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AEK Athens vs Iraklis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 100-97 (OT)
21-17 15-26 27-17 22-25 15-12
Position#3
Record13-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game72.1
vs
Position#10
Record7-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game76.1
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 18
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · AEK Athens v Iraklis
10 Apr 2027
AAT v IRA
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
AAT100
IRA87
20 Apr 2022
AAT80
IRA74
20 Mar 2021
AAT100
IRA97
07 Mar 2020
AAT86
IRA61
26 Apr 2014
AAT78
IRA69
02 Apr 2011
AAT81
IRA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iraklis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Minsk
#21
W
95-90
95
90
+5
94avg 74
A20/01
Champions League
Ionikos
#8
W
81-74
81
74
+7
77avg 74
H23/01
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
76-56
76
56
+20
no box
H27/01
Basket League
Larisa
#11
L
75-76
75
76
-1
69avg 74
A30/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
91-59
91
59
+32
no box
H06/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#11
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
no box
A10/02
Greek Cup
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
98-76
98
76
+22
no box
H06/03
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
71avg 74
H10/03
Champions League
PAOK
#5
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
no box
A13/03
Basket League
Strasbourg
#15
W
77-68
77
68
+9
no box
H16/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
20-17
27-22
28-35
14-18
19-19
20-19
28-18
26-6
18-21
17-12
15-17
20-21
23-30
17-13
15-12
19-17
25-11
23-14
24-17
24-16
13-19
21-17
16-22
27-24
25-16
24-20
22-16
16-12
22-19
19-15
17-19
19-17
18-19
20-16
17-22
15-22
24-14
17-20
21-12
157.8Avg total
83.9Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.572.1153.6+9.576%
Season at home (9)85.170.9156.0+14.289%
Season away (8)77.573.4150.9+4.162%
Last 10 (10)83.973.9157.8+10.080%
Last 5 (5)84.276.8161.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.785.7164.3-7.00%
vs Similar (10)81.078.5159.5+2.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.671.4155.9+13.294%
This opponent (Iraklis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraklis
Date
Competition
PAOK
#5
L
72-79
72
79
-7
61avg 65
A23/01
Basket League
Kormend
#22
W
94-76
94
76
+18
no box
H26/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#6
W
78-74
78
74
+4
no box
A27/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Belfius Mons
#10
W
79-75 OT
79
75
+4
no box
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
61-84
61
84
-23
54avg 65
A06/02
Basket League
PAOK
#2
L
61-63
61
63
-2
no box
H10/02
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#8
L
75-78
75
78
-3
73avg 65
H28/02
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
79-70
79
70
+9
75avg 65
A06/03
Basket League
Aris
#9
L
54-76
54
76
-22
49avg 65
H10/03
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
100-78
100
78
+22
97avg 65
H14/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
25-19
18-17
16-22
24-19
26-23
22-18
22-16
18-16
20-30
20-18
20-10
11-11
15-21
26-13
14-21
16-13
12-20
13-27
20-24
20-14
10-12
12-17
19-20
18-23
16-18
21-15
20-22
14-24
21-17
18-17
26-12
13-20
16-18
5-21
20-17
28-19
24-20
20-24
28-15
150.6Avg total
75.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)71.576.1147.6-4.641%
Season at home (9)71.872.7144.4-0.944%
Season away (8)71.280.0151.2-8.838%
Last 10 (10)75.375.3150.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)73.873.0146.8+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)68.478.2146.7-9.825%
vs Similar (11)76.774.3151.0+2.564%
vs Weaker (5)84.669.4154.0+15.280%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
AEK AthensIraklis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#21
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A20/01
Champions League
Ionikos
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H23/01
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H27/01
Basket League
Larisa
#11
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A30/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H06/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A10/02
Greek Cup
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H06/03
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#13
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H10/03
Champions League
PAOK
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A13/03
Basket League
Strasbourg
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/03
Champions League
76.1Avg total
40.7Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.479.0+4.377%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.937.080.9+6.988%-
Last 30 away (14)39.137.876.9+1.364%-
Last 10 (10)40.735.476.1+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.635.676.2+5.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.343.085.3-0.767%-
vs Similar (10)40.137.677.7+2.570%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.836.379.1+6.481%-
This opponent (Iraklis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A23/01
Basket League
Kormend
#22
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H26/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A27/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Belfius Mons
#10
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A06/02
Basket League
PAOK
#2
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H10/02
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H28/02
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A06/03
Basket League
Aris
#9
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H10/03
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H14/03
Basket League
73.8Avg total
36.0Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.436.473.8+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.134.773.8+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)35.838.073.8-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)36.037.873.8-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.073.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.838.474.2-2.725%-
vs Similar (11)37.038.075.0-1.045%-
vs Weaker (5)43.429.873.2+13.6100%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.0
51.9%
51.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.3
36.6%
35.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.316.4
77.0%
74.2%16.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iraklistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraklis: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.115.8
49.2%
51.8%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.1
31.0%
35.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.313.8
68.0%
74.2%13.8
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WWWWLWLWWW
Iraklis
WLWLLLWWWL
#3
League position
#10
+14.2
Net rating
-12.9
116.6
Offensive rating
94.5
102.4
Defensive rating
107.4
53.0%
Effective FG%
48.0%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
18.0%
Turnover %
19.6%
38.4%
Off. rebound %
21.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.6%
3-point %
31.0%
67.1%
Assist %
64.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 94.5Defence102.4 · 107.4Shooting53.0% · 48.0%3-point %36.6% · 31.0%Ball care18.0% · 19.6%Off. rebounds38.4% · 21.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Iraklis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
AEK Athens wins
0
Iraklis wins
DateGameScore
12/12/20Iraklis v AEK Athens72-79
07/03/20AEK Athens v Iraklis86-61
16/11/19Iraklis v AEK Athens68-77
26/04/14AEK Athens v Iraklis78-69
11/01/14Iraklis v AEK Athens51-73
02/04/11AEK Athens v Iraklis81-74
05/01/11Iraklis v AEK Athens68-72
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/21HStrasbourg77-68
13/03/21APAOK87-85 OT
10/03/21HTurk Telekom74-65
06/03/21HHarilaos Trikoupis98-76
10/02/21ALavrio85-90 OT
06/02/21HPeristeri91-59
30/01/21ALarisa75-76
27/01/21HPAOK76-56
23/01/21HIonikos81-74
20/01/21AMinsk95-90
Iraklislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/21HHarilaos Trikoupis100-78
10/03/21HAris54-76
06/03/21APeristeri79-70
28/02/21HIonikos75-78
10/02/21HPAOK61-63
06/02/21AKolossos Rhodes61-84
29/01/21ABelfius Mons79-75 OT
27/01/21AReggiana78-74
26/01/21HKormend94-76
23/01/21APAOK72-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayWLLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %76%89%62%
Points / game81.585.177.5
Allowed / game72.170.973.4
Point differential+9.5+14.2+4.1
Avg total153.6156.0150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Iraklis
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW41%
HomeLWLLW44%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%44%38%
Points / game71.571.871.2
Allowed / game76.172.780.0
Point differential-4.6-0.9-8.8
Avg total147.6144.4151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos1513287%87.172.2+14.9
2 AEK Athens1713476%81.572.1+9.5
3 Lavrio1713476%81.176.2+4.9
4 Promitheas149564%80.376.6+3.6
5 Peristeri179853%72.575.4-2.8
6 PAOK178947%78.881.0-2.2
7 Iraklis1771041%71.576.1-4.6
8 Aris1661038%75.277.3-2.1
9 Kolossos Rhodes1761135%77.676.9+0.8
10 Ionikos1761135%77.281.6-4.4
11 Larisa1751229%74.680.6-5.9
12 Harilaos Trikoupis1741324%72.682.0-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
AEK Athens2115272215100
Iraklis172617251297
← all games of the day
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