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AEK Athens vs Lavrio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:15
Final 93-98
26-28 13-24 25-24 29-22
Position#9
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Lavrio 🏆
Greece
Position#13
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 1· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · AEK Athens v Lavrio
21 Dec 2024
AAT97
LAV86
14 Apr 2024
AAT100
LAV67
07 Oct 2023
AAT93
LAV98
11 Feb 2023
AAT81
LAV95
10 Apr 2022
AAT90
LAV75
03 Apr 2021
AAT94
LAV97
14 Mar 2020
AAT v LAV
upcoming
15 Dec 2018
AAT83
LAV64
24 Mar 2018
AAT96
LAV86
15 Oct 2016
AAT96
LAV56
07 Dec 2013
AAT80
LAV68
17 Dec 2011
AAT97
LAV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lavrio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
65-75
65
75
-10
59avg 71
H21/03
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
77-73
77
73
+4
72avg 71
H25/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A30/03
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
71avg 71
A01/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
55-64
55
64
-9
54avg 71
A04/04
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 71
H09/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
94-78
94
78
+16
91avg 71
H12/04
Champions League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
51-91
51
91
-40
39avg 71
A19/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
73-87
73
87
-14
61avg 71
A23/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
99-113 OT
99
113
-14
no box
H27/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
23-18
17-20
10-16
15-19
22-15
23-22
17-17
21-22
21-25
18-13
12-25
18-23
21-17
16-12
17-26
6-26
18-10
21-13
10-15
19-22
16-16
18-29
25-18
20-21
27-16
23-21
24-20
7-18
15-25
14-16
15-32
20-27
21-24
22-13
10-23
27-18
14-36
27-21
19-12
156.5Avg total
73.6Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.682.9156.5-9.320%
Last 5 (5)79.090.8169.8-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.883.7156.5-10.831%
vs Similar (13)77.076.5153.5+0.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)79.574.8154.2+4.875%
This opponent (Lavrio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LavrioGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLavrio
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
81avg 69
H22/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
68-93
68
93
-25
60avg 69
A29/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
95-81
95
81
+14
89avg 69
A11/02
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
74-68
74
68
+6
79avg 69
H04/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
66-77
66
77
-11
54avg 69
A11/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
81-70
81
70
+11
76avg 69
H18/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
75-103
75
103
-28
no box
H21/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
85-70
85
70
+15
84avg 69
A26/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
85avg 69
A01/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
83-97
83
97
-14
73avg 69
H09/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
17-21
25-28
17-19
17-26
15-31
19-22
17-14
23-20
19-16
25-20
28-25
13-15
21-16
26-21
14-16
21-19
15-20
14-20
16-18
22-19
18-18
22-14
19-19
18-29
30-25
15-25
12-24
24-15
13-19
24-16
24-20
20-26
11-25
29-17
30-14
22-27
19-19
24-28
18-23
162.8Avg total
80.1Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.182.7162.8-2.650%
Last 5 (5)82.884.4167.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.485.5160.8-10.118%
vs Similar (11)76.381.5157.7-5.236%
vs Weaker (2)92.572.5165.0+20.0100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
AEK AthensLavrio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H21/03
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H25/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A30/03
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A01/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A04/04
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H09/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H12/04
Champions League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A19/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A23/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H27/04
Basket League
78.5Avg total
36.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.040.577.5-3.523%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.940.177.9-2.229%-
Last 30 away (16)36.240.877.1-4.619%-
Last 10 (10)36.641.978.5-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)37.244.681.8-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.842.578.4-6.715%-
vs Similar (13)37.340.177.4-2.815%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.835.074.8+4.875%-
This opponent (Lavrio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LavrioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H22/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A29/01
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A11/02
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H04/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A11/03
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H18/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H21/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A26/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A01/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H09/04
Basket League
80.7Avg total
38.3Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.743.681.2-5.927%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.242.082.2-1.836%-
Last 30 away (16)35.444.980.4-9.519%-
Last 10 (10)38.342.480.7-4.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.483.8-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.444.983.3-6.524%-
vs Similar (11)36.941.978.8-5.027%-
vs Weaker (2)35.541.577.0-6.050%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.3
51.5%
52.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.7
31.2%
33.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.714.7
78.6%
71.5%14.7
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lavriotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lavrio: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.5
55.3%
52.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.5
35.9%
33.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.012.6
66.3%
71.5%12.6
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LLLWLLLLWL
Lavrio
LWWLWLWWLL
#9
League position
#13
-8.8
Net rating
-3.8
102.7
Offensive rating
107.5
111.5
Defensive rating
111.3
49.5%
Effective FG%
54.7%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.7%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.2%
3-point %
35.9%
74.8%
Assist %
63.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 107.5Defence111.5 · 111.3Shooting49.5% · 54.7%3-point %31.2% · 35.9%Ball care17.2% · 17.7%Off. rebounds24.4% · 25.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Lavrio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
AEK Athens wins
4
Lavrio wins
DateGameScore
11/02/23AEK Athens v Lavrio81-95
05/11/22Lavrio v AEK Athens67-84
10/04/22AEK Athens v Lavrio90-75
20/11/21Lavrio v AEK Athens81-82
26/09/21Lavrio v AEK Athens67-86
03/04/21AEK Athens v Lavrio94-97 OT
10/02/21Lavrio v AEK Athens90-85 OT
27/12/20Lavrio v AEK Athens78-70
23/11/19Lavrio v AEK Athens60-73
06/04/19Lavrio v AEK Athens94-100 OT
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/23HPeristeri99-113 OT
23/04/23APeristeri73-87
19/04/23AHapoel Jerusalem51-91
12/04/23HHapoel Jerusalem94-78
09/04/23HOlympiacos78-85
04/04/23AHapoel Jerusalem55-64
01/04/23APAOK72-78
30/03/23APromitheas72-85
25/03/23HPanathinaikos77-73
21/03/23HUnicaja65-75
Lavriolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/23HKolossos Rhodes83-97
01/04/23AIonikos90-82
26/03/23AAS Karditsas85-70
21/03/23HOlympiacos75-103
18/03/23HAris81-70
11/03/23APeristeri66-77
04/03/23HApollon Patras74-68
11/02/23AAEK Athens95-81
29/01/23APAOK68-93
22/01/23HPanathinaikos84-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Lavrio
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W330100%88.761.7+27.0
2 Kibirkstis Vilnius W220100%96.077.5+18.5
3 Kolossos Rhodes110100%104.093.0+11.0
4 Aistes LSU Kaunas W21150%62.074.0-12.0
5 Klaipedos Neptunas W31233%77.370.7+6.7
6 Peristeri1010%93.0104.0-11.0
7 Siauliai W2020%70.088.5-18.5
8 Panevezys W2020%58.096.5-38.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2613252993
Lavrio2824242298
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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