Bakken Bears vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 104-75

28-20 24-14 24-19 28-22

Position#1

Record24-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game92.9

Allowed / game76.4

Bakken Bears 🏆

Aalborg

Position#9

Record10-17

FormWLLLL

Points / game83.6

Allowed / game88.5

BasketligaenBasketligaen - Quarter-finals

Other2013-14

Meetings · Bakken Bears v Aalborg

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bakken Bears winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aalborg winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bakken Bears Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KTP Kotka Basket

#20

79-82

-3

A18/02

EuroChallenge

Horsens

98-83

+15

H20/02

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

103-76

103

+27

A22/02

Basketligaen

Minsk

51-89

-38

A25/02

EuroChallenge

Svendborg

110-86

110

+24

A27/02

Basketligaen

Aalborg

96-80

+16

A01/03

Basketligaen

Aalborg

79-75

A05/03

Basketligaen

Sisu

105-92

105

+13

H09/03

Basketligaen

Randers

97-84

+13

H13/03

Basketligaen

Svendborg

106-78

106

+28

H16/03

Basketligaen

15-21

23-26

16-17

25-18

20-25

25-18

32-24

21-16

28-13

28-26

27-24

20-13

15-23

14-22

8-21

14-23

21-20

34-24

31-24

24-18

21-15

24-22

25-23

26-20

18-21

22-18

15-17

24-19

27-20

28-28

29-22

21-22

28-13

29-27

24-18

16-26

13-16

32-16

37-25

24-21

174.9Avg total

92.4Scored

82.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	92.9	76.4	169.4	+16.5	89%
Season at home (13)	96.2	75.5	171.6	+20.7	100%
Season away (14)	89.9	77.4	167.3	+12.6	79%
Last 10 (10)	92.4	82.5	174.9	+9.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	96.6	81.8	178.4	+14.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	70.1	79.9	150.0	-9.7	29%
vs Similar (4)	83.0	84.0	167.0	-1.0	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	93.0	79.9	172.9	+13.1	79%

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aalborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vaerlose

#10

96-87

A02/02

Basketligaen

Randers

75-88

-13

A06/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

85-98

-13

H12/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

66-78

-12

A16/02

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

89-60

+29

H22/02

Basketligaen

Horsens

97-89 OT

A27/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

80-96

-16

H01/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

75-79

-4

H05/03

Basketligaen

Horsholm

78-87

-9

A08/03

Basketligaen

Sisu

83-92

-9

H13/03

Basketligaen

27-22

16-21

19-21

34-23

11-23

21-22

23-22

20-21

21-23

18-24

25-29

21-22

14-10

10-24

16-28

26-16

7-15

21-16

22-19

39-10

19-28

18-17

21-16

25-22

15-21

22-24

23-25

20-26

21-18

18-22

17-15

19-24

26-23

23-20

20-24

9-20

21-26

20-21

16-31

26-14

167.8Avg total

82.4Scored

85.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	83.6	88.5	172.1	-4.9	37%
Season at home (14)	83.5	88.4	171.9	-4.9	29%
Season away (13)	83.8	88.6	172.4	-4.8	46%
Last 10 (10)	82.4	85.4	167.8	-3.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	88.6	171.2	-6.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	82.4	93.3	175.8	-10.9	17%
vs Similar (14)	85.6	86.5	172.1	-0.9	43%
vs Weaker (3)	82.0	77.3	159.3	+4.7	100%

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bakken BearsAalborg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.3	39.9	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.3	18.8	40.2	+2.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.7	39.3	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.0	38.4	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.3	19.1	37.4	-0.9	43%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.2	19.1	41.3	+3.1	63%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	22.7	43.7	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.2	43.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.8	22.3	43.1	-1.6	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.4	21.9	42.2	-1.5	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.7	19.7	42.3	+3.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.7	43.1	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.2	20.7	43.8	+2.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.9	20.6	42.6	+1.3	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.9	22.7	48.6	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	22.2	49.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.1	22.9	40.0	-5.7	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.8	19.8	39.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	25.0	20.1	45.1	+4.9	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	20.5	40.1	-0.8	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	18.3	39.1	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	22.9	41.2	-4.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.1	39.8	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.9	23.3	44.2	-2.4	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.0	15.0	31.0	+1.0	67%	-

Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KTP Kotka Basket

#20

38-47

-9

A18/02

EuroChallenge

Horsens

45-43

H20/02

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

56-39

+17

A22/02

Basketligaen

Minsk

29-45

-16

A25/02

EuroChallenge

Svendborg

55-44

+11

A27/02

Basketligaen

Aalborg

45-37

A01/03

Basketligaen

Aalborg

40-39

A05/03

Basketligaen

Sisu

55-48

H09/03

Basketligaen

Randers

57-40

+17

H13/03

Basketligaen

Svendborg

45-32

+13

H16/03

Basketligaen

87.9Avg total

46.5Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	39.9	83.1	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.5	39.5	84.0	+4.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.1	40.2	82.4	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.5	41.4	87.9	+5.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	39.2	87.6	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.4	42.0	77.4	-6.6	14%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.5	40.0	77.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	47.2	39.2	86.3	+8.0	79%	-

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vaerlose

#10

43-43

A02/02

Basketligaen

Randers

32-45

-13

A06/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

39-47

-8

H12/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

24-34

-10

A16/02

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

28-31

-3

H22/02

Basketligaen

Horsens

37-45

-8

A27/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

37-45

-8

H01/03

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

39-40

-1

H05/03

Basketligaen

Horsholm

49-43

A08/03

Basketligaen

Sisu

41-47

-6

H13/03

Basketligaen

78.9Avg total

36.9Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.4	42.3	82.7	-1.9	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	41.0	82.9	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	43.7	82.6	-4.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	42.0	78.9	-5.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	44.0	84.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	41.7	45.7	87.3	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.7	41.1	80.8	-1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.7	34.7	73.3	+4.0	33%	-

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.0	42.5	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	25.5	20.0	45.5	+5.5	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	21.5	45.9	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	21.0	47.0	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.3	17.0	35.3	+1.3	43%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	24.2	20.8	45.0	+3.3	79%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	23.2	43.8	-2.6	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	22.9	41.9	-4.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	23.4	45.8	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	23.0	43.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.2	41.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.7	22.9	42.6	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.7	23.4	45.1	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	23.3	42.3	-4.3	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.5	41.2	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.3	22.0	43.3	-0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.7	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.4	20.9	37.3	-4.4	29%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.0	23.0	46.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.8	63%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.7	22.1	43.8	-0.5	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	22.7	44.6	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	21.5	42.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	19.8	43.7	+4.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.9	24.2	44.2	-4.3	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.6	20.9	43.5	+1.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.3	19.3	43.7	+5.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	40.5	83.7	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	46.8	42.0	88.8	+4.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.5	39.4	79.8	+1.1	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	41.1	87.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	42.6	90.8	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	34.7	37.9	72.6	-3.1	43%	-
vs Similar (4)	45.5	44.0	89.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	45.8	40.7	86.6	+5.1	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.2	45.3	87.6	-3.1	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	45.7	86.5	-4.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.8	44.9	88.7	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	42.8	86.9	+1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	43.4	82.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	39.6	47.2	86.8	-7.6	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	44.3	44.3	88.6	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.3	42.7	86.0	+0.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bakken Bears wins

Aalborg wins

Date	Game	Score
05/03/14	Aalborg v Bakken Bears	75-79
01/03/14	Aalborg v Bakken Bears	80-96
31/10/13	Bakken Bears v Aalborg	94-63
28/02/13	Bakken Bears v Aalborg	104-88
19/12/12	Aalborg v Bakken Bears	58-94
27/09/12	Bakken Bears v Aalborg	108-87
15/03/12	Bakken Bears v Aalborg	95-78
12/03/12	Aalborg v Bakken Bears	62-87
08/03/12	Bakken Bears v Aalborg	91-71
23/01/12	Bakken Bears v Aalborg	100-72

Bakken Bearslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/14	H	Svendborg	106-78
13/03/14	H	Randers	97-84
09/03/14	H	Sisu	105-92
05/03/14	A	Aalborg	79-75
01/03/14	A	Aalborg	96-80
27/02/14	A	Svendborg	110-86
25/02/14	A	Minsk	51-89
22/02/14	A	Vaerlose	103-76
20/02/14	H	Horsens	98-83
18/02/14	A	KTP Kotka Basket	79-82

Aalborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/03/14	H	Sisu	83-92
08/03/14	A	Horsholm	78-87
05/03/14	H	Bakken Bears	75-79
01/03/14	H	Bakken Bears	80-96
27/02/14	A	Horsens	97-89 OT
22/02/14	H	Herlev Wolfpack	89-60
16/02/14	A	Team FOG Naestved	66-78
12/02/14	H	Svendborg	85-98
06/02/14	A	Randers	75-88
02/02/14	A	Vaerlose	96-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bakken Bears

Basketligaen 2013-14

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	89%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	79%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	89%	100%	79%
Points / game	92.9	96.2	89.9
Allowed / game	76.4	75.5	77.4
Point differential	+16.5	+20.7	+12.6
Avg total	169.4	171.6	167.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	74%	85%	64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aalborg

Basketligaen 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	37%
Home	LWLLL	29%
Away	WLLWL	46%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	37%	29%	46%
Points / game	83.6	83.5	83.8
Allowed / game	88.5	88.4	88.6
Point differential	-4.9	-4.9	-4.8
Avg total	172.1	171.9	172.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	7%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	40% (5)	100% (2)
Overtime %	11%	7%	15%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	27	24	3	89%	92.9	76.4	+16.5
2	Randers	27	19	8	70%	87.9	81.6	+6.3
3	Svendborg	27	19	8	70%	86.4	81.2	+5.3
4	Horsens	27	13	14	48%	80.1	79.7	+0.4
5	Sisu	27	12	15	44%	84.1	85.1	-1.0
6	Horsholm	27	12	15	44%	78.0	79.3	-1.2
7	Team FOG Naestved	27	12	15	44%	77.6	80.1	-2.6
8	Aalborg	27	10	17	37%	83.6	88.5	-4.9
9	Herlev Wolfpack	28	10	18	36%	77.1	82.6	-5.5
10	Vaerlose	28	5	23	18%	77.7	90.3	-12.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bakken Bears	28	24	24	28	104
Aalborg	20	14	19	22	75

← all games of the day

Bakken Bears vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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