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Alba Berlin vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 71-74
14-12 23-19 11-23 23-20
Position#15
Record6-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game83.6
Alba Berlin
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Position#11
Record9-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game77.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17
European cup2020
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas
17 Dec 2024
ABE66
ZAL86
05 Dec 2023
ABE64
ZAL62
07 Mar 2023
ABE63
ZAL66
03 Mar 2022
ABE82
ZAL74
29 Dec 2020
ABE71
ZAL74
04 Mar 2015
ABE80
ZAL72
29 Mar 2013
ABE77
ZAL55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A01/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
100-92
100
92
+8
A03/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#10
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A06/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A08/12
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H10/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H13/12
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
A15/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A17/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
W
93-83
93
83
+10
H19/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#7
L
62-91
62
91
-29
A22/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
9-23
19-22
14-11
27-21
24-29
32-15
17-27
21-15
22-20
19-21
9-13
14-15
20-16
18-24
19-23
23-16
21-11
26-14
19-22
22-20
19-11
17-24
24-15
15-16
19-21
14-20
28-19
18-25
14-14
20-27
17-26
20-19
31-22
22-20
20-22
18-19
12-26
14-27
18-19
157.9Avg total
78.2Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.083.6160.6-6.640%
Season at home (7)77.482.4159.9-5.043%
Season away (8)76.684.6161.2-8.038%
Last 10 (10)78.279.7157.9-1.560%
Last 5 (5)79.284.0163.2-4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.488.1161.5-14.825%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.179.6159.7+0.656%
vs Weaker (13)87.272.6159.8+14.5100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
92-98
92
98
-6
A20/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H22/11
LKL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H26/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H04/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
92-45
92
45
+47
H06/12
LKL
Panathinaikos
#16
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A11/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H15/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
99-62
99
62
+37
H17/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A20/12
LKL
Bayern
#5
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H23/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
15-31
24-21
28-25
22-20
14-14
22-15
23-10
15-23
17-22
19-21
24-17
14-17
19-22
15-16
14-18
23-11
22-11
27-11
20-12
24-12
19-21
17-17
21-19
25-22
19-14
24-11
24-26
24-7
27-24
30-16
18-15
27-13
13-7
13-27
29-30
22-16
18-19
16-16
18-22
154.2Avg total
83.0Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.177.7157.8+2.456%
Season at home (9)82.379.0161.3+3.344%
Season away (7)77.176.0153.1+1.171%
Last 10 (10)83.071.2154.2+11.870%
Last 5 (5)85.670.8156.4+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.377.7154.0-1.333%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.279.2160.4+2.055%
vs Weaker (16)86.569.2155.8+17.294%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
Alba BerlinZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A01/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A03/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A06/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A08/12
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H10/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H13/12
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A15/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A17/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H19/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#7
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A22/12
Euroleague
76.0Avg total
38.2Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.679.9+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.238.680.8+3.667%-
Last 30 away (15)40.438.578.9+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)38.237.876.0+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.676.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.947.882.6-12.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.236.676.8+3.756%-
vs Weaker (13)46.034.380.3+11.792%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A20/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H22/11
LKL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H26/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H06/12
LKL
Panathinaikos
#16
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A11/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H15/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H17/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
40-20
40
20
+20
A20/12
LKL
Bayern
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H23/12
Euroleague
75.1Avg total
40.4Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.936.678.5+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.136.978.9+5.280%-
Last 30 away (15)41.836.378.1+5.567%-
Last 10 (10)40.434.775.1+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.631.074.6+12.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.339.777.0-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.641.582.2-0.955%-
vs Weaker (16)43.732.676.2+11.194%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.8
53.0%
52.7%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.4
35.4%
38.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws12.69.4
74.6%
79.3%9.4
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.0
55.1%
52.7%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.79.6
44.2%
38.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws13.811.8
85.5%
79.3%11.8
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWLWWWLWWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWLLWL
#15
League position
#11
-0.4
Net rating
+17.9
108.3
Offensive rating
117.0
108.7
Defensive rating
99.2
53.0%
Effective FG%
59.2%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
19.5%
Turnover %
20.5%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.4%
3-point %
44.2%
73.6%
Assist %
67.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 117.0Defence108.7 · 99.2Shooting53.0% · 59.2%3-point %35.4% · 44.2%Ball care19.5% · 20.5%Off. rebounds34.1% · 34.5%Free throws0.19 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alba Berlin wins
2
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
04/03/15Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas80-72
09/01/15Zalgiris Kaunas v Alba Berlin75-62
29/03/13Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas77-55
31/01/13Zalgiris Kaunas v Alba Berlin92-56
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/20AReal Madrid62-91
19/12/20HUlm93-83
17/12/20APanathinaikos69-92
15/12/20ACrvena zvezda90-84 OT
13/12/20HBamberg82-70
10/12/20HFenerbahce89-63
08/12/20ALudwigsburg71-78
06/12/20ABayreuth71-69
03/12/20AValencia100-92
01/12/20AOlimpia Milano55-75
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/20HBayern74-73
20/12/20ALietkabelis82-77
17/12/20HFenerbahce99-62
15/12/20HBaskonia92-73
11/12/20APanathinaikos81-69
06/12/20HRytas92-45
04/12/20HBarcelona62-73
26/11/20HZenit Petersburg75-83
22/11/20HNeptunas81-59
20/11/20AOlimpia Milano92-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL40%
HomeLWLWW43%
AwayLWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%43%38%
Points / game77.077.476.6
Allowed / game83.682.484.6
Point differential-6.6-5.0-8.0
Avg total160.6159.9161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeLLWWW44%
AwayWWLLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %56%44%71%
Points / game80.182.377.1
Allowed / game77.779.076.0
Point differential+2.4+3.3+1.1
Avg total157.8161.3153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1613381%84.477.2+7.1
2 Real Madrid1712571%82.677.6+5.1
3 Barcelona1611569%80.672.6+8.0
4 Zenit Petersburg149564%75.672.6+3.0
5 Bayern1610662%78.875.8+3.0
6 Valencia1610662%82.681.2+1.4
7 Olimpia Milano159660%81.379.8+1.5
8 Zalgiris Kaunas169756%80.177.7+2.4
9 Olympiacos168850%79.880.1-0.4
10 Anadolu Efes178947%76.677.6-1.0
11 Baskonia157847%78.175.3+2.8
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv167944%78.677.9+0.7
13 Alba Berlin156940%77.083.6-6.6
14 Fenerbahce1661038%72.980.1-7.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne1551033%75.878.9-3.1
16 Panathinaikos1551033%80.484.1-3.7
17 Crvena zvezda1651131%75.078.8-3.8
18 Khimki M.1721512%80.189.3-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1423112371
Zalgiris Kaunas1219232074
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