PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Academica vs Sampaense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 67-54
10-16 14-18 18-4 25-16
Position#16
Record1-18
FormLWLLL
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game81.8
Academica 🏆
Portugal
vs
Sampaense
Portugal
Position#10
Record9-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game76.4
PortugalProligaRound 7
Other2025-26
Meetings · Academica v Sampaense
21 Feb 2027
ACAD v SAMP
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
ACAD67
SAMP54
15 Nov 2025
ACAD58
SAMP75
16 Dec 2023
ACAD61
SAMP87
05 Feb 2023
ACAD82
SAMP53
21 Apr 2013
ACAD71
SAMP83
20 Apr 2013
ACAD79
SAMP41
15 Dec 2012
ACAD72
SAMP49
31 Mar 2012
ACAD69
SAMP78
08 Jan 2011
ACAD83
SAMP68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Academica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
L
59-88
59
88
-29
37avg 50
H07/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
71-100
71
100
-29
48avg 50
H13/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
65-75
65
75
-10
50avg 50
A20/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
66-89
66
89
-23
52avg 50
H03/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
60-81
60
81
-21
49avg 50
A10/01
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
65-69
65
69
-4
57avg 50
A25/01
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
86-74
86
74
+12
81avg 50
H01/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
75-81
75
81
-6
63avg 50
A07/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
64-70
64
70
-6
58avg 50
H21/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
80avg 50
A28/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
16-18
16-25
12-20
23-22
18-21
3-34
27-23
16-26
17-18
17-11
15-20
16-21
21-24
18-20
11-24
15-21
14-22
11-13
20-25
24-26
15-19
17-10
9-14
22-19
15-20
22-16
27-19
16-20
20-21
17-24
22-16
16-22
18-11
14-16
16-21
16-26
25-9
10-27
34-29
151.4Avg total
69.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)63.681.8145.4-18.25%
Season at home (9)63.879.1142.9-15.311%
Season away (10)63.584.2147.7-20.70%
Last 10 (10)69.681.8151.4-12.210%
Last 5 (5)75.077.0152.0-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)63.078.5141.5-15.619%
vs Similar (3)63.369.0132.3-5.70%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sampaense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
L
50-73
50
73
-23
37avg 65
A07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
54avg 65
A13/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
85-76 OT
85
76
+9
66avg 65
H20/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
55avg 65
A03/01
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
81-60
81
60
+21
77avg 65
H10/01
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
78-77
78
77
+1
72avg 65
H24/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
64-61
64
61
+3
51avg 65
A01/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
H14/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
51-78
51
78
-27
34avg 65
A22/02
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
52-78
52
78
-26
no box
H28/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
13-21
11-17
12-8
19-17
13-12
14-24
22-26
12-18
19-18
24-20
16-15
8-26
21-20
14-19
26-18
21-15
22-14
13-11
25-20
21-17
21-23
21-20
15-17
9-20
18-16
22-12
15-13
13-17
29-12
17-19
16-18
19-24
9-16
7-25
16-13
13-22
14-21
7-22
18-13
140.4Avg total
67.3Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.176.4146.4-6.347%
Season at home (10)75.577.7153.2-2.260%
Season away (9)64.074.9138.9-10.933%
Last 10 (10)67.373.1140.4-5.850%
Last 5 (5)64.072.0136.0-8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)69.582.2151.7-12.624%
vs Similar (6)85.281.3166.5+3.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.473.3150.7+4.171%
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.0+2.0
AcademicaSampaense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H07/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H13/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H03/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A10/01
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A25/01
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H01/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H21/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A28/02
Proliga
76.9Avg total
35.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.740.873.5-8.113%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.338.170.3-5.813%-
Last 30 away (15)33.143.576.6-10.313%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.176.9-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.676.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)32.941.274.1-8.315%-
vs Similar (3)30.737.067.7-6.30%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sampaense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A13/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H20/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A03/01
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H10/01
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A01/02
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H14/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#13
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A22/02
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H28/02
Proliga
70.4Avg total
32.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.740.577.2-3.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.239.979.2-0.756%-
Last 30 away (14)33.841.174.9-7.321%-
Last 10 (10)32.837.670.4-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)33.237.670.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)32.740.673.4-7.924%-
vs Similar (6)44.844.889.7+0.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.436.375.7+3.157%-
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 69.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.8
48.9%
50.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.35.4
26.6%
30.3%16.2
🏀 Free throws20.313.8
68.0%
67.4%13.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.217.1
46.0%
50.0%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.76.3
29.0%
30.3%18.9
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
67.4%13.9
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Academica
LLLWLLLLLL
Sampaense
LLWWWWLWLL
#16
League position
#10
-14.2
Net rating
-10.4
82.5
Offensive rating
86.7
96.8
Defensive rating
97.1
45.9%
Effective FG%
45.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
20.5%
Turnover %
19.0%
21.0%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
26.6%
3-point %
29.0%
47.2%
Assist %
50.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence82.5 · 86.7Defence96.8 · 97.1Shooting45.9% · 45.1%3-point %26.6% · 29.0%Ball care20.5% · 19.0%Off. rebounds21.0% · 26.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Academica   ■ Sampaense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Academica wins
5
Sampaense wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Sampaense v Academica81-60
15/11/25Academica v Sampaense58-75
16/12/23Academica v Sampaense61-87
21/10/23Sampaense v Academica84-100
05/02/23Academica v Sampaense82-53
03/12/22Sampaense v Academica82-92
09/11/13Sampaense v Academica70-57
28/04/13Sampaense v Academica83-90
27/04/13Sampaense v Academica65-86
21/04/13Academica v Sampaense71-83
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26ALusitania85-91
21/02/26HBenfica Lisboa B64-70
07/02/26ASangalhos75-81
01/02/26HGalomar86-74
25/01/26ASanto Andre65-69
10/01/26ASampaense60-81
03/01/26HCD Povoa66-89
20/12/25ASangalhos65-75
13/12/25HLusitania71-100
07/12/25HMaia59-88
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HGalomar52-78
22/02/26ASanto Andre51-78
14/02/26HSangalhos75-66
01/02/26ABenfica Lisboa B64-61
24/01/26HCB Queluz78-77
10/01/26HAcademica81-60
03/01/26AIlliabum69-83
20/12/25HGinasio85-76 OT
13/12/25AMaia68-79
07/12/25ACD Povoa50-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Academica
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL5%
HomeLLLWL11%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %5%11%0%
Points / game63.663.863.5
Allowed / game81.879.184.2
Point differential-18.2-15.3-20.7
Avg total145.4142.9147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sampaense
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL47%
HomeWWWWL60%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%60%33%
Points / game70.175.564.0
Allowed / game76.477.774.9
Point differential-6.3-2.2-10.9
Avg total146.4153.2138.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa2119290%85.167.8+17.3
2 CAB Madeira1916384%84.172.6+11.5
3 Portimonense2115671%80.574.9+5.7
4 Illiabum2114767%78.070.8+7.1
5 Imortal B2013765%79.478.9+0.5
6 Lusitania2012860%80.875.8+5.1
7 Galomar2112957%83.979.8+4.1
8 Maia2011955%82.074.3+7.8
9 Ginasio20101050%76.578.4-1.9
10 Sampaense1991047%70.176.4-6.3
11 Ginasio Olhanense2091145%78.677.2+1.4
12 Benfica Lisboa B2071335%70.572.8-2.2
13 Santo Andre2171433%74.378.6-4.3
14 CB Queluz2031715%70.284.2-13.9
15 Sangalhos2031715%70.386.0-15.7
16 Academica191185%63.681.8-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Academica1014182567
Sampaense161841654
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.