12
Euroleague
Enisey
#11
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A03/01
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A07/01
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H10/01
VTB United League
Bayern
#5
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A13/01
Euroleague
78.3Avg total
41.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.036.075.0+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.039.080.0+2.050%-
Last 30 away (18)37.733.971.7+3.867%-
Last 10 (10)41.237.178.3+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)45.834.680.4+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)26.026.052.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.537.572.9-2.036%-
vs Weaker (18)41.935.677.6+6.378%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#16
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A11/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H15/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H17/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
40-20
40
20
+20
A20/12
LKL
Bayern
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H23/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A29/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
59-40
59
40
+19
A03/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Khimki M.
#18
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H08/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A13/01
Euroleague
80.7Avg total
43.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.579.3+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.737.979.6+3.773%-
Last 30 away (15)39.839.178.9+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)43.237.580.7+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.086.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.041.077.0-5.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.841.281.0-1.350%-
vs Weaker (14)42.935.678.4+7.386%-
This opponent (Zenit Petersburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zenit Petersburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zenit Petersburg: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.3
53.2%
52.7%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.29.6
41.4%
38.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.716.1
81.7%
79.3%16.1
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.5
56.4%
52.7%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.610.7
47.3%
38.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws13.311.4
85.7%
79.3%11.4
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zenit Petersburg
LWWWWWWLWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#11
+8.3
Net rating
+24.4
114.2
Offensive rating
121.8
105.9
Defensive rating
97.4
56.8%
Effective FG%
61.9%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
19.2%
Turnover %
19.8%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.22
41.4%
3-point %
47.3%
68.1%
Assist %
69.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 121.8Defence105.9 · 97.4Shooting56.8% · 61.9%3-point %41.4% · 47.3%Ball care19.2% · 19.8%Off. rebounds30.2% · 35.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Zenit Petersburg   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Zenit Petersburg wins
2
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/21ABayern80-82
10/01/21HSaratov97-71
07/01/21APanathinaikos89-77
03/01/21AEnisey85-67
29/12/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv78-72
26/12/20AAstana77-70
22/12/20HCrvena zvezda98-69
18/12/20ACSKA Moscow65-83
16/12/20HBayern79-75
13/12/20ALokomotiv Kuban81-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/21ACSKA Moscow73-83
08/01/21HKhimki M.102-75
05/01/21APieno Zvaigzdes98-82
03/01/21ANeptunas104-74
29/12/20AAlba Berlin74-71
23/12/20HBayern74-73
20/12/20ALietkabelis82-77
17/12/20HFenerbahce99-62
15/12/20HBaskonia92-73
11/12/20APanathinaikos81-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zenit Petersburg
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL65%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17611
Win %65%50%73%
Points / game76.877.576.5
Allowed / game73.475.072.5
Point differential+3.4+2.5+3.9
Avg total150.2152.5149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%17%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeLWWWW50%
AwayLLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%50%67%
Points / game80.584.376.3
Allowed / game77.578.676.2
Point differential+3.1+5.7+0.1
Avg total158.0162.9152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1915479%85.178.5+6.6
2 Barcelona1913668%81.273.6+7.6
3 Real Madrid1812667%82.377.7+4.6
4 Zenit Petersburg1711665%76.873.4+3.4
5 Bayern1912763%79.776.5+3.2
6 Olimpia Milano1912763%82.479.7+2.7
7 Zalgiris Kaunas1911858%80.577.5+3.1
8 Olympiacos1810856%80.580.6-0.1
9 Anadolu Efes2011955%79.376.8+2.6
10 Valencia1910953%81.381.8-0.5
11 Fenerbahce1991047%74.678.3-3.7
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv2091145%79.778.5+1.2
13 Baskonia2091145%79.378.7+0.6
14 Alba Berlin2071335%77.083.6-6.6
15 Panathinaikos1861233%80.183.1-3.0
16 Crvena zvezda1861233%74.778.0-3.3
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1851328%74.880.8-6.0
18 Khimki M.2021810%78.690.3-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zenit Petersburg1719202177
Zalgiris Kaunas1422131665
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