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AEK Athens vs Turk Telekom Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 74-65
16-12 22-19 19-15 17-19
Position#12
Record4-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#13
Record6-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 2
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Turk Telekom winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
71-77
71
77
-6
61avg 74
A05/01
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
63avg 74
A10/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
68avg 74
H16/01
Basket League
Minsk
#21
W
95-90
95
90
+5
94avg 74
A20/01
Champions League
Ionikos
#8
W
81-74
81
74
+7
77avg 74
H23/01
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
76-56
76
56
+20
no box
H27/01
Basket League
Larisa
#11
L
75-76
75
76
-1
69avg 74
A30/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
91-59
91
59
+32
no box
H06/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#11
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
no box
A10/02
Greek Cup
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
98-76
98
76
+22
no box
H06/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
13-20
21-17
18-22
18-24
19-19
25-24
13-13
15-12
19-20
19-31
22-19
20-16
20-17
27-22
28-35
14-18
19-19
20-19
28-18
26-6
18-21
17-12
15-17
20-21
23-30
17-13
15-12
19-17
25-11
23-14
24-17
24-16
13-19
21-17
16-22
27-24
25-16
24-20
22-16
158.2Avg total
82.2Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.782.0167.7+3.767%
Season at home (3)92.782.0174.7+10.7100%
Season away (3)78.782.0160.7-3.333%
Last 10 (10)82.276.0158.2+6.250%
Last 5 (5)85.071.4156.4+13.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.785.7164.3-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.880.6162.3+1.256%
vs Weaker (17)83.871.1154.8+12.794%
This opponent (Turk Telekom) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Turk TelekomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelekom
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#24
W
78-77
78
77
+1
72avg 75
A13/01
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
84-86
84
86
-2
83avg 75
H17/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
101-88
101
88
+13
95avg 75
H23/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#14
W
94-86
94
86
+8
no box
H26/01
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
86-75
86
75
+11
82avg 75
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#9
W
89-86
89
86
+3
76avg 75
H06/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
58avg 75
A09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
72avg 75
H27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#15
W
83-76
83
76
+7
78avg 75
H02/03
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
77-99
77
99
-22
67avg 75
A07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
22-30
21-17
23-11
25-15
21-23
19-24
19-24
28-20
22-29
22-21
29-18
25-27
30-19
17-25
22-15
22-22
19-20
22-16
23-17
22-28
24-31
25-15
18-12
20-16
22-25
13-17
14-22
21-16
21-27
15-14
26-25
25-20
21-17
18-19
19-20
18-27
24-26
17-28
18-18
167.9Avg total
84.4Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.479.0160.4+2.486%
Season at home (4)87.882.2170.0+5.5100%
Season away (3)73.074.7147.7-1.767%
Last 10 (10)84.483.5167.9+0.970%
Last 5 (5)80.284.6164.8-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.381.8160.2-3.517%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.280.3159.5-1.164%
vs Weaker (10)89.882.7172.5+7.190%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
AEK AthensTurk Telekom
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A05/01
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H16/01
Basket League
Minsk
#21
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A20/01
Champions League
Ionikos
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H23/01
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H27/01
Basket League
Larisa
#11
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A30/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H06/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A10/02
Greek Cup
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H06/03
Basket League
76.0Avg total
39.6Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.079.3+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.338.181.4+5.275%-
Last 30 away (14)39.137.876.9+1.464%-
Last 10 (10)39.636.476.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.280.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.343.085.3-0.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.238.378.6+1.967%-
vs Weaker (17)42.137.179.1+5.071%-
This opponent (Turk Telekom) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Turk TelekomLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#24
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A13/01
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H17/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H23/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#14
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H26/01
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#13
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#9
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H06/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#15
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H02/03
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
90.1Avg total
44.4Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.682.7-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.339.683.9+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)37.843.781.5-5.920%-
Last 10 (10)44.445.790.1-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.646.690.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.838.279.0+2.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.742.081.7-2.336%-
vs Weaker (10)43.143.286.3-0.140%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.4
53.3%
52.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.2
34.3%
35.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.216.8
79.2%
73.2%16.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Turk Telekomtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turk Telekom: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.2
48.4%
52.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.610.2
43.2%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.114.6
76.4%
73.2%14.6
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLWLWWWLLL
Turk Telekom
LWWLWWWWLW
#12
League position
#13
+12.6
Net rating
+1.0
116.0
Offensive rating
117.2
103.5
Defensive rating
116.2
52.6%
Effective FG%
54.5%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
13.4%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.3%
3-point %
43.2%
65.0%
Assist %
60.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 117.2Defence103.5 · 116.2Shooting52.6% · 54.5%3-point %34.3% · 43.2%Ball care17.6% · 13.4%Off. rebounds37.3% · 28.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Turk Telekom
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
0
Turk Telekom wins
No previous meetings.
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/21HHarilaos Trikoupis98-76
10/02/21ALavrio85-90 OT
06/02/21HPeristeri91-59
30/01/21ALarisa75-76
27/01/21HPAOK76-56
23/01/21HIonikos81-74
20/01/21AMinsk95-90
16/01/21HPromitheas75-82
10/01/21APanathinaikos75-80
05/01/21AHapoel Holon71-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/21AFenerbahce77-99
02/03/21HStrasbourg83-76
27/02/21HBursaspor83-82
09/02/21AKarsiyaka69-80
06/02/21HAfyon Belediye89-86
31/01/21ABuyukcekmece86-75
26/01/21HIgokea94-86
23/01/21HBahcesehir Kol.101-88
17/01/21HAnadolu Efes84-86
13/01/21AHapoel Jerusalem78-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game85.792.778.7
Allowed / game82.082.082.0
Point differential+3.7+10.7-3.3
Avg total167.7174.7160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Turk Telekom
Champions League 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game81.487.873.0
Allowed / game79.082.274.7
Point differential+2.4+5.5-1.7
Avg total160.4170.0147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos87188%90.078.0+12.0
2 Bamberg76186%85.174.3+10.9
3 Basket Zaragoza76186%88.983.9+5.0
4 Turk Telekom76186%81.479.0+2.4
5 Nymburk86275%90.981.1+9.8
6 Hapoel Holon86275%82.477.6+4.8
7 Nizhny Novgorod64267%82.777.2+5.5
8 AEK Athens64267%85.782.0+3.7
9 Dijon64267%76.274.8+1.3
10 Bakken Bears85362%87.581.1+6.4
11 Tenerife85362%89.183.8+5.4
12 Karsiyaka85362%79.174.2+4.9
13 Brindisi85362%86.184.2+1.9
14 Igokea106460%76.276.6-0.4
15 Strasbourg74357%81.178.4+2.7
16 Donar Groningen21150%72.556.5+16.0
17 Szombathely63350%82.278.5+3.7
18 Tofas84450%85.081.6+3.4
19 VEF Riga84450%79.078.0+1.0
20 Sporting CP21150%74.074.0+0.0
21 Belfius Mons21150%76.077.5-1.5
22 Minsk84450%75.577.8-2.2
23 Sassari84450%87.089.2-2.2
24 Neptunas21150%68.071.0-3.0
25 Hapoel Jerusalem62433%82.080.3+1.7
26 Peristeri62433%76.377.0-0.7
27 Bilbao62433%74.275.2-1.0
28 Limoges62433%76.577.7-1.2
29 Cholet62433%76.378.0-1.7
30 Oostende62433%80.786.2-5.5
31 Rytas62433%77.885.7-7.8
32 Keravnos82625%69.885.1-15.4
33 Darussafaka61517%75.284.0-8.8
34 Galatasaray61517%82.591.8-9.3
35 Iraklis1010%94.096.0-2.0
36 London Lions1010%73.077.0-4.0
37 Fribourg Olympic1010%78.084.0-6.0
38 Cluj Napoca1010%75.082.0-7.0
39 Balkan1010%65.073.0-8.0
40 Anwil Wloclawek1010%69.081.0-12.0
41 Lublin6060%72.085.0-13.0
42 Fortitudo Bologna6060%63.882.0-18.2
43 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%71.091.0-20.0
44 BC Dnipro1010%53.088.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1622191774
Turk Telekom1219151965
← all games of the day
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