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Zielona Gora vs Lublin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 96-67
26-16 22-13 25-22 23-16
Position#7
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#13
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game79.2
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 6
Other2022-23
Meetings · Zielona Gora v Lublin
23 Apr 2027
ZGO v LUB
upcoming
19 Mar 2026
ZGO76
LUB73
10 Apr 2025
ZGO101
LUB92
24 Mar 2024
ZGO91
LUB103
27 Oct 2022
ZGO96
LUB67
20 Jan 2022
ZGO85
LUB70
03 Dec 2020
ZGO90
LUB75
09 Jan 2020
ZGO100
LUB93
31 Oct 2018
ZGO92
LUB70
31 Mar 2018
ZGO94
LUB72
01 Apr 2017
ZGO86
LUB75
26 Mar 2016
ZGO100
LUB53
17 Jan 2015
ZGO84
LUB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zielona Gora winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zielona GoraPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#5
W
103-90
103
90
+13
H16/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
68-95
68
95
-27
A25/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A27/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H30/04
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#6
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A25/09
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#1
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A02/10
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#9
L
85-93
85
93
-8
H06/10
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#15
W
89-72
89
72
+17
A13/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#12
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H23/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
24-20
32-29
27-18
20-21
24-19
17-20
24-23
12-15
19-30
19-32
18-18
26-25
20-23
22-19
12-20
30-26
24-19
10-16
16-25
13-14
11-25
22-20
15-23
18-13
12-27
16-17
18-12
24-20
24-26
17-24
20-23
24-22
31-11
14-21
20-18
20-24
19-25
28-25
27-16
165.6Avg total
80.9Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.681.2159.8-2.640%
Season at home (2)89.591.5181.0-2.050%
Season away (3)71.374.3145.7-3.033%
Last 10 (10)80.984.7165.6-3.840%
Last 5 (5)78.681.2159.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.082.0148.0-16.00%
vs Similar (13)79.584.7164.2-5.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.473.6163.1+15.893%
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
62-99
62
99
-37
A01/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H04/04
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#8
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A07/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#9
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A10/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H13/04
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#16
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
H23/09
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#14
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A01/10
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#8
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H09/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#11
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A16/10
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H21/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
12-23
11-25
19-20
22-24
12-17
13-18
22-18
22-27
18-20
23-15
26-20
25-33
21-16
23-18
17-17
17-19
25-9
22-13
21-26
26-22
20-24
15-17
24-22
14-13
16-17
11-21
8-12
18-14
24-23
32-16
22-22
26-27
17-27
17-18
19-18
18-26
26-19
25-15
21-11
161.1Avg total
80.6Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.079.2162.2+3.860%
Season at home (3)95.781.0176.7+14.7100%
Season away (2)64.076.5140.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)80.680.5161.1+0.160%
Last 5 (5)83.079.2162.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.584.6164.1-5.135%
vs Similar (11)77.478.4155.7-1.064%
vs Weaker (1)69.077.0146.0-8.00%
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
Zielona GoraLublin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#5
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H16/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A25/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A27/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H30/04
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#6
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A25/09
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A02/10
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H06/10
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#15
W
55-33
55
33
+22
A13/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#12
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H23/10
Energa Basket Liga
84.3Avg total
41.5Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.983.1+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.540.985.4+3.668%-
Last 30 away (11)38.140.979.0-2.827%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.884.3-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.480.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.039.078.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (13)41.243.184.3-1.846%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.339.683.9+4.664%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A01/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H04/04
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A07/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#9
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A10/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H13/04
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#16
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H23/09
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#14
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A01/10
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H09/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#11
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A16/10
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H21/10
Energa Basket Liga
83.0Avg total
39.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.680.0-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.639.480.1+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)37.942.079.9-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)39.943.183.0-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.483.4-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.143.083.1-2.947%-
vs Similar (11)39.337.877.1+1.545%-
vs Weaker (1)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zielona Goratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zielona Gora: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.7
52.9%
54.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.8
32.1%
33.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.514.9
80.5%
72.5%14.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.7 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.8
50.4%
54.2%37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.8
32.2%
33.6%23.5
🏀 Free throws14.39.8
68.6%
72.5%9.8
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zielona Gora
WWLLLLLLWW
Lublin
WLWLWWWWLL
#7
League position
#13
-11.3
Net rating
-17.0
104.9
Offensive rating
92.8
116.2
Defensive rating
109.8
51.2%
Effective FG%
49.6%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
20.2%
Turnover %
22.2%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.1%
3-point %
32.2%
63.6%
Assist %
64.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 92.8Defence116.2 · 109.8Shooting51.2% · 49.6%3-point %32.1% · 32.2%Ball care20.2% · 22.2%Off. rebounds29.8% · 24.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Zielona Gora   ■ Lublin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Zielona Gora wins
2
Lublin wins
DateGameScore
17/02/22Lublin v Zielona Gora82-81 OT
20/01/22Zielona Gora v Lublin85-70
19/11/21Lublin v Zielona Gora73-99
20/03/21Lublin v Zielona Gora90-103
03/12/20Zielona Gora v Lublin90-75
09/01/20Zielona Gora v Lublin100-93
29/09/19Lublin v Zielona Gora84-79
06/02/19Lublin v Zielona Gora69-77
31/10/18Zielona Gora v Lublin92-70
31/03/18Zielona Gora v Lublin94-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/22HDabrowa Gornicza94-90
13/10/22ATorun89-72
06/10/22HCzarni Slupsk85-93
02/10/22ASzczecin64-69
25/09/22AAnwil Wloclawek61-82
30/04/22HSlask Wroclaw80-86
27/04/22ASlask Wroclaw80-87
25/04/22ASlask Wroclaw68-95
18/04/22HSlask Wroclaw85-83
16/04/22HSlask Wroclaw103-90
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/22HOstrow Wielkopolski90-71
16/10/22AGdynia79-90
09/10/22HTrefl Sopot96-75
01/10/22AGTK Gliwice49-63
23/09/22HBydgoszcz101-97 OT
13/04/22HSlask Wroclaw85-67
10/04/22ATrefl Sopot86-84
07/04/22ABydgoszcz89-82
04/04/22HGTK Gliwice69-77
01/04/22AOstrow Wielkopolski62-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zielona Gora
Energa Basket Liga 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game78.689.571.3
Allowed / game81.291.574.3
Point differential-2.6-2.0-3.0
Avg total159.8181.0145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game83.095.764.0
Allowed / game79.281.076.5
Point differential+3.8+14.7-12.5
Avg total162.2176.7140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slask Wroclaw550100%86.071.0+15.0
2 Ostrow Wielkopolski54180%87.680.4+7.2
3 Trefl Sopot54180%85.080.2+4.8
4 Gdynia43175%88.578.0+10.5
5 Lublin53260%83.079.2+3.8
6 Czarni Slupsk53260%76.677.0-0.4
7 Szczecin53260%79.081.0-2.0
8 Spojnia Stargard53260%70.076.4-6.4
9 GTK Gliwice42250%69.872.0-2.2
10 Legia52340%71.671.6+0.0
11 Zielona Gora52340%78.681.2-2.6
12 Anwil Wloclawek62433%78.776.2+2.5
13 Dabrowa Gornicza41325%81.884.0-2.2
14 Bydgoszcz51420%84.690.0-5.4
15 Torun51420%76.884.6-7.8
16 Lancut5050%68.882.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zielona Gora2622252396
Lublin1613221667
← all games of the day
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