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Zielona Gora vs Lancut Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 86-84
25-20 22-21 22-26 17-17
Position#15
Record4-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game92.1
vs
Position#16
Record4-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game89.9
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 19· CRS Hala Zielona Gora
Other2023-24
Meetings · Zielona Gora v Lancut
25 Jan 2024
ZGO86
LANC84
13 Dec 2022
ZGO81
LANC72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zielona Gora winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lancut winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zielona GoraPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGora
Date
Competition
Lublin
#7
W
95-91
95
91
+4
100avg 79
A26/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
L
81-86
81
86
-5
74avg 79
A30/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
91-97
91
97
-6
94avg 79
H10/12
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
69-73
69
73
-4
57avg 79
A17/12
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
W
105-93
105
93
+12
107avg 79
H21/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 79
H29/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
59avg 79
H03/01
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
89-110
89
110
-21
88avg 79
H11/01
Energa Basket Liga
Keila KK
#12
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
92avg 79
H17/01
ENBL
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
74-124
74
124
-50
56avg 79
A21/01
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
21-24
26-22
19-24
20-18
21-20
20-25
20-23
17-17
22-25
29-26
23-29
20-12
18-24
16-16
15-21
26-20
35-20
19-32
25-21
19-25
19-21
21-23
28-23
16-23
27-24
17-20
11-25
17-38
25-21
17-27
30-24
19-21
19-20
23-22
19-17
19-22
17-35
17-30
21-37
180.6Avg total
85.7Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.592.1174.6-9.622%
Season at home (8)85.094.2179.2-9.212%
Season away (10)80.590.4170.9-9.930%
Last 10 (10)85.794.9180.6-9.230%
Last 5 (5)83.2101.8185.0-18.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)83.293.1176.3-9.917%
vs Similar ◀ (7)85.985.6171.4+0.357%
vs Weaker (5)91.687.6179.2+4.080%
This opponent (Lancut) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Legia
#5
L
78-87
78
87
-9
75avg 74
A18/11
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
69-81
69
81
-12
62avg 74
A24/11
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
65avg 74
A02/12
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
118-115
118
115
+3
116avg 74
A06/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
no box
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
100-87
100
87
+13
96avg 74
A22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
82avg 74
H30/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
74-96
74
96
-22
70avg 74
H07/01
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
57avg 74
A14/01
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
70avg 74
H19/01
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
20-29
15-23
24-20
21-17
11-26
17-20
20-18
17-29
33-22
12-21
16-22
34-16
29-26
28-32
27-41
22-18
25-30
20-11
20-28
32-16
15-24
24-24
29-23
20-22
15-23
20-19
29-27
19-23
16-21
16-24
23-28
7-24
29-25
11-14
24-25
16-20
11-26
21-26
30-16
177.1Avg total
84.6Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.889.9172.8-7.122%
Season at home (9)81.187.8168.9-6.722%
Season away (9)84.692.1176.7-7.622%
Last 10 (10)84.692.5177.1-7.920%
Last 5 (5)81.490.0171.4-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)79.586.3165.8-6.824%
vs Similar ◀ (9)89.087.8176.8+1.244%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
Zielona GoraLancut
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lublin
#7
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A26/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A30/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H10/12
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A17/12
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
W
61-40
61
40
+21
H21/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H29/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H03/01
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H11/01
Energa Basket Liga
Keila KK
#12
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H17/01
ENBL
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A21/01
Energa Basket Liga
87.7Avg total
42.6Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.145.187.2-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.245.288.4-2.131%-
Last 30 away (14)40.944.985.9-4.043%-
Last 10 (10)42.645.187.7-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.450.089.4-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)41.646.888.4-5.222%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.942.386.1+1.671%-
vs Weaker (5)41.643.084.6-1.440%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legia
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A18/11
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A24/11
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A02/12
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
63-42
63
42
+21
A06/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H30/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H07/01
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A14/01
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H19/01
Energa Basket Liga
86.3Avg total
41.1Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.682.2-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.540.577.0-4.029%-
Last 30 away (16)42.444.486.8-1.931%-
Last 10 (10)41.145.286.3-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.044.880.8-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)38.942.881.7-4.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.642.083.6-0.433%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zielona Goratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zielona Gora: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.923.1
57.9%
53.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.5
29.0%
34.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.216.2
76.4%
73.2%16.2
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.1
55.8%
53.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.3
30.3%
34.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.016.4
82.0%
73.2%16.4
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zielona Gora
LWLLLWLLLW
Lancut
LLLLWLWLLL
#15
League position
#16
-11.0
Net rating
-9.8
106.0
Offensive rating
107.3
117.0
Defensive rating
117.0
52.2%
Effective FG%
50.9%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.3%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.0%
3-point %
30.3%
67.6%
Assist %
63.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 107.3Defence117.0 · 117.0Shooting52.2% · 50.9%3-point %29.0% · 30.3%Ball care16.3% · 17.3%Off. rebounds22.9% · 26.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Zielona Gora   ■ Lancut
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zielona Gora wins
1
Lancut wins
DateGameScore
15/10/23Lancut v Zielona Gora88-89 OT
20/04/23Lancut v Zielona Gora86-74
13/12/22Zielona Gora v Lancut81-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24ATrefl Sopot74-124
17/01/24HKeila KK95-91 OT
11/01/24HTorun89-110
03/01/24HLegia71-92
29/12/23HOstrow Wielkopolski87-92
21/12/23HSpojnia Stargard105-93
17/12/23ACzarni Slupsk69-73
10/12/23HDziki Warszawa91-97
30/11/23AGdynia81-86
26/11/23ALublin95-91
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24HLublin78-88
14/01/24AAnwil Wloclawek71-88
07/01/24HSzczecin74-96
30/12/23HSlask Wroclaw84-91
22/12/23AGTK Gliwice100-87
15/12/23HDabrowa Gornicza96-98 OT
06/12/23AGdynia118-115
02/12/23ATrefl Sopot78-94
24/11/23ATorun69-81
18/11/23ALegia78-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zielona Gora
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL22%
HomeLWLLL12%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %22%12%30%
Points / game82.585.080.5
Allowed / game92.194.290.4
Point differential-9.6-9.2-9.9
Avg total174.6179.2170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Lancut
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL22%
HomeWLLLL22%
AwayLLWWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %22%22%22%
Points / game82.881.184.6
Allowed / game89.987.892.1
Point differential-7.1-6.7-7.6
Avg total172.8168.9176.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %17%22%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek1816289%86.475.3+11.2
2 Trefl Sopot1813572%86.579.1+7.4
3 Ostrow Wielkopolski1811761%84.076.6+7.4
4 Lublin1710759%87.887.9-0.2
5 Szczecin1810856%89.183.8+5.3
6 Dabrowa Gornicza1810856%97.693.6+4.0
7 Spojnia Stargard1810856%79.676.1+3.6
8 Legia1810856%82.580.7+1.8
9 Torun1810856%82.680.9+1.7
10 Dziki Warszawa1910953%79.979.8+0.1
11 Slask Wroclaw189950%78.281.4-3.2
12 Czarni Slupsk1881044%77.982.4-4.4
13 GTK Gliwice1851328%86.592.5-6.0
14 Lancut1841422%82.889.9-7.1
15 Zielona Gora1841422%82.592.1-9.6
16 Gdynia1841422%80.692.6-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zielona Gora2522221786
Lancut2021261784
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