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Olympiacos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:15
Final 79-71
16-12 20-21 23-21 20-17
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#9
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game98.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 2· Peace and Friendship Stadium
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Olympiacos v AEK Athens
14 Feb 2027
OLY v AAT
upcoming
28 May 2026
OLY94
AAT77
07 Dec 2025
OLY100
AAT93
04 May 2025
OLY87
AAT85
26 Jan 2025
OLY89
AAT70
15 May 2024
OLY92
AAT75
15 Oct 2023
OLY79
AAT71
08 Jan 2023
OLY111
AAT71
18 Feb 2022
OLY76
AAT70
03 Oct 2021
OLY103
AAT78
06 Jan 2019
OLY101
AAT75
01 Apr 2018
OLY100
AAT86
17 Feb 2018
OLY83
AAT88
26 Nov 2016
OLY78
AAT67
19 Feb 2015
OLY83
AAT77
31 Oct 2010
OLY82
AAT50
11 Apr 2010
OLY84
AAT53
19 Nov 2008
OLY81
AAT66
16 Nov 2008
OLY101
AAT84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
PAOK
#6
W
75-54
75
54
+21
86avg 85
H28/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
H04/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
65-67
65
67
-2
60avg 85
A08/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
75-52
75
52
+23
73avg 85
H11/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
63-35
63
35
+28
67avg 85
A15/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#2
W
84-64
84
64
+20
84avg 85
A29/09
Super Cup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
75-51
75
51
+24
77avg 85
H30/09
Super Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
88-78 OT
88
78
+10
81avg 85
A06/10
Euroleague
Aris
#8
W
81-72
81
72
+9
86avg 85
A08/10
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
68-77
68
77
-9
56avg 85
H13/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
15-22
22-11
14-9
26-14
15-19
20-15
12-22
13-25
22-8
15-18
15-16
18-19
18-9
21-13
18-11
24-15
24-11
15-9
–
27-20
19-16
17-14
21-14
16-4
21-7
19-23
19-17
23-22
13-21
16-16
22-15
23-18
17-23
24-13
17-18
16-23
18-17
20-16
14-21
136.7Avg total
74.7Scored
62.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.072.0153.0+9.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.072.0153.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.762.0136.7+12.780%
Last 5 (5)79.268.4147.6+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)78.078.0156.0+0.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)81.167.9149.0+13.281%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
W
77-73
77
73
+4
72avg 71
H25/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A30/03
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
71avg 71
A01/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
55-64
55
64
-9
54avg 71
A04/04
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 71
H09/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
94-78
94
78
+16
91avg 71
H12/04
Champions League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
51-91
51
91
-40
39avg 71
A19/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
73-87
73
87
-14
61avg 71
A23/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
99-113 OT
99
113
-14
no box
H27/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
93-98
93
98
-5
86avg 71
H07/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
22-15
23-22
17-17
21-22
21-25
18-13
12-25
18-23
21-17
16-12
17-26
6-26
18-10
21-13
10-15
19-22
16-16
18-29
25-18
20-21
27-16
23-21
24-20
7-18
15-25
14-16
15-32
20-27
21-24
22-13
10-23
27-18
14-36
27-21
19-12
26-28
13-24
25-24
29-22
161.6Avg total
76.4Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)93.098.0191.0-5.00%
Season at home (1)93.098.0191.0-5.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.485.2161.6-8.820%
Last 5 (5)82.093.4175.4-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.284.8158.9-10.633%
vs Similar (13)77.076.5153.5+0.562%
vs Weaker (5)82.279.4161.6+2.860%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
OlympiacosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H28/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H04/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A08/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H11/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A15/06
Basket League
Peristeri
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A29/09
Super Cup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
37-11
37
11
+26
H30/09
Super Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A06/10
Euroleague
Aris
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A08/10
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H13/10
Euroleague
71.7Avg total
39.2Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.835.676.3+5.273%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.833.973.7+5.871%-
Last 30 away (13)42.137.779.8+4.477%-
Last 10 (10)39.232.571.7+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)38.634.272.8+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)38.342.781.0-4.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)41.034.875.8+6.381%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H25/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A30/03
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A01/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A04/04
Champions League
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H09/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H12/04
Champions League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A19/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A23/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H27/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/10
Basket League
79.9Avg total
36.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.340.978.3-3.623%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.940.978.8-2.927%-
Last 30 away (15)36.741.077.7-4.320%-
Last 10 (10)36.743.279.9-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.047.485.4-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.442.979.3-6.517%-
vs Similar (13)37.340.177.4-2.815%-
vs Weaker (5)39.638.478.0+1.260%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.318.1
56.0%
52.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.5
39.4%
33.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws12.39.0
73.2%
71.5%9.0
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.7
52.1%
52.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.6
31.4%
33.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.714.3
76.5%
71.5%14.3
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
LWWWWWWLWW
AEK Athens
LLLLWLLLLW
#3
League position
#9
+18.8
Net rating
-11.5
108.8
Offensive rating
103.1
90.1
Defensive rating
114.6
57.4%
Effective FG%
50.0%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
20.3%
Turnover %
17.6%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.4%
3-point %
31.4%
71.7%
Assist %
73.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 103.1Defence90.1 · 114.6Shooting57.4% · 50.0%3-point %39.4% · 31.4%Ball care20.3% · 17.6%Off. rebounds26.7% · 25.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Olympiacos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olympiacos wins
2
AEK Athens wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23HBarcelona68-77
08/10/23AAris81-72
06/10/23APanathinaikos88-78 OT
30/09/23HPanathinaikos75-51
29/09/23APeristeri84-64
15/06/23APanathinaikos63-35
11/06/23HPanathinaikos75-52
08/06/23APanathinaikos65-67
04/06/23HPanathinaikos73-70
28/05/23HPAOK75-54
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23HLavrio93-98
27/04/23HPeristeri99-113 OT
23/04/23APeristeri73-87
19/04/23AHapoel Jerusalem51-91
12/04/23HHapoel Jerusalem94-78
09/04/23HOlympiacos78-85
04/04/23AHapoel Jerusalem55-64
01/04/23APAOK72-78
30/03/23APromitheas72-85
25/03/23HPanathinaikos77-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game72.0-72.0
Point differential+9.0-+9.0
Avg total153.0-153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game93.093.0-
Allowed / game98.098.0-
Point differential-5.0-5.0-
Avg total191.0191.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W550100%86.866.4+20.4
2 Promitheas220100%91.077.5+13.5
3 Kolossos Rhodes110100%104.093.0+11.0
4 Olympiacos110100%81.072.0+9.0
5 Panathinaikos220100%74.067.5+6.5
6 Lavrio110100%98.093.0+5.0
7 Kibirkstis Vilnius W43175%96.574.0+22.5
8 Klaipedos Neptunas W42250%77.265.8+11.5
9 Aris21150%74.575.5-1.0
10 Apollon Patras21150%71.074.0-3.0
11 PAOK21150%80.085.0-5.0
12 Aistes LSU Kaunas W42250%59.071.2-12.2
13 AEK Athens1010%93.098.0-5.0
14 AS Karditsas2020%73.079.5-6.5
15 Peristeri2020%78.585.0-6.5
16 Maroussi2020%73.081.0-8.0
17 Siauliai W3030%67.084.3-17.3
18 Panevezys W4040%56.290.5-34.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos1620232079
AEK Athens1221211771
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