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Zwolle vs Okapi Aalst Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record3-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record5-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game86.9
EuropeBNXT League· Landstede Sportcentrum
Other2026-27
Meetings · Zwolle v Okapi Aalst
06 Dec 2026
ZWO v OKAP
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
ZWO95
OKAP104
22 Sep 2024
ZWO90
OKAP82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zwolle win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Okapi Aalst win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
78-77
78
77
+1
73avg 72
H03/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
61-69
61
69
-8
53avg 72
A06/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
70-83
70
83
-13
63avg 72
H09/05
BNXT League
Bakken Bears
#28
L
78-89
78
89
-11
70avg 72
A16/09
Champions League
Den Bosch
#7
W
70-59
70
59
+11
69avg 72
H04/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
70-98
70
98
-28
no box
A10/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
74-57
74
57
+17
72avg 72
A17/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
65-89
65
89
-24
50avg 72
H25/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
73-71
73
71
+2
62avg 72
H01/11
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
A06/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
14-13
22-17
21-24
17-20
16-15
10-10
18-24
16-24
15-18
25-25
14-16
33-22
12-21
16-22
17-24
16-11
15-23
16-15
23-10
25-14
13-26
17-31
15-27
24-15
15-15
17-15
18-12
23-19
16-20
14-28
12-22
12-22
18-17
18-26
25-6
18-25
21-23
25-18
20-22
150.3Avg total
72.3Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.777.0149.7-4.350%
Season at home (3)69.373.0142.3-3.767%
Season away (3)76.081.0157.0-5.033%
Last 10 (10)72.378.0150.3-5.740%
Last 5 (5)73.280.6153.8-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.087.0163.0-11.033%
vs Similar (6)72.370.8143.2+1.550%
vs Weaker (8)87.276.6163.9+10.675%
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAalst
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
102-92
102
92
+10
93avg 90
H02/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
85-99
85
99
-14
75avg 90
A06/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
118-90
118
90
+28
123avg 90
H09/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
95-87
95
87
+8
78avg 90
H03/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
W
94-79
94
79
+15
88avg 90
A10/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
77-92
77
92
-15
74avg 90
A17/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
114-90
114
90
+24
110avg 90
H25/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
83-69
83
69
+14
82avg 90
H31/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A08/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
W
102-100
102
100
+2
no box
H14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
25-12
22-27
32-24
19-22
22-28
16-25
28-24
27-25
25-16
32-18
34-31
23-17
25-24
26-18
21-28
23-21
19-28
26-16
26-14
26-25
15-17
16-24
20-26
31-24
28-29
30-12
25-25
22-21
22-23
25-5
14-20
10-23
25-30
20-23
22-15
22-30
31-25
18-27
31-18
183.6Avg total
94.7Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.786.9178.6+4.971%
Season at home (4)98.586.5185.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)82.787.3170.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)94.788.9183.6+5.870%
Last 5 (5)90.688.4179.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.090.0180.0+0.050%
vs Similar (7)90.195.3185.4-5.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)98.185.0183.1+13.090%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
ZwolleOkapi Aalst
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A06/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H09/05
BNXT League
Bakken Bears
#28
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A16/09
Champions League
Den Bosch
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H04/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A17/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H25/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H01/11
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A06/11
BNXT League
74.6Avg total
36.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.579.7-1.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.841.780.5-2.927%-
Last 30 away (15)39.739.379.0+0.533%-
Last 10 (10)36.038.674.6-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.276.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.942.582.5-2.620%-
vs Similar (6)34.035.569.5-1.533%-
vs Weaker (8)41.240.081.2+1.238%-
This opponent (Okapi Aalst) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Okapi AalstLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rotterdam
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A06/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H09/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H03/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A10/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H25/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H31/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A08/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H14/11
BNXT League
93.2Avg total
46.3Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.145.692.7+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.546.295.8+3.256%-
Last 30 away (14)44.444.989.2-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)46.346.993.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)46.449.495.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.549.586.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (7)44.647.792.3-3.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)49.044.593.5+4.462%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.0
52.0%
53.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.2
32.7%
32.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.711.6
69.5%
71.0%11.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Okapi Aalsttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Okapi Aalst: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.821.1
60.6%
53.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.1
40.1%
32.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws24.418.5
75.8%
71.0%18.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zwolle
LWLWLWLLLW
Okapi Aalst
WLWWLWWWLW
#8
League position
#4
-3.2
Net rating
+10.6
86.7
Offensive rating
108.3
89.9
Defensive rating
97.7
50.8%
Effective FG%
60.4%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
18.3%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.7%
3-point %
40.1%
59.2%
Assist %
59.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence86.7 · 108.3Defence89.9 · 97.7Shooting50.8% · 60.4%3-point %32.7% · 40.1%Ball care18.3% · 15.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Zwolle   ■ Okapi Aalst
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Zwolle wins
1
Okapi Aalst wins
DateGameScore
22/02/26Zwolle v Okapi Aalst95-104
25/10/25Okapi Aalst v Zwolle81-95
12/04/25Okapi Aalst v Zwolle80-87
22/09/24Zwolle v Okapi Aalst90-82
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26ACB Liege84-88
01/11/26HKortrijk73-71
25/10/26HBrussels Basketball65-89
17/10/26ABelfius Mons74-57
10/10/26AOostende70-98
04/10/26HDen Bosch70-59
16/09/26ABakken Bears78-89
09/05/26HKortrijk70-83
06/05/26ALeuven Bears61-69
03/05/26HSpirou Charleroi78-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HDen Bosch102-100
08/11/26ABrussels Basketball77-91
31/10/26HBelfius Mons83-69
25/10/26HDonar Groningen114-90
17/10/26ALeiden77-92
10/10/26AMechelen94-79
03/10/26HOostende95-87
09/05/26HLWD Basket118-90
06/05/26ALimburg85-99
02/05/26HRotterdam102-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zwolle
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game72.769.376.0
Allowed / game77.073.081.0
Point differential-4.3-3.7-5.0
Avg total149.7142.3157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Okapi Aalst
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game91.798.582.7
Allowed / game86.986.587.3
Point differential+4.9+12.0-4.7
Avg total178.6185.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg64267%92.084.3+7.7
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle63350%72.777.0-4.3
9 Donar Groningen63350%81.389.5-8.2
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Rotterdam62433%75.880.2-4.3
14 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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