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Beroe vs Balkan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-74
21-15 20-15 14-24 20-20
Position#12
Record3-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game86.1
Beroe 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Position#4
Record6-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game77.2
BulgariaNBLRound 9· Municipal Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Beroe v Balkan
18 Dec 2026
BERO v BAL
upcoming
20 Apr 2026
BERO89
BAL96
08 Dec 2025
BERO59
BAL106
15 Dec 2024
BERO106
BAL110
29 Nov 2023
BERO75
BAL74
05 May 2023
BERO72
BAL91
04 Nov 2022
BERO85
BAL86
23 Oct 2021
BERO92
BAL87
24 Apr 2021
BERO86
BAL85
12 Jan 2021
BERO94
BAL90
11 Jan 2020
BERO65
BAL75
16 May 2019
BERO65
BAL81
08 May 2019
BERO85
BAL81
06 May 2019
BERO70
BAL88
24 Apr 2019
BERO92
BAL84
09 Feb 2019
BERO89
BAL80
11 Apr 2018
BERO91
BAL66
20 Jan 2018
BERO67
BAL92
22 Apr 2017
BERO64
BAL79
11 Feb 2017
BERO87
BAL61
10 Oct 2015
BERO78
BAL101
25 Oct 2014
BERO68
BAL79
22 Apr 2014
BERO77
BAL98
15 Dec 2013
BERO83
BAL90
23 Nov 2012
BERO79
BAL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beroe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A02/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
H05/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
58avg 74
H09/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
92-76
92
76
+16
90avg 74
A14/10
NBL
Levski
#7
L
76-86
76
86
-10
63avg 74
H23/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 74
A28/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
76avg 74
A05/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
80avg 74
H12/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
79-92
79
92
-13
69avg 74
A19/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
76-94
76
94
-18
64avg 74
A25/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
16-18
15-33
25-16
15-27
14-21
21-19
22-24
4-17
22-24
26-29
22-16
20-19
19-17
30-19
23-21
16-31
24-14
21-19
15-22
31-14
17-34
17-19
33-16
24-22
13-23
30-20
15-21
26-20
13-9
27-33
21-24
31-18
20-27
16-21
12-26
26-27
6-29
26-21
18-17
168.3Avg total
81.4Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.086.1169.1-3.138%
Season at home (3)79.086.0165.0-7.033%
Season away (5)85.486.2171.6-0.840%
Last 10 (10)81.486.9168.3-5.530%
Last 5 (5)84.488.2172.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)79.090.5169.4-11.530%
vs Similar (2)96.085.0181.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker (7)86.378.7165.0+7.657%
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#11
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 75
H21/10
NBL
Alba Fehervar
#36
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 75
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
81-70
81
70
+11
84avg 75
H28/10
NBL
Sporting CP
#29
W
81-70
81
70
+11
82avg 75
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
90avg 75
H04/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 75
H11/11
NBL
Alba Fehervar
#36
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 75
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Chernomorets
#2
L
81-90
81
90
-9
72avg 75
A18/11
NBL
Sporting CP
#29
L
72-90
72
90
-18
63avg 75
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#9
W
80-67
80
67
+13
82avg 75
H25/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
14-28
17-19
29-14
28-20
20-26
19-12
21-20
25-7
27-19
10-25
19-19
20-22
31-11
12-21
18-16
24-21
20-16
19-23
26-25
25-17
22-20
15-13
24-24
18-19
19-24
21-15
27-21
26-23
20-21
20-24
15-22
16-23
10-24
29-21
17-22
28-21
21-18
20-12
11-16
161.2Avg total
82.9Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.977.2159.1+4.675%
Season at home (6)85.076.5161.5+8.5100%
Season away (2)72.579.5152.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)82.978.3161.2+4.680%
Last 5 (5)80.880.0160.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.379.5160.8+1.867%
vs Similar (2)88.584.0172.5+4.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.375.7161.0+9.686%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
BeroeBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A02/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H05/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H09/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A14/10
NBL
Levski
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H23/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A28/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A05/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H12/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A19/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A25/11
NBL
81.2Avg total
37.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)43.246.489.5-3.238%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.645.190.7+0.550%-
Last 30 away (14)41.147.588.6-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.943.381.2-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.686.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.946.886.8-6.928%-
vs Similar (2)52.042.094.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (5)53.046.899.8+6.260%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/10
NBL
Alba Fehervar
#36
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H28/10
NBL
Sporting CP
#29
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H04/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H11/11
NBL
Alba Fehervar
#36
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Chernomorets
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A18/11
NBL
Sporting CP
#29
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H25/11
NBL
83.9Avg total
44.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.181.7+3.573%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.837.979.7+3.967%-
Last 30 away (12)43.840.984.8+2.983%-
Last 10 (10)44.039.983.9+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.083.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.339.883.2+3.567%-
vs Similar (2)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.339.683.0+3.776%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.5 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.2
54.2%
54.3%40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.6
35.5%
31.3%28.9
🏀 Free throws17.612.6
71.6%
71.1%12.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.220.2
60.8%
54.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.9
35.5%
31.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.212.2
70.9%
71.1%12.2
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beroe
LLWLWLWLLL
Balkan
WLLWWWWWWW
#12
League position
#4
-4.3
Net rating
+6.8
104.8
Offensive rating
112.4
109.1
Defensive rating
105.6
53.8%
Effective FG%
57.4%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
20.4%
Turnover %
19.7%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.5%
3-point %
35.5%
53.6%
Assist %
69.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 112.4Defence109.1 · 105.6Shooting53.8% · 57.4%3-point %35.5% · 35.5%Ball care20.4% · 19.7%Off. rebounds28.7% · 30.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Beroe   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Beroe wins
7
Balkan wins
DateGameScore
05/05/23Beroe v Balkan72-91
02/05/23Balkan v Beroe89-78
01/04/23Balkan v Beroe82-83
18/01/23Balkan v Beroe105-71
04/11/22Beroe v Balkan85-86
21/03/22Balkan v Beroe85-76
10/01/22Balkan v Beroe106-78
23/10/21Beroe v Balkan92-87
01/05/21Balkan v Beroe82-67
24/04/21Beroe v Balkan86-85
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23ACherno More76-94
19/11/23AMinyor79-92
12/11/23HAcademic Plovdiv87-86
05/11/23ARilski Sportist82-86
28/10/23AYambol98-83
23/10/23HLevski76-86
14/10/23AShumen92-76
09/10/23HChernomorets74-86
05/05/23HBalkan72-91
02/05/23ABalkan78-89
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HYambol80-67
22/11/23ASporting CP72-90
18/11/23AChernomorets81-90
15/11/23HAlba Fehervar85-79
11/11/23HMinyor86-74
04/11/23HSpartak Pleven89-85
01/11/23HSporting CP81-70
28/10/23HRilski Sportist81-70
25/10/23AAlba Fehervar88-78
21/10/23HCherno More86-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beroe
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%33%40%
Points / game83.079.085.4
Allowed / game86.186.086.2
Point differential-3.1-7.0-0.8
Avg total169.1165.0171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Balkan
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game81.985.072.5
Allowed / game77.276.579.5
Point differential+4.6+8.5-7.0
Avg total159.1161.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets880100%86.072.5+13.5
2 Balkan86275%81.977.2+4.6
3 CSKA Sofia85362%84.075.8+8.2
4 Yambol95456%80.783.4-2.8
5 Spartak Pleven84450%87.279.9+7.4
6 Rilski Sportist84450%76.674.4+2.2
7 Levski84450%78.077.9+0.1
8 Shumen83538%84.685.0-0.4
9 Beroe83538%83.086.1-3.1
10 Minyor93633%74.687.0-12.4
11 Academic Plovdiv82625%78.085.1-7.1
12 Cherno More82625%77.585.9-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Beroe2120142075
Balkan1515242074
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