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Academica vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 66-89
16-21 21-24 18-20 11-24
Position#16
Record0-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.0
Allowed / game83.2
Academica
Portugal
vs
CD Povoa 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record12-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game65.1
PortugalProligaRound 13· Pavilhão Multidesportos Dr. Mário Mexia
Other2025-26
Meetings · Academica v CD Povoa
03 Jan 2026
ACAD66
CD P89
31 Oct 2021
ACAD62
CD P73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Academica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
L
60-88
60
88
-28
46avg 42
A18/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
44avg 42
A25/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
50-51
50
51
-1
34avg 42
H31/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
44-116
44
116
-72
24avg 42
A08/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
58-75
58
75
-17
45avg 42
H15/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
74-89
74
89
-15
48avg 42
H22/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
58-90
58
90
-32
41avg 42
A29/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
59-88
59
88
-29
37avg 42
H07/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
71-100
71
100
-29
48avg 42
H13/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
65-75
65
75
-10
50avg 42
A20/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
13-23
16-21
16-22
16-20
12-15
13-10
15-21
9-14
14-12
16-10
11-15
14-36
9-32
10-22
11-26
12-25
20-16
14-15
12-19
12-20
25-35
16-17
21-17
18-23
14-19
8-27
18-21
15-25
16-18
16-25
12-20
23-22
18-21
3-34
27-23
16-26
17-18
17-11
15-20
143.3Avg total
59.5Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)59.083.2142.2-24.20%
Season at home (6)59.779.8139.5-20.20%
Season away (6)58.386.7145.0-28.30%
Last 10 (10)59.583.8143.3-24.30%
Last 5 (5)65.488.4153.8-23.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)61.078.4139.4-17.415%
vs Similar (3)58.771.0129.7-12.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#10
W
104-74
104
74
+30
no box
A18/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
87-75
87
75
+12
85avg 70
H25/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
76-56
76
56
+20
69avg 70
A01/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
116-44
116
44
+72
120avg 70
H08/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
88-73
88
73
+15
88avg 70
A15/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
87-68
87
68
+19
78avg 70
A22/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
73-50
73
50
+23
64avg 70
H07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
95-77
95
77
+18
93avg 70
H08/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 70
A13/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
70avg 70
H20/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
20-13
24-18
30-23
19-19
24-21
22-17
22-18
22-12
12-12
21-16
21-16
36-14
32-9
22-10
26-11
19-17
20-17
23-14
26-25
40-15
13-16
19-13
15-24
27-14
21-13
17-11
8-12
20-20
19-21
30-16
26-20
18-15
17-17
24-15
31-22
11-11
25-16
20-25
20-18
154.8Avg total
89.2Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.665.1153.7+23.5100%
Season at home (6)87.862.0149.8+25.8100%
Season away (6)89.368.2157.5+21.2100%
Last 10 (10)89.265.6154.8+23.6100%
Last 5 (5)84.266.8151.0+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.184.9154.0-15.88%
vs Similar (5)84.687.2171.8-2.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.665.1153.7+23.5100%
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.3-8.3Q1: +8.5+8.5Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.3-8.3Q1: +8.5+8.5Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
AcademicaCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A18/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A25/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H31/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
23-68
23
68
-45
A08/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H15/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H22/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A29/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H07/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H13/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/12
Proliga
75.0Avg total
30.8Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.740.672.3-8.910%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.537.467.9-6.97%-
Last 30 away (15)32.943.776.6-10.913%-
Last 10 (10)30.844.275.0-13.40%-
Last 5 (5)34.845.480.2-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)32.141.173.2-9.011%-
vs Similar (3)28.335.764.0-7.30%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A18/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H25/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A01/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
68-23
68
23
+45
H08/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A15/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A22/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H08/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A13/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H20/12
Proliga
75.7Avg total
44.5Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.577.1+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.836.776.5+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)39.438.277.6+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.531.275.7+13.390%-
Last 5 (5)42.231.673.8+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.840.376.1-4.633%-
vs Similar (5)38.246.684.8-8.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.830.275.0+14.592%-
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 59.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.816.8
43.3%
50.0%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.94.3
18.0%
30.3%12.9
🏀 Free throws19.012.5
65.8%
67.4%12.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.022.9
55.9%
50.0%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.4
35.1%
30.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.113.5
64.0%
67.4%13.5
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Academica
LLLLLLLLLL
CD Povoa
WWWWWWWWWW
#16
League position
#1
-30.0
Net rating
+28.8
73.7
Offensive rating
109.9
103.7
Defensive rating
81.2
37.1%
Effective FG%
54.6%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
39.5%
22.2%
Turnover %
21.2%
19.7%
Off. rebound %
36.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
18.0%
3-point %
35.1%
49.8%
Assist %
58.8%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence73.7 · 109.9Defence103.7 · 81.2Shooting37.1% · 54.6%3-point %18.0% · 35.1%Ball care22.2% · 21.2%Off. rebounds19.7% · 36.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)0% · 100%
■ Academica   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Academica wins
3
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
08/11/25CD Povoa v Academica116-44
22/01/22CD Povoa v Academica75-69
31/10/21Academica v CD Povoa62-73
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25ASangalhos65-75
13/12/25HLusitania71-100
07/12/25HMaia59-88
29/11/25AIlliabum58-90
22/11/25HGinasio74-89
15/11/25HSampaense58-75
08/11/25ACD Povoa44-116
31/10/25HSangalhos50-51
25/10/25ALusitania56-66
18/10/25AMaia60-88
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HIlliabum76-70
13/12/25AGinasio90-69
08/12/25HMaia95-77
07/12/25HSampaense73-50
22/11/25ASangalhos87-68
15/11/25ALusitania88-73
08/11/25HAcademica116-44
01/11/25AIlliabum76-56
25/10/25HGinasio87-75
18/10/25ASampaense104-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Academica
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game59.059.758.3
Allowed / game83.279.886.7
Point differential-24.2-20.2-28.3
Avg total142.2139.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.687.889.3
Allowed / game65.162.068.2
Point differential+23.5+25.8+21.2
Avg total153.7149.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+92%83%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa12120100%88.665.1+23.5
2 CAB Madeira1211192%87.772.8+14.8
3 Illiabum129375%79.268.2+11.0
4 Portimonense139469%83.576.0+7.5
5 Ginasio128467%77.975.8+2.1
6 Imortal B128467%81.280.2+1.1
7 Galomar138562%87.083.2+3.8
8 Maia127558%80.674.2+6.3
9 Ginasio Olhanense137654%81.877.4+4.4
10 Lusitania125742%77.072.8+4.2
11 Sampaense125742%71.879.0-7.2
12 Benfica Lisboa B123925%71.274.3-3.2
13 Santo Andre1331023%76.384.8-8.5
14 Sangalhos1221017%68.384.0-15.7
15 CB Queluz121118%69.189.8-20.7
16 Academica120120%59.083.2-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Academica1621181166
CD Povoa2124202489
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