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Lietkabelis vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 77-82
13-27 7-13 27-13 30-29
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#1
Record9-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game66.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Zalgiris Kaunas
07 Mar 2027
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
22 Nov 2026
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
28 May 2026
LIE75
ZAL95
04 Apr 2026
LIE82
ZAL94
23 Nov 2025
LIE77
ZAL81
03 May 2025
LIE76
ZAL88
05 Jan 2025
LIE85
ZAL89
23 May 2024
LIE89
ZAL90
01 Apr 2024
LIE77
ZAL83
03 Dec 2023
LIE68
ZAL80
28 May 2023
LIE66
ZAL95
24 May 2023
LIE83
ZAL86
09 May 2023
LIE87
ZAL85
18 Feb 2023
LIE67
ZAL77
09 Oct 2022
LIE66
ZAL74
21 May 2022
LIE86
ZAL75
16 May 2022
LIE79
ZAL55
24 Apr 2022
LIE85
ZAL67
27 Sep 2021
LIE69
ZAL73
06 Apr 2021
LIE88
ZAL94
20 Dec 2020
LIE77
ZAL82
19 Apr 2020
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
05 Jan 2020
LIE83
ZAL72
23 May 2019
LIE v ZAL
upcoming
04 May 2019
LIE76
ZAL81
13 Jan 2019
LIE69
ZAL73
31 May 2018
LIE79
ZAL94
02 May 2018
LIE74
ZAL81
19 Nov 2017
LIE66
ZAL70
06 Jun 2017
LIE59
ZAL72
31 May 2017
LIE86
ZAL83
30 Jan 2017
LIE79
ZAL77
22 Sep 2016
LIE90
ZAL86
14 Mar 2016
LIE70
ZAL90
16 Nov 2015
LIE69
ZAL95
02 May 2015
LIE67
ZAL73
04 Jan 2015
LIE63
ZAL82
02 Oct 2014
LIE70
ZAL88
13 Apr 2014
LIE64
ZAL76
28 Jan 2013
LIE61
ZAL113
26 Nov 2011
LIE79
ZAL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#24
W
80-73
80
73
+7
73avg 70
H21/10
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
W
78-76
78
76
+2
64avg 70
A24/10
LKL
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
L
66-76
66
76
-10
53avg 70
A27/10
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
90-94
90
94
-4
no box
A18/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A20/11
Eurocup
Neptunas
#6
W
90-80
90
80
+10
86avg 70
A05/12
LKL
Antwerp Giants
#24
L
77-86
77
86
-9
62avg 70
A09/12
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
78-59
78
59
+19
72avg 70
H12/12
LKL
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
77-69
77
69
+8
78avg 70
H16/12
Eurocup
Monaco
#2
L
64-88
64
88
-24
52avg 70
H18/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
23-15
18-23
20-15
20-17
20-25
16-16
22-18
19-15
19-24
14-19
14-18
18-29
20-23
24-20
28-22
17-21
17-16
12-28
27-17
24-22
13-18
28-23
25-17
16-16
21-27
21-18
19-25
19-18
20-10
21-19
18-12
20-20
19-17
18-20
20-12
15-21
18-21
9-27
22-19
155.6Avg total
77.3Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.473.3155.8+9.178%
Season at home (4)87.576.0163.5+11.575%
Season away (5)78.471.2149.6+7.280%
Last 10 (10)77.378.3155.6-1.050%
Last 5 (5)77.276.4153.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.578.5151.0-6.136%
vs Similar (5)84.076.6160.6+7.460%
vs Weaker (14)81.374.8156.1+6.571%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
CBet
#5
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
no box
H15/11
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
79avg 80
H17/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
92-98
92
98
-6
88avg 80
A20/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
81-59
81
59
+22
no box
H22/11
LKL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
70avg 80
H26/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
62-73
62
73
-11
56avg 80
H04/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
92-45
92
45
+47
95avg 80
H06/12
LKL
Panathinaikos
#16
W
81-69
81
69
+12
81avg 80
A11/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
92-73
92
73
+19
96avg 80
H15/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
99-62
99
62
+37
108avg 80
H17/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
20-26
26-21
14-20
17-26
21-19
20-21
20-21
25-21
15-31
24-21
28-25
22-20
14-14
22-15
23-10
15-23
17-22
19-21
24-17
14-17
19-22
15-16
14-18
23-11
22-11
27-11
20-12
24-12
19-21
17-17
21-19
25-22
19-14
24-11
24-26
24-7
27-24
30-16
18-15
160.4Avg total
85.5Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.666.8153.4+19.890%
Season at home (6)85.065.8150.8+19.283%
Season away (4)89.068.2157.2+20.8100%
Last 10 (10)85.574.9160.4+10.660%
Last 5 (5)85.264.4149.6+20.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.377.7154.0-1.333%
vs Similar (10)81.979.8161.7+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.368.6153.9+16.794%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
LietkabelisZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#24
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H21/10
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A24/10
LKL
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A27/10
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A18/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A20/11
Eurocup
Neptunas
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A05/12
LKL
Antwerp Giants
#24
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A09/12
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H12/12
LKL
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H16/12
Eurocup
Monaco
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H18/12
Eurocup
77.2Avg total
37.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.677.5+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.138.079.1+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)36.739.275.9-2.527%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.577.2-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.075.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.639.576.1-2.827%-
vs Similar (5)43.238.281.4+5.060%-
vs Weaker (14)39.138.177.2+1.143%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBet
#5
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H15/11
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H17/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A20/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H22/11
LKL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H26/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H06/12
LKL
Panathinaikos
#16
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A11/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H15/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H17/12
Euroleague
80.0Avg total
41.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.178.9+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.836.177.9+5.780%-
Last 30 away (15)41.938.079.9+3.960%-
Last 10 (10)41.338.780.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.232.275.4+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.339.777.0-2.333%-
vs Similar (10)40.742.282.9-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.333.676.9+9.788%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.516.9
49.0%
54.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.2
35.0%
36.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.115.1
75.1%
75.2%15.1
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.5
51.0%
54.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.69.1
44.2%
36.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws14.612.2
83.6%
75.2%12.2
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LWWLWLLLWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWLLWLLW
#3
League position
#1
-1.4
Net rating
+11.8
104.0
Offensive rating
114.4
105.4
Defensive rating
102.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
56.2%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
19.2%
Turnover %
18.9%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.0%
3-point %
44.2%
55.6%
Assist %
63.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 114.4Defence105.4 · 102.6Shooting50.5% · 56.2%3-point %35.0% · 44.2%Ball care19.2% · 18.9%Off. rebounds30.3% · 32.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lietkabelis wins
8
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/20HMonaco64-88
16/12/20HMoraBanc Andorra77-69
12/12/20HRytas78-59
09/12/20AAntwerp Giants77-86
05/12/20ANeptunas90-80
20/11/20AVirtus Bologna73-82
18/11/20ALokomotiv Kuban90-94
27/10/20AMoraBanc Andorra66-76
24/10/20AJuventus78-76
21/10/20HAntwerp Giants80-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/20HFenerbahce99-62
15/12/20HBaskonia92-73
11/12/20APanathinaikos81-69
06/12/20HRytas92-45
04/12/20HBarcelona62-73
26/11/20HZenit Petersburg75-83
22/11/20HNeptunas81-59
20/11/20AOlimpia Milano92-98
17/11/20HCSKA Moscow78-87
15/11/20HCBet103-100 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%75%80%
Points / game82.487.578.4
Allowed / game73.376.071.2
Point differential+9.1+11.5+7.2
Avg total155.8163.5149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %90%83%100%
Points / game86.685.089.0
Allowed / game66.865.868.2
Point differential+19.8+19.2+20.8
Avg total153.4150.8157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %10%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas109190%86.666.8+19.8
2 Lietkabelis97278%82.473.3+9.1
3 Juventus106460%84.286.8-2.6
4 Rytas127558%87.281.2+6.0
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes116555%81.483.2-1.8
6 Nevezis-OPTIBET105550%82.181.4+0.7
7 Alytaus Dzukija93633%82.784.7-2.0
8 CBet124833%87.289.7-2.4
9 Neptunas113827%77.186.8-9.7
10 Siauliai102820%77.193.0-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis137273077
Zalgiris Kaunas2713132982
← all games of the day
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