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Academica vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 71-100
23-22 18-21 3-34 27-23
Position#16
Record0-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game57.2
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#3
Record4-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game71.7
PortugalProligaRound 11· Pavilhão Multidesportos Dr. Mário Mexia
Other2025-26
Meetings · Academica v Lusitania
13 Dec 2026
ACAD v LUSI
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
ACAD79
LUSI85
13 Dec 2025
ACAD71
LUSI100
12 Feb 2022
ACAD89
LUSI99
17 Jan 2021
ACAD83
LUSI84
01 Dec 2012
ACAD66
LUSI55
17 Mar 2012
ACAD70
LUSI77
19 Mar 2011
ACAD82
LUSI55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Academica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
L
67-85
67
85
-18
60avg 41
A04/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
46-76
46
76
-30
33avg 41
H11/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
60-88
60
88
-28
46avg 41
A18/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
44avg 41
A25/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
50-51
50
51
-1
34avg 41
H31/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
44-116
44
116
-72
24avg 41
A08/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
58-75
58
75
-17
45avg 41
H15/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
74-89
74
89
-15
48avg 41
H22/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
58-90
58
90
-32
41avg 41
A29/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
59-88
59
88
-29
37avg 41
H07/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-27
15-27
17-8
24-23
19-13
6-26
10-17
11-20
15-22
13-23
16-21
16-22
16-20
12-15
13-10
15-21
9-14
14-12
16-10
11-15
14-36
9-32
10-22
11-26
12-25
20-16
14-15
12-19
12-20
25-35
16-17
21-17
18-23
14-19
8-27
18-21
15-25
16-18
16-25
12-20
139.6Avg total
57.2Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)57.282.4139.6-25.20%
Season at home (5)57.475.8133.2-18.40%
Season away (5)57.089.0146.0-32.00%
Last 10 (10)57.282.4139.6-25.20%
Last 5 (5)58.691.6150.2-33.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)60.377.4137.7-17.114%
vs Similar (2)55.569.0124.5-13.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#10
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A04/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
74-81
74
81
-7
60avg 74
H11/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
46avg 74
A19/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
66-56
66
56
+10
64avg 74
H25/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
55avg 74
H31/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 74
H15/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
87-46
87
46
+41
89avg 74
H22/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
73-81
73
81
-8
56avg 74
A30/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
64-65
64
65
-1
59avg 74
H07/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 74
A08/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
26-8
11-23
21-29
27-17
16-25
18-18
13-21
18-16
9-28
20-22
16-15
20-16
15-12
10-13
21-15
20-14
15-17
17-15
17-19
17-19
17-20
14-23
25-26
21-8
23-12
22-20
21-6
16-22
20-22
28-13
9-24
16-22
13-8
18-16
17-19
28-19
25-23
23-20
24-12
146.0Avg total
74.3Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.371.7146.0+2.640%
Season at home (6)72.266.8139.0+5.350%
Season away (4)77.579.0156.5-1.525%
Last 10 (10)74.371.7146.0+2.640%
Last 5 (5)79.470.8150.2+8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.088.0161.0-15.00%
vs Similar (9)70.674.6145.1-4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.577.7164.2+8.970%
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.4-8.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -7.9-7.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.4-8.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -7.9-7.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
AcademicaLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A04/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H11/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A18/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A25/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H31/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
23-68
23
68
-45
A08/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H15/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H22/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A29/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H07/12
Proliga
73.3Avg total
28.5Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.139.971.0-8.810%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.536.365.7-6.87%-
Last 30 away (15)32.743.576.2-10.913%-
Last 10 (10)28.544.873.3-16.30%-
Last 5 (5)31.049.880.8-18.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)31.440.571.9-9.111%-
vs Similar (2)26.031.557.5-5.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A04/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H11/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A19/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H25/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H31/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H15/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H22/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A30/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H07/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A08/12
Proliga
72.6Avg total
37.8Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.278.2+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.836.475.2+2.356%-
Last 30 away (14)41.640.181.7+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)37.834.872.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.074.2+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.039.073.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (9)32.135.667.7-3.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.039.383.2+4.770%-
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 56.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.416.7
44.7%
50.0%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.54.0
17.8%
30.3%12.0
🏀 Free throws17.211.3
65.7%
67.4%11.3
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.1
48.7%
50.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.05.5
26.2%
30.3%16.5
🏀 Free throws18.913.2
69.8%
67.4%13.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Academica
LLLLLLLLLL
Lusitania
WLLWLWWLLL
#16
League position
#3
-31.7
Net rating
+5.3
72.9
Offensive rating
99.2
104.6
Defensive rating
93.9
37.9%
Effective FG%
45.4%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
24.9%
Turnover %
19.9%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
37.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
17.8%
3-point %
26.2%
52.7%
Assist %
57.7%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence72.9 · 99.2Defence104.6 · 93.9Shooting37.9% · 45.4%3-point %17.8% · 26.2%Ball care24.9% · 19.9%Off. rebounds21.2% · 37.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)0% · 40%
■ Academica   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Academica wins
7
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
25/10/25Lusitania v Academica66-56
12/02/22Academica v Lusitania89-99
21/12/21Lusitania v Academica96-79
17/01/21Academica v Lusitania83-84
17/10/20Lusitania v Academica93-83
09/03/13Lusitania v Academica61-76
01/12/12Academica v Lusitania66-55
17/03/12Academica v Lusitania70-77
03/12/11Lusitania v Academica74-70
19/03/11Academica v Lusitania82-55
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HMaia59-88
29/11/25AIlliabum58-90
22/11/25HGinasio74-89
15/11/25HSampaense58-75
08/11/25ACD Povoa44-116
31/10/25HSangalhos50-51
25/10/25ALusitania56-66
18/10/25AMaia60-88
11/10/25HIlliabum46-76
04/10/25AGinasio67-85
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/25ASangalhos100-74
07/12/25HIlliabum64-65
30/11/25AGinasio73-81
22/11/25HSampaense87-46
15/11/25HCD Povoa73-88
31/10/25HMaia69-65
25/10/25HAcademica66-56
19/10/25AIlliabum63-81
11/10/25HGinasio74-81
04/10/25ASampaense74-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Academica
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game57.257.457.0
Allowed / game82.475.889.0
Point differential-25.2-18.4-32.0
Avg total139.6133.2146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lusitania
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game74.372.277.5
Allowed / game71.766.879.0
Point differential+2.6+5.3-1.5
Avg total146.0139.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa10100100%89.764.2+25.5
2 CAB Madeira1110191%88.472.5+15.8
3 Illiabum108280%79.067.6+11.4
4 Ginasio108280%79.073.5+5.5
5 Imortal B118373%82.978.2+4.7
6 Portimonense107370%83.276.8+6.4
7 Galomar106460%85.682.5+3.1
8 Maia105550%80.374.2+6.1
9 Ginasio Olhanense115645%80.378.9+1.4
10 Lusitania104640%74.371.7+2.6
11 Sampaense104640%70.879.3-8.5
12 Benfica Lisboa B103730%70.372.6-2.3
13 Santo Andre102820%73.583.9-10.4
14 Sangalhos101910%67.985.3-17.4
15 CB Queluz9090%68.191.3-23.2
16 Academica100100%57.282.4-25.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Academica231832771
Lusitania22213423100
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