Bakken Bears vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 98-78

22-21 31-21 16-14 29-22

Position#1

Record26-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game93.4

Allowed / game76.7

Bakken Bears 🏆

Aalborg

Position#9

Record10-19

FormLLLLL

Points / game83.3

Allowed / game89.3

BasketligaenBasketligaen - Quarter-finals

Other2013-14

Meetings · Bakken Bears v Aalborg

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bakken Bears winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aalborg winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bakken Bears Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vaerlose

#10

103-76

103

+27

A22/02

Basketligaen

Minsk

51-89

-38

A25/02

EuroChallenge

Svendborg

110-86

110

+24

A27/02

Basketligaen

Aalborg

96-80

+16

A01/03

Basketligaen

Aalborg

79-75

A05/03

Basketligaen

Sisu

105-92

105

+13

H09/03

Basketligaen

Randers

97-84

+13

H13/03

Basketligaen

Svendborg

106-78

106

+28

H16/03

Basketligaen

Aalborg

104-75

104

+29

H20/03

Basketligaen

Aalborg

96-84

+12

A24/03

Basketligaen

28-13

28-26

27-24

20-13

15-23

14-22

8-21

14-23

21-20

34-24

31-24

24-18

21-15

24-22

25-23

26-20

18-21

22-18

15-17

24-19

27-20

28-28

29-22

21-22

28-13

29-27

24-18

16-26

13-16

32-16

37-25

24-21

28-20

24-14

24-19

28-22

26-28

29-14

22-15

19-27

176.6Avg total

94.7Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	93.4	76.7	170.1	+16.8	90%
Season at home (14)	96.7	75.4	172.1	+21.3	100%
Season away (15)	90.3	77.8	168.1	+12.5	80%
Last 10 (10)	94.7	81.9	176.6	+12.8	90%
Last 5 (5)	101.6	82.6	184.2	+19.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	70.8	81.8	152.7	-11.0	33%
vs Similar (4)	83.0	84.0	167.0	-1.0	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	93.2	80.8	173.9	+12.4	80%

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aalborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

85-98

-13

H12/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

66-78

-12

A16/02

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

89-60

+29

H22/02

Basketligaen

Horsens

97-89 OT

A27/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

80-96

-16

H01/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

75-79

-4

H05/03

Basketligaen

Horsholm

78-87

-9

A08/03

Basketligaen

Sisu

83-92

-9

H13/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

75-104

104

-29

A20/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

84-96

-12

H24/03

Basketligaen

21-23

18-24

25-29

21-22

14-10

10-24

16-28

26-16

7-15

21-16

22-19

39-10

19-28

18-17

21-16

25-22

15-21

22-24

23-25

20-26

21-18

18-22

17-15

19-24

26-23

23-20

20-24

9-20

21-26

20-21

16-31

26-14

20-28

14-24

19-24

22-28

28-26

14-29

15-22

27-19

169.1Avg total

81.2Scored

87.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	83.3	89.3	172.6	-5.9	34%
Season at home (15)	83.5	88.9	172.4	-5.3	27%
Season away (14)	83.1	89.7	172.9	-6.6	43%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	87.9	169.1	-6.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	91.6	170.6	-12.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	82.8	93.9	176.8	-11.1	17%
vs Similar (14)	85.6	86.5	172.1	-0.9	43%
vs Weaker (3)	82.0	77.3	159.3	+4.7	100%

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bakken BearsAalborg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.2	18.8	41.1	+3.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.3	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	18.9	41.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.4	43.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.9	19.8	42.7	+3.1	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	22.5	43.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	21.3	41.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	24.2	47.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.0	22.5	43.5	-1.5	42%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.4	21.9	42.2	-1.5	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.7	19.7	42.3	+3.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.6	43.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.8	20.2	44.1	+3.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.9	20.9	42.8	+1.1	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.4	21.1	47.5	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.4	19.8	48.2	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.5	23.3	40.8	-5.8	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.8	19.8	39.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.9	19.9	44.9	+5.0	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.3	40.1	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	22.5	40.7	-4.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	22.1	39.9	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.2	41.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.8	24.2	44.9	-3.4	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.0	15.0	31.0	+1.0	67%	-

Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vaerlose

#10

56-39

+17

A22/02

Basketligaen

Minsk

29-45

-16

A25/02

EuroChallenge

Svendborg

55-44

+11

A27/02

Basketligaen

Aalborg

45-37

A01/03

Basketligaen

Aalborg

40-39

A05/03

Basketligaen

Sisu

55-48

H09/03

Basketligaen

Randers

57-40

+17

H13/03

Basketligaen

Svendborg

45-32

+13

H16/03

Basketligaen

Aalborg

52-34

+18

H20/03

Basketligaen

Aalborg

55-42

+13

A24/03

Basketligaen

88.9Avg total

48.9Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	40.3	84.4	+3.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	46.1	39.1	85.2	+7.0	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.6	41.2	83.8	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.9	40.0	88.9	+8.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.8	39.2	92.0	+13.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.2	42.3	78.5	-6.2	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.5	40.0	77.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	47.8	39.8	87.5	+8.0	80%	-

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

39-47

-8

H12/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

24-34

-10

A16/02

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

28-31

-3

H22/02

Basketligaen

Horsens

37-45

-8

A27/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

37-45

-8

H01/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

39-40

-1

H05/03

Basketligaen

Horsholm

49-43

A08/03

Basketligaen

Sisu

41-47

-6

H13/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

34-52

-18

A20/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

42-55

-13

H24/03

Basketligaen

80.9Avg total

37.0Scored

43.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.4	42.7	83.2	-2.3	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	41.7	83.8	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.7	43.8	82.5	-5.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	43.9	80.9	-6.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	47.4	88.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	41.8	46.7	88.4	-4.9	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.7	41.1	80.8	-1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.7	34.7	73.3	+4.0	33%	-

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.1	42.4	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	25.4	20.4	45.8	+5.0	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.9	19.8	39.8	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	20.8	45.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	19.8	47.0	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.2	17.5	34.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.8	20.6	44.5	+3.2	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	23.2	43.4	-3.1	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	23.0	41.7	-4.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	23.5	45.2	-1.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	23.3	42.7	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	23.2	40.6	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.6	23.1	41.7	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.7	23.4	45.1	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	23.3	42.3	-4.3	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.0	42.0	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.7	22.6	45.3	+0.1	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.1	42.7	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	23.6	45.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.5	22.0	39.5	-4.5	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.0	23.0	46.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.6	20.4	41.9	+1.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.2	21.9	44.1	+0.3	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	22.1	44.9	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	21.7	43.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.1	43.5	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.3	23.7	45.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.6	20.9	43.5	+1.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.3	19.3	43.7	+5.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	41.1	84.3	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	48.1	43.0	91.1	+5.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.5	39.6	79.2	-0.1	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	41.9	87.7	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	43.4	92.2	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.7	39.5	74.2	-4.8	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	45.5	44.0	89.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	45.4	41.0	86.3	+4.4	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.4	45.1	87.5	-2.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	45.1	86.6	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.3	45.2	88.5	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	43.4	86.2	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	44.2	82.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	39.9	46.8	86.7	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	44.3	44.3	88.6	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.3	42.7	86.0	+0.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bakken Bears wins

Aalborg wins

Date	Game	Score
24/03/14	Aalborg v Bakken Bears	84-96
20/03/14	Bakken Bears v Aalborg	104-75
05/03/14	Aalborg v Bakken Bears	75-79
01/03/14	Aalborg v Bakken Bears	80-96
31/10/13	Bakken Bears v Aalborg	94-63
28/02/13	Bakken Bears v Aalborg	104-88
19/12/12	Aalborg v Bakken Bears	58-94
27/09/12	Bakken Bears v Aalborg	108-87
15/03/12	Bakken Bears v Aalborg	95-78
12/03/12	Aalborg v Bakken Bears	62-87

Bakken Bearslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/14	A	Aalborg	96-84
20/03/14	H	Aalborg	104-75
16/03/14	H	Svendborg	106-78
13/03/14	H	Randers	97-84
09/03/14	H	Sisu	105-92
05/03/14	A	Aalborg	79-75
01/03/14	A	Aalborg	96-80
27/02/14	A	Svendborg	110-86
25/02/14	A	Minsk	51-89
22/02/14	A	Vaerlose	103-76

Aalborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/14	H	Bakken Bears	84-96
20/03/14	A	Bakken Bears	75-104
13/03/14	H	Sisu	83-92
08/03/14	A	Horsholm	78-87
05/03/14	H	Bakken Bears	75-79
01/03/14	H	Bakken Bears	80-96
27/02/14	A	Horsens	97-89 OT
22/02/14	H	Herlev Wolfpack	89-60
16/02/14	A	Team FOG Naestved	66-78
12/02/14	H	Svendborg	85-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bakken Bears

Basketligaen 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	90%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	90%	100%	80%
Points / game	93.4	96.7	90.3
Allowed / game	76.7	75.4	77.8
Point differential	+16.8	+21.3	+12.5
Avg total	170.1	172.1	168.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	76%	86%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aalborg

Basketligaen 2013-14

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	34%
Home	WLLLL	27%
Away	LLWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	34%	27%	43%
Points / game	83.3	83.5	83.1
Allowed / game	89.3	88.9	89.7
Point differential	-5.9	-5.3	-6.6
Avg total	172.6	172.4	172.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	7%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	40% (5)	100% (2)
Overtime %	10%	7%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	29	26	3	90%	93.4	76.7	+16.8
2	Randers	29	21	8	72%	87.9	81.1	+6.8
3	Svendborg	29	20	9	69%	86.3	80.8	+5.4
4	Horsens	29	14	15	48%	80.5	79.6	+0.9
5	Horsholm	29	13	16	45%	77.9	79.6	-1.7
6	Team FOG Naestved	29	13	16	45%	77.6	80.5	-3.0
7	Sisu	29	12	17	41%	83.4	85.2	-1.8
8	Herlev Wolfpack	29	11	18	38%	77.6	82.1	-4.6
9	Aalborg	29	10	19	34%	83.3	89.3	-5.9
10	Vaerlose	29	5	24	17%	77.3	90.3	-12.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bakken Bears	22	31	16	29	98
Aalborg	21	21	14	22	78

← all games of the day

Bakken Bears vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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