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Zielona Gora vs Lublin Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 23 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#14
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game81.0
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 28· CRS Hala Zielona Gora
Other2026-27
Meetings · Zielona Gora v Lublin
23 Apr 2027
ZGO v LUB
upcoming
19 Mar 2026
ZGO76
LUB73
10 Apr 2025
ZGO101
LUB92
24 Mar 2024
ZGO91
LUB103
27 Oct 2022
ZGO96
LUB67
20 Jan 2022
ZGO85
LUB70
03 Dec 2020
ZGO90
LUB75
09 Jan 2020
ZGO100
LUB93
31 Oct 2018
ZGO92
LUB70
31 Mar 2018
ZGO94
LUB72
01 Apr 2017
ZGO86
LUB75
26 Mar 2016
ZGO100
LUB53
17 Jan 2015
ZGO84
LUB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zielona Gora win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zielona GoraPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGora
Date
Competition
Legia
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
62avg 79
A21/06
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#13
L
95-105
95
105
-10
90avg 79
A03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szolnoki Olaj
#31
W
90-80
90
80
+10
89avg 79
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Legia
#8
W
104-87
104
87
+17
106avg 79
H09/10
Energa Basket Liga
Levice
#29
L
71-74
71
74
-3
69avg 79
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
GTK Gliwice
#9
W
84-76
84
76
+8
86avg 79
A17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Basquet Girona
#4
L
68-109
68
109
-41
56avg 79
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anwil Wloclawek
#6
W
78-77
78
77
+1
73avg 79
H24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Oostende
#28
W
80-77
80
77
+3
81avg 79
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Torun
#11
L
71-87
71
87
-16
no box
A31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
19-29
23-20
9-12
21-29
22-30
35-27
17-19
18-26
26-17
23-20
23-17
31-19
32-18
23-17
18-33
17-20
11-11
17-16
26-27
17-25
21-13
24-22
22-16
16-30
13-27
20-26
19-26
19-21
25-17
18-22
16-17
26-20
24-18
19-14
11-25
15-17
21-27
16-20
19-23
166.1Avg total
81.1Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.486.4172.8+0.060%
Season at home (2)91.082.0173.0+9.0100%
Season away (3)83.389.3172.7-6.033%
Last 10 (10)81.185.0166.1-3.950%
Last 5 (5)76.285.2161.4-9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.282.6157.8-7.440%
vs Similar (16)85.379.2164.6+6.175%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)93.086.8179.8+6.275%
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
72-103
72
103
-31
no box
A04/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
no box
A11/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
86-82
86
82
+4
79avg 72
H26/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
80-101
80
101
-21
69avg 72
H03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
100-105
100
105
-5
101avg 72
A06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#12
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
73avg 72
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#2
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 72
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#5
W
76-73
76
73
+3
67avg 72
H17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
54-70
54
70
-16
43avg 72
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
16-23
18-30
17-24
26-12
21-26
19-19
18-27
20-19
23-18
24-25
19-19
13-31
27-24
22-11
24-16
19-21
18-27
21-22
22-31
27-22
24-35
23-23
26-25
13-20
26-8
17-24
16-20
10-23
13-31
26-22
28-21
21-19
27-15
16-20
12-19
14-14
16-21
9-15
15-20
170.6Avg total
80.7Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.581.0152.5-9.525%
Season at home (2)77.578.5156.0-1.050%
Season away (2)65.583.5149.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)80.789.9170.6-9.230%
Last 5 (5)77.285.8163.0-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)80.688.7169.3-8.228%
vs Similar (4)91.892.0183.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (1)76.073.0149.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
Zielona GoraLublin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legia
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A21/06
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#13
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szolnoki Olaj
#31
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Legia
#8
W
63-37
63
37
+26
H09/10
Energa Basket Liga
Levice
#29
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
GTK Gliwice
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Basquet Girona
#4
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anwil Wloclawek
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Oostende
#28
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Torun
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A31/10
Energa Basket Liga
84.4Avg total
41.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.783.7+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.937.681.5+6.369%-
Last 30 away (17)40.644.885.4-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.184.4-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.082.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.840.678.4-2.840%-
vs Similar (16)44.841.085.8+3.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.847.088.8-5.20%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A04/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A11/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H26/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#12
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#2
L
23-54
23
54
-31
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#5
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
83.0Avg total
39.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.744.485.2-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.645.686.1-5.025%-
Last 30 away (14)40.943.184.1-2.236%-
Last 10 (10)39.543.583.0-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.679.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)40.343.884.1-3.632%-
vs Similar (4)43.252.896.0-9.50%-
vs Weaker (1)42.026.068.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zielona Goratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zielona Gora: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.6
54.2%
54.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.2
37.8%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.913.6
72.0%
71.5%13.6
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.6
56.9%
54.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.18.8
29.2%
32.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.516.6
77.2%
71.5%16.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zielona Gora
LWWLWLWWLL
Lublin
LWLLLLWWLL
#7
League position
#14
-2.4
Net rating
-10.8
97.3
Offensive rating
89.6
99.7
Defensive rating
100.4
55.3%
Effective FG%
50.6%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.8%
3-point %
29.2%
75.0%
Assist %
66.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.3 · 89.6Defence99.7 · 100.4Shooting55.3% · 50.6%3-point %37.8% · 29.2%Ball care15.2% · 16.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Zielona Gora   ■ Lublin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Zielona Gora wins
3
Lublin wins
DateGameScore
19/03/26Zielona Gora v Lublin76-73
15/11/25Lublin v Zielona Gora77-91
10/04/25Zielona Gora v Lublin101-92
13/12/24Lublin v Zielona Gora91-82
24/03/24Zielona Gora v Lublin91-103
26/11/23Lublin v Zielona Gora91-95
03/03/23Lublin v Zielona Gora76-83
22/12/22Lublin v Zielona Gora88-94 OT
27/10/22Zielona Gora v Lublin96-67
17/02/22Lublin v Zielona Gora82-81 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ATorun71-87
28/10/26HOostende80-77
24/10/26HAnwil Wloclawek78-77
20/10/26ABasquet Girona68-109
17/10/26AGTK Gliwice84-76
14/10/26HLevice71-74
09/10/26HLegia104-87
06/10/26ASzolnoki Olaj90-80
03/10/26ABydgoszcz95-105
21/06/26ALegia70-78
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ASzczecin54-70
17/10/26HGdynia76-73
11/10/26ADziki Warszawa77-97
03/10/26HOstrow Wielkopolski79-84 OT
06/05/26ADabrowa Gornicza100-105
03/05/26HGdynia80-101
26/04/26HGTK Gliwice86-82
18/04/26AGornik Walbrzych86-81
11/04/26ATrefl Sopot97-103 OT
04/04/26ADziki Warszawa72-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zielona Gora
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game86.491.083.3
Allowed / game86.482.089.3
Point differential+0.0+9.0-6.0
Avg total172.8173.0172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game71.577.565.5
Allowed / game81.078.583.5
Point differential-9.5-1.0-18.0
Avg total152.5156.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dabrowa Gornicza440100%90.280.8+9.5
2 Dziki Warszawa54180%90.674.4+16.2
3 Szczecin43175%83.575.5+8.0
4 Gornik Walbrzych43175%84.278.0+6.2
5 Gdynia53260%87.279.0+8.2
6 Anwil Wloclawek53260%79.879.6+0.2
7 Zielona Gora53260%86.486.4+0.0
8 Legia53260%80.083.6-3.6
9 GTK Gliwice42250%79.879.0+0.8
10 Slask Wroclaw42250%83.084.5-1.5
11 Torun52340%86.889.6-2.8
12 Ostrow Wielkopolski52340%78.482.2-3.8
13 Bydgoszcz52340%88.493.4-5.0
14 Lublin41325%71.581.0-9.5
15 Czarni Slupsk5050%78.284.0-5.8
16 Trefl Sopot5050%79.093.4-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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