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AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 12:45
Final 78-85
19-22 16-16 18-29 25-18
Position#5
Record12-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#1
Record21-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game70.9
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 22
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · AEK Athens v Olympiacos
20 Dec 2026
AAT v OLY
upcoming
30 May 2026
AAT68
OLY95
25 Apr 2026
AAT84
OLY94
15 May 2025
AAT64
OLY90
03 Nov 2024
AAT77
OLY96
18 May 2024
AAT68
OLY100
07 Jan 2024
AAT80
OLY92
09 Apr 2023
AAT78
OLY85
29 Jan 2022
AAT74
OLY80
20 Apr 2019
AAT67
OLY76
10 Dec 2017
AAT66
OLY62
13 Mar 2017
AAT63
OLY70
03 Nov 2014
AAT62
OLY81
29 Jan 2011
AAT74
OLY79
03 Jan 2010
AAT91
OLY96
18 Feb 2009
AAT75
OLY95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#10
L
65-77
65
77
-12
no box
H18/02
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#12
W
98-79
98
79
+19
90avg 72
A04/03
Basket League
Limoges
#28
W
69-63
69
63
+6
67avg 72
A07/03
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
89avg 72
H11/03
Basket League
Galatasaray
#16
W
92-78
92
78
+14
88avg 72
H15/03
Champions League
Unicaja
#2
L
65-75
65
75
-10
59avg 72
H21/03
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
77-73
77
73
+4
72avg 72
H25/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A30/03
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
71avg 72
A01/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
55-64
55
64
-9
54avg 72
A04/04
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
18-10
14-19
12-24
29-25
20-11
24-19
25-24
17-14
14-19
23-18
15-12
23-19
28-27
30-22
14-21
29-31
16-15
18-15
29-17
15-21
23-18
17-20
10-16
15-19
22-15
23-22
17-17
21-22
21-25
18-13
12-25
18-23
21-17
16-12
17-26
6-26
18-10
21-13
10-15
152.1Avg total
76.0Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.776.2152.0-0.557%
Season at home (10)78.275.8154.0+2.470%
Season away (11)73.576.6150.1-3.245%
Last 10 (10)76.076.1152.1-0.150%
Last 5 (5)68.275.0143.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)69.379.3148.7-10.033%
vs Similar (15)76.175.8151.9+0.360%
vs Weaker (6)79.772.5152.2+7.283%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
W
89-77
89
77
+12
85avg 87
H12/03
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A16/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
76-74
76
74
+2
no box
A19/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
103-75
103
75
+28
no box
A21/03
Basket League
Partizan
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
74avg 87
A24/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
100-70
100
70
+30
106avg 87
H26/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
81-55
81
55
+26
83avg 87
H29/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
80avg 87
H31/03
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
92-61
92
61
+31
88avg 87
H02/04
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
A06/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
16-13
17-24
30-23
15-17
25-17
21-15
13-23
21-21
25-17
13-20
17-16
29-18
25-30
25-15
24-12
22-27
12-21
18-12
23-30
30-22
19-8
17-22
34-18
22-13
15-16
19-10
25-16
16-17
17-21
24-10
24-25
21-22
17-10
25-15
29-14
30-26
17-19
12-20
20-22
158.4Avg total
85.0Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)92.670.9163.5+21.7100%
Season at home (11)94.968.4163.3+26.5100%
Season away (10)90.073.7163.7+16.3100%
Last 10 (10)85.073.4158.4+11.680%
Last 5 (5)86.669.2155.8+17.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)75.065.0140.0+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)86.673.2159.8+13.485%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +4.0+4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +4.0+4.0
AEK AthensOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H18/02
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A04/03
Basket League
Limoges
#28
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A07/03
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H11/03
Basket League
Galatasaray
#16
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H15/03
Champions League
Unicaja
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H21/03
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H25/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A30/03
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A01/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A04/04
Champions League
78.6Avg total
39.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.039.075.9-2.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.238.475.6-1.236%-
Last 30 away (16)36.839.476.2-2.719%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.178.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.275.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.341.076.3-5.711%-
vs Similar (15)36.839.075.8-2.220%-
vs Weaker (6)39.835.875.7+4.067%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H12/03
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A16/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A19/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A21/03
Basket League
Partizan
#6
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A24/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H26/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H29/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#15
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H31/03
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H02/04
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A06/04
Euroleague
79.2Avg total
42.0Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.134.376.4+7.877%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.631.273.8+11.488%-
Last 30 away (14)41.537.979.4+3.664%-
Last 10 (10)42.037.279.2+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)40.834.875.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)32.527.560.0+5.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)42.935.278.1+7.774%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.4
53.2%
53.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.1
32.8%
33.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.513.8
78.9%
71.9%13.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.621.2
65.0%
53.1%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.1
32.3%
33.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.014.6
73.0%
71.9%14.6
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LLLWLWWWWL
Olympiacos
LWWWWLWWWW
#5
League position
#1
-0.3
Net rating
+16.6
107.6
Offensive rating
117.4
107.9
Defensive rating
100.8
51.6%
Effective FG%
57.3%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.4%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.8%
3-point %
32.3%
71.3%
Assist %
75.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 117.4Defence107.9 · 100.8Shooting51.6% · 57.3%3-point %32.8% · 32.3%Ball care17.6% · 17.4%Off. rebounds28.7% · 32.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AEK Athens wins
8
Olympiacos wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/23AHapoel Jerusalem55-64
01/04/23APAOK72-78
30/03/23APromitheas72-85
25/03/23HPanathinaikos77-73
21/03/23HUnicaja65-75
15/03/23HGalatasaray92-78
11/03/23HKolossos Rhodes95-89
07/03/23ALimoges69-63
04/03/23AIonikos98-79
18/02/23HPeristeri65-77
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/23ACrvena zvezda79-87
02/04/23HAS Karditsas92-61
31/03/23HPanathinaikos81-73
29/03/23HLyon-Villeurbanne81-55
26/03/23HPAOK100-70
24/03/23APartizan75-90
21/03/23ALavrio103-75
19/03/23APanathinaikos76-74
16/03/23AZalgiris Kaunas74-72
12/03/23HPromitheas89-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeLWLWW70%
AwayWLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%70%45%
Points / game75.778.273.5
Allowed / game76.275.876.6
Point differential-0.5+2.4-3.2
Avg total152.0154.0150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olympiacos
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.694.990.0
Allowed / game70.968.473.7
Point differential+21.7+26.5+16.3
Avg total163.5163.3163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+81%91%70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos21210100%92.670.9+21.7
2 Panathinaikos2116576%84.470.2+14.2
3 Peristeri2113862%83.678.2+5.4
4 PAOK2112957%79.877.9+1.9
5 Promitheas2112957%76.676.8-0.2
6 AEK Athens2112957%75.776.2-0.5
7 Aris21101148%78.176.2+1.9
8 Kolossos Rhodes21101148%77.278.7-1.5
9 Lavrio2171433%75.981.9-6.0
10 Apollon Patras2151624%69.878.9-9.1
11 AS Karditsas2251723%72.081.8-9.8
12 Ionikos2241818%73.890.4-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1916182578
Olympiacos2216291885
← all games of the day
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