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Sampaense vs Academica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 81-60
21-15 22-14 13-11 25-20
Position#10
Record5-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#16
Record0-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.5
Allowed / game83.7
PortugalProligaRound 14· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sampaense v Academica
30 Oct 2026
SAMP105
ACAD99
02 May 2026
SAMP85
ACAD81
10 Jan 2026
SAMP81
ACAD60
21 Oct 2023
SAMP84
ACAD100
03 Dec 2022
SAMP82
ACAD92
09 Nov 2013
SAMP70
ACAD57
28 Apr 2013
SAMP83
ACAD90
27 Apr 2013
SAMP65
ACAD86
29 Mar 2013
SAMP60
ACAD68
17 Dec 2011
SAMP73
ACAD70
10 Apr 2011
SAMP73
ACAD74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Academica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
L
67-79
67
79
-12
66avg 69
H25/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
69-76
69
76
-7
57avg 69
A01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
70avg 69
H08/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
75-58
75
58
+17
69avg 69
A15/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
46-87
46
87
-41
33avg 69
A22/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
79-76
79
76
+3
79avg 69
H29/11
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
50-73
50
73
-23
37avg 69
A07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
54avg 69
A13/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
85-76 OT
85
76
+9
66avg 69
H20/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
55avg 69
A03/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
20-15
17-22
14-19
17-20
14-14
22-23
16-19
21-17
16-16
17-23
18-16
25-12
16-20
15-14
19-12
8-21
12-23
20-22
6-21
18-22
24-17
19-12
18-25
14-27
13-21
11-17
12-8
19-17
13-12
14-24
22-26
12-18
19-18
24-20
16-15
8-26
21-20
14-19
26-18
146.6Avg total
69.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.579.3150.8-7.838%
Season at home (6)78.282.7160.8-4.550%
Season away (7)65.976.4142.3-10.629%
Last 10 (10)69.277.4146.6-8.230%
Last 5 (5)70.277.4147.6-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)72.784.5157.1-11.820%
vs Similar (9)86.679.4166.0+7.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)78.778.3157.0+0.367%
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
44avg 43
A25/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
50-51
50
51
-1
34avg 43
H31/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
44-116
44
116
-72
24avg 43
A08/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
58-75
58
75
-17
45avg 43
H15/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
74-89
74
89
-15
48avg 43
H22/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
58-90
58
90
-32
41avg 43
A29/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
59-88
59
88
-29
37avg 43
H07/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
71-100
71
100
-29
48avg 43
H13/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
65-75
65
75
-10
50avg 43
A20/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
66-89
66
89
-23
52avg 43
H03/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
12-15
13-10
15-21
9-14
14-12
16-10
11-15
14-36
9-32
10-22
11-26
12-25
20-16
14-15
12-19
12-20
25-35
16-17
21-17
18-23
14-19
8-27
18-21
15-25
16-18
16-25
12-20
23-22
18-21
3-34
27-23
16-26
17-18
17-11
15-20
16-21
21-24
18-20
11-24
144.0Avg total
60.1Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)59.583.7143.2-24.20%
Season at home (7)60.681.1141.7-20.60%
Season away (6)58.386.7145.0-28.30%
Last 10 (10)60.183.9144.0-23.80%
Last 5 (5)63.888.4152.2-24.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)60.778.9139.6-18.115%
vs Similar (3)58.771.0129.7-12.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sampaense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -8.1-8.1Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -5.3-5.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -8.1-8.1Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -5.3-5.3
SampaenseAcademica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H25/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A15/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
20-44
20
44
-24
A22/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H29/11
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A13/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H20/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A03/01
Proliga
70.5Avg total
32.6Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.479.3-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.241.182.3+0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)35.041.876.8-6.825%-
Last 10 (10)32.637.970.5-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.239.671.8-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)33.441.374.7-7.927%-
vs Similar (9)45.242.888.0+2.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)38.239.777.8-1.533%-
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lusitania
#3
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A25/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H31/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
23-68
23
68
-45
A08/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H15/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H22/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A29/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H07/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H13/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H03/01
Proliga
75.9Avg total
31.7Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.440.772.1-9.37%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.937.968.8-6.96%-
Last 30 away (14)31.944.075.9-12.17%-
Last 10 (10)31.744.275.9-12.50%-
Last 5 (5)34.843.478.2-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)31.741.373.0-9.67%-
vs Similar (3)28.335.764.0-7.30%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sampaense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.1
49.1%
50.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.8
30.1%
30.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.112.3
64.4%
67.4%12.3
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 60.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.217.0
43.4%
50.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.75.0
20.2%
30.3%15.0
🏀 Free throws17.011.0
64.7%
67.4%11.0
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
LWLLWLWLLL
Academica
LLLLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#16
-11.8
Net rating
-29.8
92.4
Offensive rating
75.8
104.2
Defensive rating
105.7
47.6%
Effective FG%
38.3%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
20.8%
Turnover %
20.9%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
19.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.1%
3-point %
20.2%
54.2%
Assist %
47.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 75.8Defence104.2 · 105.7Shooting47.6% · 38.3%3-point %30.1% · 20.2%Ball care20.8% · 20.9%Off. rebounds25.5% · 19.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 0%
■ Sampaense   ■ Academica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sampaense wins
6
Academica wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Academica v Sampaense58-75
16/12/23Academica v Sampaense61-87
21/10/23Sampaense v Academica84-100
05/02/23Academica v Sampaense82-53
03/12/22Sampaense v Academica82-92
09/11/13Sampaense v Academica70-57
28/04/13Sampaense v Academica83-90
27/04/13Sampaense v Academica65-86
21/04/13Academica v Sampaense71-83
20/04/13Academica v Sampaense79-41
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AIlliabum69-83
20/12/25HGinasio85-76 OT
13/12/25AMaia68-79
07/12/25ACD Povoa50-73
29/11/25HSangalhos79-76
22/11/25ALusitania46-87
15/11/25AAcademica75-58
08/11/25HIlliabum84-87 OT
01/11/25AGinasio69-76
25/10/25HMaia67-79
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HCD Povoa66-89
20/12/25ASangalhos65-75
13/12/25HLusitania71-100
07/12/25HMaia59-88
29/11/25AIlliabum58-90
22/11/25HGinasio74-89
15/11/25HSampaense58-75
08/11/25ACD Povoa44-116
31/10/25HSangalhos50-51
25/10/25ALusitania56-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game71.578.265.9
Allowed / game79.382.776.4
Point differential-7.8-4.5-10.6
Avg total150.8160.8142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %15%33%0%
Academica
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game59.560.658.3
Allowed / game83.781.186.7
Point differential-24.2-20.6-28.3
Avg total143.2141.7145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa13130100%88.665.2+23.5
2 CAB Madeira1312192%87.072.3+14.7
3 Illiabum1310377%79.568.2+11.2
4 Portimonense139469%83.576.0+7.5
5 Imortal B139469%80.779.2+1.5
6 Maia138562%81.873.6+8.2
7 Galomar138562%87.083.2+3.8
8 Ginasio138562%77.077.4-0.4
9 Ginasio Olhanense137654%81.877.4+4.4
10 Lusitania136746%77.872.8+5.0
11 Sampaense135838%71.579.3-7.8
12 Benfica Lisboa B1331023%70.874.7-3.9
13 Santo Andre1331023%76.384.8-8.5
14 Sangalhos1321115%68.884.3-15.5
15 CB Queluz131128%68.988.5-19.6
16 Academica130130%59.583.7-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sampaense2122132581
Academica1514112060
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