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CSKA Sofia vs Beroe Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 99-86
27-20 29-25 16-23 27-18
Position#5
Record7-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game76.4
CSKA Sofia 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Beroe
Bulgaria
Position#12
Record4-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game84.4
BulgariaNBLRound 11· Hall Sofia
Other2023-24
Meetings · CSKA Sofia v Beroe
29 Dec 2026
CSKA v BERO
upcoming
09 Dec 2023
CSKA99
BERO86
08 Apr 2023
CSKA104
BERO71
30 Jan 2023
CSKA96
BERO68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Sofia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Beroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
W
80-62
80
62
+18
75avg 80
H07/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
87-70
87
70
+17
83avg 80
A14/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 80
H21/10
NBL
Levski
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
86avg 80
A30/10
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
99-64
99
64
+35
96avg 80
H04/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
78-79
78
79
-1
70avg 80
A13/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 80
H19/11
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
75avg 80
A26/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
90-72
90
72
+18
84avg 80
H29/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
92avg 80
A03/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
18-16
25-10
18-17
18-17
35-13
15-19
19-21
15-23
20-13
23-21
20-28
20-14
18-15
21-22
26-21
20-17
24-16
37-13
18-18
12-24
16-12
20-24
30-19
23-17
21-20
19-18
20-24
16-26
13-19
30-28
23-22
15-22
21-20
36-17
18-13
26-19
17-25
23-26
29-16
162.1Avg total
85.7Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.776.4162.1+9.370%
Season at home (5)86.072.4158.4+13.680%
Season away (5)85.480.4165.8+5.060%
Last 10 (10)85.776.4162.1+9.370%
Last 5 (5)85.682.2167.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.980.8162.7+1.258%
vs Similar (9)87.177.8164.9+9.389%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.677.1164.8+10.562%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
58avg 70
H09/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
92-76
92
76
+16
90avg 70
A14/10
NBL
Levski
#7
L
76-86
76
86
-10
63avg 70
H23/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 70
A28/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
76avg 70
A05/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
80avg 70
H12/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
79-92
79
92
-13
69avg 70
A19/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
76-94
76
94
-18
64avg 70
A25/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
75-74
75
74
+1
31avg 70
H29/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
79-81
79
81
-2
77avg 70
H02/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
4-17
22-24
26-29
22-16
20-19
19-17
30-19
23-21
16-31
24-14
21-19
15-22
31-14
17-34
17-19
33-16
24-22
13-23
30-20
15-21
26-20
13-9
27-33
21-24
31-18
20-27
16-21
12-26
26-27
6-29
26-21
18-17
21-15
20-15
14-24
20-20
17-21
19-19
22-23
21-18
166.2Avg total
81.8Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.884.4166.2-2.640%
Season at home (5)78.282.6160.8-4.440%
Season away (5)85.486.2171.6-0.840%
Last 10 (10)81.884.4166.2-2.640%
Last 5 (5)79.285.4164.6-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.889.3168.0-10.532%
vs Similar (2)96.085.0181.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker (5)83.072.8155.8+10.260%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
CSKA SofiaBeroe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H07/10
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A14/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H21/10
NBL
Levski
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A30/10
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H04/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A13/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H19/11
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A26/11
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H29/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A03/12
NBL
75.4Avg total
38.7Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.680.2+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.137.879.9+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)41.239.380.5+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)38.736.775.4+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.040.876.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.138.979.0+1.250%-
vs Similar (9)43.737.881.4+5.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.239.982.1+2.462%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#2
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H09/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A14/10
NBL
Levski
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H23/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A28/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A05/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H12/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A19/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A25/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H29/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H02/12
NBL
80.4Avg total
38.9Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)42.645.488.0-2.842%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.843.888.6+1.154%-
Last 30 away (13)40.447.087.4-6.631%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.580.4-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.079.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.845.685.4-5.930%-
vs Similar (2)52.042.094.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (3)58.046.0104.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.323.0
58.5%
54.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.0
28.1%
31.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.315.1
74.4%
71.1%15.1
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.7
53.3%
54.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.7
36.6%
31.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.812.2
72.6%
71.1%12.2
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Sofia
WWLWLWWLWW
Beroe
LWLLWLWLWL
#5
League position
#12
+12.9
Net rating
-4.6
113.3
Offensive rating
105.2
100.4
Defensive rating
109.7
51.6%
Effective FG%
53.9%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
16.4%
Turnover %
20.7%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.1%
3-point %
36.6%
72.9%
Assist %
54.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 105.2Defence100.4 · 109.7Shooting51.6% · 53.9%3-point %28.1% · 36.6%Ball care16.4% · 20.7%Off. rebounds35.1% · 29.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ CSKA Sofia   ■ Beroe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
CSKA Sofia wins
1
Beroe wins
DateGameScore
08/04/23CSKA Sofia v Beroe104-71
30/01/23CSKA Sofia v Beroe96-68
28/11/22Beroe v CSKA Sofia85-81
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23ABalkan95-86
29/11/23HShumen90-72
26/11/23AChernomorets82-95
19/11/23HSpartak Pleven83-79
13/11/23ARilski Sportist78-79
04/11/23HCherno More99-64
30/10/23ALevski85-72
21/10/23HMinyor78-85
14/10/23AAcademic Plovdiv87-70
07/10/23HYambol80-62
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HSpartak Pleven79-81
29/11/23HBalkan75-74
25/11/23ACherno More76-94
19/11/23AMinyor79-92
12/11/23HAcademic Plovdiv87-86
05/11/23ARilski Sportist82-86
28/10/23AYambol98-83
23/10/23HLevski76-86
14/10/23AShumen92-76
09/10/23HChernomorets74-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW70%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game85.786.085.4
Allowed / game76.472.480.4
Point differential+9.3+13.6+5.0
Avg total162.1158.4165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Beroe
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game81.878.285.4
Allowed / game84.482.686.2
Point differential-2.6-4.4-0.8
Avg total166.2160.8171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets10100100%85.672.4+13.2
2 CSKA Sofia107370%85.776.4+9.3
3 Spartak Pleven117464%87.280.1+7.1
4 Balkan106460%81.578.8+2.7
5 Rilski Sportist116555%80.375.3+5.0
6 Yambol105550%80.284.7-4.5
7 Levski104640%76.578.4-1.9
8 Beroe104640%81.884.4-2.6
9 Minyor104640%74.985.6-10.7
10 Shumen103730%82.785.9-3.2
11 Cherno More103730%77.385.3-8.0
12 Academic Plovdiv102820%77.785.3-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Sofia2729162799
Beroe2025231886
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