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Panathinaikos vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 69-81
12-24 21-19 17-17 19-21
Position#16
Record4-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#11
Record5-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13
European cup2020
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Zalgiris Kaunas
18 Mar 2027
PAO v ZAL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
PAO92
ZAL88
23 Jan 2025
PAO89
ZAL76
15 Nov 2023
PAO73
ZAL71
26 Jan 2023
PAO89
ZAL65
01 Mar 2022
PAO83
ZAL96
11 Dec 2020
PAO69
ZAL81
26 Oct 2018
PAO83
ZAL87
25 Jan 2018
PAO94
ZAL93
14 Oct 2016
PAO84
ZAL76
13 Nov 2015
PAO91
ZAL56
16 Jan 2015
PAO77
ZAL58
28 Dec 2012
PAO67
ZAL66
04 Nov 2011
PAO92
ZAL75
25 Sep 2011
PAO80
ZAL66
02 Oct 2010
PAO70
ZAL76
22 Oct 2008
PAO78
ZAL51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
83-89
83
89
-6
76avg 75
H06/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#5
W
96-67
96
67
+29
103avg 75
H08/11
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
77-80
77
80
-3
70avg 75
H13/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
83-95
83
95
-12
83avg 75
A17/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 75
A19/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
90-67
90
67
+23
85avg 75
H22/11
Basket League
Bayern
#5
W
83-76
83
76
+7
77avg 75
H27/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
73-97
73
97
-24
60avg 75
A01/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
80-77
80
77
+3
79avg 75
A03/12
Euroleague
Ionikos
#8
W
79-53
79
53
+26
78avg 75
A06/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
18-27
16-14
25-24
23-11
28-17
26-22
19-17
22-21
18-15
14-23
23-21
21-22
20-23
25-25
17-25
23-20
16-26
19-20
14-27
23-12
21-18
21-20
25-17
18-13
26-22
16-19
23-22
17-20
13-24
21-24
22-29
18-22
12-20
24-18
26-17
21-14
19-14
20-13
19-12
161.0Avg total
81.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.284.2163.4-5.036%
Season at home (5)79.278.2157.4+1.040%
Season away (6)79.289.2168.3-10.033%
Last 10 (10)81.679.4161.0+2.250%
Last 5 (5)81.074.0155.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.086.7167.7-5.729%
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.083.2160.2-6.225%
vs Weaker (19)96.773.8170.5+22.889%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#7
L
90-93
90
93
-3
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
CBet
#5
W
96-72
96
72
+24
93avg 78
A08/11
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
57-85
57
85
-28
44avg 78
A12/11
Euroleague
CBet
#5
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
no box
H15/11
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
79avg 78
H17/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
92-98
92
98
-6
88avg 78
A20/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
81-59
81
59
+22
no box
H22/11
LKL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
70avg 78
H26/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
62-73
62
73
-11
56avg 78
H04/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
92-45
92
45
+47
95avg 78
H06/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-32
30-16
19-19
17-26
28-9
18-22
30-25
20-16
14-24
9-29
21-19
13-13
31-24
20-26
26-21
14-20
17-26
21-19
20-21
20-21
25-21
15-31
24-21
28-25
22-20
14-14
22-15
23-10
15-23
17-22
19-21
24-17
14-17
19-22
15-16
14-18
23-11
22-11
27-11
20-12
162.1Avg total
82.6Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.980.5158.4-2.642%
Season at home (6)79.383.8163.2-4.517%
Season away (6)76.577.2153.7-0.767%
Last 10 (10)82.679.5162.1+3.140%
Last 5 (5)80.471.6152.0+8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.377.7154.0-1.333%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.184.9163.0-6.729%
vs Weaker (20)84.771.0155.7+13.885%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
PanathinaikosZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H06/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#5
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H08/11
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A17/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A19/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H22/11
Basket League
Bayern
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H27/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A01/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A03/12
Euroleague
Ionikos
#8
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A06/12
Basket League
78.6Avg total
40.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.838.984.7+7.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.336.582.7+9.880%-
Last 30 away (15)45.441.386.7+4.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.578.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.873.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.741.680.3-2.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.040.076.0-4.025%-
vs Weaker (19)50.537.688.2+12.984%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#7
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H06/11
Euroleague
CBet
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A08/11
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
23-53
23
53
-30
A12/11
Euroleague
CBet
#5
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H15/11
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H17/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A20/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H22/11
LKL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H26/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H06/12
LKL
81.7Avg total
39.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.979.3+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.537.378.9+4.273%-
Last 30 away (15)41.238.579.7+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.981.7-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.475.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.339.777.0-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.446.084.4-7.629%-
vs Weaker (20)43.034.977.8+8.180%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.6
52.7%
52.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.68.6
39.8%
38.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.613.8
74.2%
79.3%13.8
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.8
52.4%
52.7%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.67.3
37.2%
38.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws16.914.5
85.8%
79.3%14.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWLWWLLLWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLLWLLWLWL
#16
League position
#11
+3.3
Net rating
+5.5
111.6
Offensive rating
111.8
108.3
Defensive rating
106.4
55.2%
Effective FG%
53.5%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
19.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.8%
3-point %
37.2%
61.0%
Assist %
62.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 111.8Defence108.3 · 106.4Shooting55.2% · 53.5%3-point %39.8% · 37.2%Ball care19.3% · 17.0%Off. rebounds31.0% · 28.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Panathinaikos wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/20AIonikos79-53
03/12/20AOlimpia Milano80-77
01/12/20ALyon-Villeurbanne73-97
27/11/20HBayern83-76
22/11/20HKolossos Rhodes90-67
19/11/20ABaskonia72-93
17/11/20AValencia83-95
13/11/20HAnadolu Efes77-80
08/11/20HPAOK96-67
06/11/20HCSKA Moscow83-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/20HRytas92-45
04/12/20HBarcelona62-73
26/11/20HZenit Petersburg75-83
22/11/20HNeptunas81-59
20/11/20AOlimpia Milano92-98
17/11/20HCSKA Moscow78-87
15/11/20HCBet103-100 OT
12/11/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv57-85
08/11/20ACBet96-72
06/11/20HReal Madrid90-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW36%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game79.279.279.2
Allowed / game84.278.289.2
Point differential-5.0+1.0-10.0
Avg total163.4157.4168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL42%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%17%67%
Points / game77.979.376.5
Allowed / game80.583.877.2
Point differential-2.6-4.5-0.7
Avg total158.4163.2153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1310377%83.179.1+4.0
2 Barcelona129375%80.871.9+8.9
3 Bayern128467%80.077.7+2.3
4 Olimpia Milano117464%83.580.5+3.0
5 Zenit Petersburg117464%74.371.8+2.5
6 Real Madrid138562%81.478.2+3.2
7 Valencia138562%81.981.2+0.7
8 Olympiacos127558%77.277.3-0.1
9 Anadolu Efes137654%78.276.5+1.7
10 Baskonia126650%79.073.4+5.6
11 Zalgiris Kaunas125742%77.980.5-2.6
12 Alba Berlin125742%77.882.2-4.4
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv135838%78.578.1+0.4
14 Fenerbahce135838%73.178.9-5.8
15 Panathinaikos114736%79.284.2-5.0
16 Crvena zvezda134931%74.776.8-2.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne113827%74.877.8-3.0
18 Khimki M.1321115%79.588.3-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos1221171969
Zalgiris Kaunas2419172181
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