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Sampaense vs Ginasio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 85-76 (OT)
12-18 19-18 24-20 16-15 14-5
Position#10
Record4-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#8
Record8-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game75.0
PortugalProligaRound 12· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sampaense v Ginasio
20 Dec 2025
SAMP85
GINA76
15 Feb 2025
SAMP86
GINA96
07 Dec 2024
SAMP101
GINA90
19 Dec 2020
SAMP71
GINA75
12 Nov 2011
SAMP76
GINA49
27 Mar 2011
SAMP80
GINA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ginasio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 71
A11/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
74-104
74
104
-30
no box
H18/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
67-79
67
79
-12
66avg 71
H25/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
69-76
69
76
-7
57avg 71
A01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
70avg 71
H08/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
75-58
75
58
+17
69avg 71
A15/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
46-87
46
87
-41
33avg 71
A22/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
79-76
79
76
+3
79avg 71
H29/11
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
50-73
50
73
-23
37avg 71
A07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
54avg 71
A13/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
23-17
23-15
20-21
20-30
13-20
18-24
23-30
16-23
20-15
17-22
14-19
17-20
14-14
22-23
16-19
21-17
16-16
17-23
18-16
25-12
16-20
15-14
19-12
8-21
12-23
20-22
6-21
18-22
24-17
19-12
18-25
14-27
13-21
11-17
12-8
19-17
13-12
14-24
22-26
149.4Avg total
69.6Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)70.579.3149.8-8.736%
Season at home (5)76.884.0160.8-7.240%
Season away (6)65.375.3140.7-10.033%
Last 10 (10)69.679.8149.4-10.230%
Last 5 (5)63.674.6138.2-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.385.1157.4-12.814%
vs Similar (10)87.482.0169.4+5.460%
vs Weaker (6)78.778.3157.0+0.367%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
W
81-74
81
74
+7
41avg 66
A11/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
65-50
65
50
+15
15avg 66
H19/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
68avg 66
A25/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
76-69
76
69
+7
63avg 66
H01/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
71avg 66
H08/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
57-83
57
83
-26
41avg 66
A15/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
89-74
89
74
+15
98avg 66
A22/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
81-73
81
73
+8
70avg 66
H30/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
97-83
97
83
+14
95avg 66
A06/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
52avg 66
H13/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
25-16
18-18
21-13
17-12
17-10
10-12
21-16
19-19
21-24
17-22
18-22
20-17
14-14
23-22
19-16
17-19
20-18
20-19
27-19
12-26
9-15
18-20
18-22
20-12
35-25
17-16
17-21
22-16
22-20
13-28
24-9
19-21
25-22
21-17
32-23
15-18
17-17
15-24
22-31
153.2Avg total
77.4Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.175.0153.1+3.173%
Season at home (6)76.770.7147.3+6.083%
Season away (5)79.880.2160.0-0.460%
Last 10 (10)77.475.8153.2+1.670%
Last 5 (5)78.680.6159.2-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.490.4169.9-11.029%
vs Similar (8)79.481.5160.9-2.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.170.6149.7+8.686%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
SampaenseGinasio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H18/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H25/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A15/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
20-44
20
44
-24
A22/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H29/11
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A13/12
Proliga
73.0Avg total
34.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.680.3-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.441.684.0+0.764%-
Last 30 away (16)35.441.677.0-6.225%-
Last 10 (10)34.039.073.0-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)32.438.470.8-6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)34.041.675.6-7.629%-
vs Similar (10)45.442.988.3+2.570%-
vs Weaker (6)38.239.777.8-1.533%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A11/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H19/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H01/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A15/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A22/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H30/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A06/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H13/12
Proliga
75.1Avg total
38.3Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.582.8-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.239.181.2+3.150%-
Last 30 away (14)40.344.384.6-4.036%-
Last 10 (10)38.336.875.1+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.477.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.545.887.3-4.321%-
vs Similar (8)41.839.681.4+2.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.034.075.0+7.071%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 62.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.2
49.1%
50.0%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.26.3
31.2%
30.3%18.9
🏀 Free throws18.311.4
62.3%
67.4%11.4
They take 53.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.5
53.4%
50.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.4
31.4%
30.3%19.2
🏀 Free throws15.811.7
74.1%
67.4%11.7
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
LLWLWLLLLW
Ginasio
LWWWLWWLWW
#10
League position
#8
-12.3
Net rating
+0.4
92.8
Offensive rating
101.7
105.1
Defensive rating
101.2
48.2%
Effective FG%
51.2%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
21.0%
Turnover %
20.0%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.2%
3-point %
31.4%
55.6%
Assist %
49.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 101.7Defence105.1 · 101.2Shooting48.2% · 51.2%3-point %31.2% · 31.4%Ball care21.0% · 20.0%Off. rebounds26.2% · 27.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Sampaense   ■ Ginasio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sampaense wins
6
Ginasio wins
DateGameScore
01/11/25Ginasio v Sampaense76-69
05/04/25Ginasio v Sampaense83-79
15/02/25Sampaense v Ginasio86-96
07/12/24Sampaense v Ginasio101-90
12/10/24Ginasio v Sampaense78-72
19/12/20Sampaense v Ginasio71-75
04/12/20Ginasio v Sampaense80-90
11/02/12Ginasio v Sampaense54-90
12/11/11Sampaense v Ginasio76-49
27/03/11Sampaense v Ginasio80-85
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25AMaia68-79
07/12/25ACD Povoa50-73
29/11/25HSangalhos79-76
22/11/25ALusitania46-87
15/11/25AAcademica75-58
08/11/25HIlliabum84-87 OT
01/11/25AGinasio69-76
25/10/25HMaia67-79
18/10/25HCD Povoa74-104
11/10/25ASangalhos84-79
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HCD Povoa69-90
06/12/25ASangalhos97-83
30/11/25HLusitania81-73
22/11/25AAcademica89-74
15/11/25AIlliabum57-83
08/11/25HMaia84-75
01/11/25HSampaense76-69
25/10/25ACD Povoa75-87
19/10/25HSangalhos65-50
11/10/25ALusitania81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL36%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game70.576.865.3
Allowed / game79.384.075.3
Point differential-8.7-7.2-10.0
Avg total149.8160.8140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Ginasio
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL73%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game78.176.779.8
Allowed / game75.070.780.2
Point differential+3.1+6.0-0.4
Avg total153.1147.3160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa12120100%88.665.1+23.5
2 CAB Madeira1211192%87.772.8+14.8
3 Illiabum129375%79.268.2+11.0
4 Imortal B118373%82.978.2+4.7
5 Ginasio118373%78.175.0+3.1
6 Portimonense117464%82.577.1+5.5
7 Galomar117464%86.782.8+3.9
8 Maia116555%80.273.6+6.5
9 Lusitania115645%76.671.6+5.0
10 Ginasio Olhanense115645%80.378.9+1.4
11 Sampaense114736%70.579.3-8.7
12 Benfica Lisboa B113827%70.572.8-2.3
13 Santo Andre123925%76.485.3-8.9
14 Sangalhos111109%67.785.7-18.0
15 CB Queluz111109%70.590.1-19.6
16 Academica110110%58.584.0-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Sampaense121924161485
Ginasio18182015576
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