AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Sep 2020

Tip-off: 13:30

Final 73-79

21-20 23-23 15-16 14-20

Position#4

Record0-1

FormWWWWL

Points / game88.0

Allowed / game98.0

AEK Athens

Panathinaikos 🏆

Position#3

Record0-1

FormWWWWL

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game90.0

Super CupSuper Cup - 3rd place

Other2020

Meetings · AEK Athens v Panathinaikos

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Panathinaikos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK Athens Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Larisa

#11

86-76

+10

A22/12

Basket League

Ionikos

#10

103-70

103

+33

H28/12

Basket League

Panathinaikos

100-97

100

H05/01

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

79-70

A11/01

Basket League

Ifaistos Limnou

74-68

H18/01

Basket League

Peristeri

77-73

A25/01

Basket League

Rethymno

84-83

H26/02

Basket League

Panionios

#13

101-96 OT

101

A29/02

Basket League

Iraklis

86-61

+25

H07/03

Basket League

Promitheas

88-98

-10

A23/09

Super Cup

24-9

24-24

20-20

18-23

26-16

28-19

24-24

25-11

32-28

31-26

22-23

15-20

18-16

21-17

19-19

21-18

19-23

16-19

18-9

21-17

20-18

18-18

17-18

22-19

16-22

17-21

25-17

26-23

23-21

19-17

24-22

18-24

30-12

14-20

16-19

26-10

25-23

21-20

21-24

21-31

167.0Avg total

87.8Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	88.0	98.0	186.0	-10.0	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	88.0	98.0	186.0	-10.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	87.8	79.2	167.0	+8.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	82.2	169.4	+5.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	79.0	92.8	171.8	-13.8	20%
vs Similar (2)	83.5	82.0	165.5	+1.5	50%
vs Weaker (23)	82.6	72.0	154.6	+10.5	83%

This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Panathinaikos Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rethymno

96-74

+22

H22/12

Basket League

Panionios

#13

115-74

115

+41

A29/12

Basket League

AEK Athens

97-100

100

-3

A05/01

Basket League

Lavrio

105-74

105

+31

H12/01

Basket League

Promitheas

99-76

+23

A19/01

Basket League

PAOK

#14

117-79

117

+38

H27/01

Basket League

Aris

#12

88-81

A15/02

Basket League

Larisa

#11

121-78

121

+43

H29/02

Basket League

Ionikos

#10

110-65

110

+45

A08/03

Basket League

Peristeri

82-90

-8

H23/09

Super Cup

29-18

21-19

19-18

27-19

31-20

30-19

26-17

28-18

28-32

26-31

23-22

20-15

25-17

27-14

31-22

22-21

31-21

29-25

20-14

19-16

26-21

28-21

32-11

31-26

29-23

18-19

27-20

14-19

35-17

26-14

30-21

30-26

36-16

31-16

17-26

26-7

19-22

23-20

19-25

21-23

182.1Avg total

103.0Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	82.0	90.0	172.0	-8.0	0%
Season at home (1)	82.0	90.0	172.0	-8.0	0%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	103.0	79.1	182.1	+23.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	103.6	78.6	182.2	+25.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	72.3	80.7	153.0	-8.3	0%
vs Similar (1)	82.0	90.0	172.0	-8.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	94.5	70.0	164.5	+24.5	88%

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK AthensPanathinaikos

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	18.8	42.1	+4.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	22.4	24.4	46.8	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (23)	20.6	16.8	37.4	+3.7	74%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	25.9	19.5	45.4	+6.4	75%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.0	18.9	43.9	+6.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (14)	26.8	20.0	46.8	+6.8	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.9	20.7	49.6	+8.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.0	19.8	48.8	+9.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	21.7	36.0	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	27.6	19.1	46.7	+8.5	88%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.5	40.3	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.8	23.4	44.2	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.0	14.0	33.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (23)	20.9	19.2	40.0	+1.7	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	24.6	18.4	43.0	+6.2	82%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.1	16.9	41.9	+8.2	93%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.1	19.9	44.0	+4.3	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.9	19.8	45.7	+6.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	18.0	43.2	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	16.3	36.0	+3.3	67%	-
vs Similar (1)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	25.3	18.5	43.8	+6.8	83%	-

AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Larisa

#11

48-33

+15

A22/12

Basket League

Ionikos

#10

54-35

+19

H28/12

Basket League

Panathinaikos

63-54

H05/01

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

39-33

A11/01

Basket League

Ifaistos Limnou

35-42

-7

H18/01

Basket League

Peristeri

38-36

A25/01

Basket League

Rethymno

33-43

-10

H26/02

Basket League

Panionios

#13

42-38

A29/02

Basket League

Iraklis

44-32

+12

H07/03

Basket League

Promitheas

46-43

A23/09

Super Cup

83.1Avg total

44.2Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	37.8	79.3	+3.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	38.1	80.8	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	37.5	77.8	+2.9	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	38.9	83.1	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	38.4	79.0	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	43.2	47.8	91.0	-4.6	40%	-
vs Similar (2)	38.5	33.0	71.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (23)	41.4	36.0	77.4	+5.4	78%	-

This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rethymno

50-37

+13

H22/12

Basket League

Panionios

#13

61-39

+22

A29/12

Basket League

AEK Athens

54-63

-9

A05/01

Basket League

Lavrio

52-31

+21

H12/01

Basket League

Promitheas

60-46

+14

A19/01

Basket League

PAOK

#14

54-42

+12

H27/01

Basket League

Aris

#12

47-42

A15/02

Basket League

Larisa

#11

61-31

+30

H29/02

Basket League

Ionikos

#10

67-32

+35

A08/03

Basket League

Peristeri

42-42

H23/09

Super Cup

95.3Avg total

54.8Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	50.5	37.8	88.3	+12.7	82%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	50.1	35.8	85.9	+14.3	93%	-
Last 30 away (14)	50.9	39.9	90.8	+11.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	54.8	40.5	95.3	+14.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	54.2	37.8	92.0	+16.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.0	38.0	72.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	42.0	42.0	84.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	52.9	37.6	90.5	+15.3	92%	-

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.8	21.8	39.6	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (23)	20.5	17.4	37.9	+3.0	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	23.4	18.6	42.0	+4.8	82%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.6	18.0	42.6	+6.6	86%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	19.3	41.4	+2.9	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	19.6	44.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	20.6	45.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	21.0	37.3	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	25.0	44.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	24.5	18.1	42.5	+6.4	92%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.4	37.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.3	38.6	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.6	40.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.0	23.2	41.2	-5.2	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (23)	19.4	17.9	37.3	+1.6	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	23.8	19.7	43.5	+4.1	86%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.2	21.9	47.1	+3.4	86%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	17.5	39.9	+4.9	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	19.0	42.8	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	20.2	44.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	21.7	43.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	24.1	19.3	43.4	+4.8	92%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	37.4	76.6	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	36.4	76.9	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	38.5	76.4	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	39.1	81.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	41.4	84.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	35.8	45.0	80.8	-9.2	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	39.5	43.0	82.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (23)	39.9	35.3	75.2	+4.6	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	47.2	38.3	85.5	+8.9	82%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	49.9	39.9	89.7	+10.0	86%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.5	36.8	81.3	+7.7	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.2	38.6	86.8	+9.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.4	40.8	90.2	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.3	42.7	81.0	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (1)	40.0	48.0	88.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	48.6	37.4	86.0	+11.2	92%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 80.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀59%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 59% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.6	23.7	49.8%	-	47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.4	7.0	38.0%	-	21.0
🏀 Free throws	16.4	11.9	72.6%	-	11.9

They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	17.1	47.5%	-	34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	8.8	31.0%	-	26.4
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.6	78.1%	-	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.6	23.4	52.5%	-	46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.3	6.3	32.9%	-	19.0
🏀 Free throws	17.0	11.9	70.3%	-	11.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	19.1	51.3%	-	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	8.4	34.7%	-	25.1
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.1	74.4%	-	14.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Athens wins

Panathinaikos wins

Date	Game	Score
05/01/20	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	100-97
28/09/19	Panathinaikos v AEK Athens	89-68
10/04/19	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	72-104
23/12/18	Panathinaikos v AEK Athens	111-79
11/05/18	Panathinaikos v AEK Athens	115-85
14/01/18	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	74-94
05/11/17	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	73-69
22/05/17	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	67-105
18/05/17	Panathinaikos v AEK Athens	81-72
14/05/17	AEK Athens v Panathinaikos	71-70

AEK Athenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/09/20	A	Promitheas	88-98
07/03/20	H	Iraklis	86-61
29/02/20	A	Panionios	101-96 OT
26/02/20	H	Rethymno	84-83
25/01/20	A	Peristeri	77-73
18/01/20	H	Ifaistos Limnou	74-68
11/01/20	A	Kolossos Rhodes	79-70
05/01/20	H	Panathinaikos	100-97
28/12/19	H	Ionikos	103-70
22/12/19	A	Larisa	86-76

Panathinaikoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/09/20	H	Peristeri	82-90
08/03/20	A	Ionikos	110-65
29/02/20	H	Larisa	121-78
15/02/20	A	Aris	88-81
27/01/20	H	PAOK	117-79
19/01/20	A	Promitheas	99-76
12/01/20	H	Lavrio	105-74
05/01/20	A	AEK Athens	97-100
29/12/19	A	Panionios	115-74
22/12/19	H	Rethymno	96-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens

Super Cup 2020

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	-	-
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	88.0	-	88.0
Allowed / game	98.0	-	98.0
Point differential	-10.0	-	-10.0
Avg total	186.0	-	186.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Panathinaikos

Super Cup 2020

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	0%	0%	-
Points / game	82.0	82.0	-
Allowed / game	90.0	90.0	-
Point differential	-8.0	-8.0	-
Avg total	172.0	172.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Promitheas	1	1	0	100%	98.0	88.0	+10.0
2	Peristeri	1	1	0	100%	90.0	82.0	+8.0
3	Panathinaikos	1	0	1	0%	82.0	90.0	-8.0
4	AEK Athens	1	0	1	0%	88.0	98.0	-10.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Athens	21	23	15	14	73
Panathinaikos	20	23	16	20	79

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AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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