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Abilene Christian vs Tarleton Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position-
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Abilene Christian v Tarleton
11 Mar 2026
ABIL84
TARL78
14 Feb 2026
ABIL73
TARL59
23 Jan 2025
ABIL67
TARL56
01 Feb 2024
ABIL73
TARL76
31 Dec 2022
ABIL69
TARL63
05 Mar 2022
ABIL61
TARL56
05 Dec 2020
ABIL69
TARL48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Abilene Christian win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#150
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H13/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H14/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
62-65 OT
62
65
-3
A17/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A28/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
48-87
48
87
-39
A06/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H08/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H12/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A13/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
24-27
0-0
43-36
0-0
26-32
0-0
47-27
0-0
26-22
0-0
32-36
0-0
38-48
0-0
49-35
0-0
38-47
0-0
43-38
0-0
32-34
0-0
35-40
0-0
19-49
0-0
29-38
0-0
33-25
0-0
24-39
0-0
39-25
0-0
45-53
0-0
28-46
0-0
46-34
143.8Avg total
70.0Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.073.8143.8-3.840%
Last 5 (5)66.076.6142.6-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)63.475.1138.5-11.720%
vs Similar (12)73.575.5149.0-2.042%
vs Weaker (3)73.056.0129.0+17.0100%
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#41
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A08/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A14/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
65-62 OT
65
62
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H20/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H21/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A27/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A01/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H06/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A12/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
30-28
0-0
25-28
0-0
33-34
0-0
29-25
0-0
32-26
0-0
27-47
0-0
22-26
0-0
36-32
0-0
44-36
0-0
34-38
0-0
32-32
0-0
40-48
0-0
28-35
0-0
44-44
0-0
29-40
0-0
38-42
0-0
28-29
0-0
32-36
0-0
25-39
0-0
53-45
138.2Avg total
66.8Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)66.871.4138.2-4.630%
Last 5 (5)69.878.0147.8-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.284.6154.8-14.40%
vs Similar (16)70.771.8142.5-1.138%
vs Weaker (6)88.368.5156.8+19.883%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
Abilene ChristianTarleton
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#150
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H13/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H14/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A17/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H21/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A28/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
19-49
19
49
-30
A06/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H12/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A13/03
NCAA
65.8Avg total
30.3Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.835.967.7-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.534.167.6-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)30.337.567.8-7.219%-
Last 10 (10)30.335.565.8-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)30.235.866.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)29.735.965.7-6.220%-
vs Similar (12)32.937.870.7-4.833%-
vs Weaker (3)37.728.366.0+9.3100%-
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#41
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A14/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H17/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H20/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H21/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A27/02
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A01/03
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H06/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A12/03
NCAA
62.8Avg total
30.3Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.869.4+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.931.969.8+5.956%-
Last 30 away (14)33.035.968.9-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)30.332.562.8-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)28.435.063.4-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.239.874.0-5.60%-
vs Similar (16)31.431.562.9-0.150%-
vs Weaker (6)45.337.783.0+7.767%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Abilene Christian wins
5
Tarleton wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26AUtah Tech74-80
12/03/26HTarleton84-78
08/03/26HUT Arlington57-64
06/03/26ACalifornia Baptist48-87
28/02/26AUtah Valley State67-74
27/02/26AUtah Tech81-85
21/02/26HSouthern Utah87-83
17/02/26ATarleton62-65 OT
14/02/26HTarleton73-59
13/02/26HUT Arlington67-63
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26AAbilene Christian78-84
06/03/26HUT Arlington60-65
01/03/26ACalifornia Baptist67-82
27/02/26AUtah Valley State72-79
21/02/26HUtah Tech72-80
20/02/26HSouthern Utah78-74
17/02/26HAbilene Christian65-62 OT
14/02/26AAbilene Christian59-73
08/02/26ASouthern Utah62-59
06/02/26ACalifornia Baptist55-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Abilene Christian
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Tarleton
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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