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Team FOG Naestved vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Feb 2014
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 78-66
10-14 24-10 28-16 16-26
Position#5
Record9-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#9
Record8-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game90.4
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 22
Other2013-14
Meetings · Team FOG Naestved v Aalborg
05 Mar 2015
TEAM83
AALB63
16 Feb 2014
TEAM78
AALB66
13 Oct 2013
TEAM84
AALB70
23 Feb 2013
TEAM70
AALB58
28 Nov 2012
TEAM97
AALB65
19 Jan 2012
TEAM91
AALB88
16 Feb 2011
TEAM88
AALB73
05 Jan 2011
TEAM95
AALB70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Team FOG Naestved winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aalborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H11/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A15/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A05/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H08/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H16/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A21/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H27/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A30/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H06/02
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
W
92-90
92
90
+2
A12/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
26-20
14-28
19-21
18-26
14-16
25-19
19-17
25-25
9-24
17-19
16-11
25-17
16-22
21-16
15-18
20-17
15-17
21-22
14-5
27-29
21-21
20-12
27-28
20-15
26-8
19-22
20-25
18-21
24-20
16-26
10-10
21-21
14-8
20-22
15-20
29-21
22-16
15-26
26-27
155.9Avg total
78.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.881.5159.3-3.843%
Season at home (10)79.175.6154.7+3.560%
Season away (11)76.586.9163.5-10.427%
Last 10 (10)78.477.5155.9+0.950%
Last 5 (5)82.079.6161.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.184.0159.1-8.929%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.082.6161.6-3.641%
vs Weaker (5)79.676.2155.8+3.440%
This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AalborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#7
L
89-100
89
100
-11
A10/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
95-104
95
104
-9
A15/12
Denmark Cup
Horsholm
#6
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
H04/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
86-103
86
103
-17
H12/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
110-99
110
99
+11
A15/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
A18/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
H25/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
96-87
96
87
+9
A02/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A06/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
85-98
85
98
-13
H12/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
14-25
30-24
21-28
20-23
19-23
31-20
25-38
20-26
24-19
28-24
22-25
17-18
33-20
8-29
28-36
25-17
35-34
26-26
24-22
26-25
15-21
25-20
17-17
31-30
20-25
20-21
22-21
27-22
16-21
19-21
34-23
11-23
21-22
23-22
20-21
21-23
18-24
25-29
21-22
189.8Avg total
92.9Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.590.4174.9-5.940%
Season at home (10)84.291.0175.2-6.830%
Season away (10)84.889.8174.6-5.050%
Last 10 (10)92.996.9189.8-4.040%
Last 5 (5)89.092.4181.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)78.787.8166.4-9.131%
vs Similar ◀ (10)88.389.4177.7-1.150%
vs Weaker (3)82.077.3159.3+4.7100%
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
Team FOG NaestvedAalborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#2
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H11/12
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A15/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A05/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H16/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#7
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A21/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H27/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A30/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H06/02
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A12/02
Basketligaen
79.6Avg total
41.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.740.780.3-1.034%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.834.373.1+4.557%-
Last 30 away (15)40.546.787.1-6.213%-
Last 10 (10)41.538.179.6+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.080.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.339.479.7+0.957%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.241.881.9-1.624%-
vs Weaker (5)37.038.875.8-1.840%-
This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A10/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A15/12
Denmark Cup
Horsholm
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H04/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H12/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A15/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A18/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H25/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A02/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A06/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H12/02
Basketligaen
90.1Avg total
43.7Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.241.881.9-1.631%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.840.181.9+1.650%-
Last 30 away (15)38.743.381.9-4.613%-
Last 10 (10)43.746.490.1-2.720%-
Last 5 (5)41.247.288.4-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.742.982.6-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.442.083.4-0.640%-
vs Weaker (3)38.734.773.3+4.033%-
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Team FOG Naestved wins
2
Aalborg wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/14AHorsholm92-90
06/02/14HHerlev Wolfpack70-71
30/01/14ABakken Bears68-77
27/01/14HSvendborg85-70
21/01/14ASisu95-90
16/01/14HBakken Bears70-61
08/01/14HHorsholm77-73
05/01/14AHorsens67-79
15/12/13AVaerlose76-78
11/12/13HRanders84-86
Aalborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/14HSvendborg85-98
06/02/14ARanders75-88
02/02/14AVaerlose96-87
25/01/14HRanders93-97
18/01/14AHerlev Wolfpack96-92 OT
15/01/14ASvendborg110-99
12/01/14HHorsens86-103
04/01/14HHorsholm104-101 OT
15/12/13ASvendborg95-104
10/12/13ASisu89-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2013-14
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW43%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLLWLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%60%27%
Points / game77.879.176.5
Allowed / game81.575.686.9
Point differential-3.8+3.5-10.4
Avg total159.3154.7163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aalborg
Basketligaen 2013-14
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWWLLL30%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%30%50%
Points / game84.584.284.8
Allowed / game90.491.089.8
Point differential-5.9-6.8-5.0
Avg total174.9175.2174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1916384%90.374.2+16.1
2 Randers2217577%89.582.1+7.4
3 Svendborg2115671%85.578.8+6.7
4 Horsens21111052%81.178.0+3.1
5 Sisu2091145%85.186.0-0.8
6 Team FOG Naestved2191243%77.881.5-3.8
7 Aalborg2081240%84.590.4-5.9
8 Horsholm2181338%79.382.0-2.6
9 Herlev Wolfpack2171433%76.081.0-5.0
10 Vaerlose2241818%77.691.3-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team FOG Naestved1024281678
Aalborg1410162666
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