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AEK Athens vs Iraklis Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 10 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record2-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
3.8/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record3-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game76.4
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 25· SUNEL Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · AEK Athens v Iraklis
10 Apr 2027
AAT v IRA
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
AAT100
IRA87
20 Apr 2022
AAT80
IRA74
20 Mar 2021
AAT100
IRA97
07 Mar 2020
AAT86
IRA61
26 Apr 2014
AAT78
IRA69
02 Apr 2011
AAT81
IRA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Iraklis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
W
91-70
91
70
+21
88avg 75
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
95-93
95
93
+2
95avg 75
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
58-88
58
88
-30
47avg 75
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 75
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#12
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 75
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
L
62-65
62
65
-3
59avg 75
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#12
L
84-95
84
95
-11
69avg 75
A31/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#33
W
72-66
72
66
+6
no box
A04/11
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H08/11
Basket League
Lefkadas
#9
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
28-22
18-16
27-20
24-24
25-20
17-27
29-22
10-23
11-19
14-22
23-24
22-17
25-21
18-21
19-20
25-25
25-23
12-28
14-27
15-20
14-5
15-22
18-18
16-20
27-26
17-25
24-24
18-17
20-10
16-21
18-18
19-14
21-23
15-21
19-25
13-27
24-18
22-15
14-17
158.8Avg total
76.9Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.179.6154.7-4.429%
Season at home (4)80.577.2157.8+3.250%
Season away (3)68.082.7150.7-14.70%
Last 10 (10)76.981.9158.8-5.040%
Last 5 (5)73.077.2150.2-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.786.3161.0-11.527%
vs Similar (13)82.281.8163.9+0.454%
vs Weaker (6)89.581.8171.3+7.783%
This opponent (Iraklis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraklis
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#13
W
90-73
90
73
+17
95avg 69
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
W
71-53
71
53
+18
67avg 69
H17/10
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
85-86
85
86
-1
77avg 69
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#9
L
86-94 OT
86
94
-8
80avg 69
A24/10
Basket League
Tartu Ulikool
#37
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
88avg 69
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#2
L
53-63
53
63
-10
40avg 69
H31/10
Basket League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
81-64
81
64
+17
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mykonos
#13
W
95-64
95
64
+31
no box
H07/11
Basket League
MZT Skopje
#47
W
103-73
103
73
+30
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#14
W
99-92
99
92
+7
no box
A14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
17-17
27-12
24-24
12-10
11-19
29-17
19-7
20-19
14-22
21-19
30-26
18-19
23-22
26-18
11-19
22-24
25-19
22-28
20-18
17-19
14-15
11-13
11-16
21-23
27-11
14-11
19-19
24-16
25-10
29-19
17-19
29-17
18-18
31-18
25-20
26-23
24-24
33-25
16-20
162.6Avg total
86.3Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.176.4156.6+3.743%
Season at home (4)71.864.5136.2+7.250%
Season away (3)91.392.3183.7-1.033%
Last 10 (10)86.376.3162.6+10.060%
Last 5 (5)86.271.2157.4+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.780.6152.3-8.914%
vs Similar (12)81.485.2166.6-3.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)93.178.5171.5+14.673%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
AEK AthensIraklis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#13
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#12
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A31/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#33
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A04/11
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H08/11
Basket League
Lefkadas
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H14/11
Basket League
78.6Avg total
40.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.182.3+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.941.984.9+1.053%-
Last 30 away (13)38.840.178.8-1.346%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.678.6+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.073.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.539.578.1-1.055%-
vs Similar (13)40.541.782.2-1.246%-
vs Weaker (6)47.242.890.0+4.350%-
This opponent (Iraklis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H17/10
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A24/10
Basket League
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H31/10
Basket League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mykonos
#13
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H07/11
Basket League
MZT Skopje
#47
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#14
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A14/11
Basket League
77.6Avg total
40.9Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.982.4+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.637.877.4+1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)43.544.688.1-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.777.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.035.280.2+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.943.080.9-5.129%-
vs Similar (12)38.243.081.2-4.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.237.484.5+9.891%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.0
53.0%
50.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.3
33.2%
34.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.216.1
72.5%
71.8%16.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iraklistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraklis: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.5
53.1%
50.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.8
30.7%
34.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.814.5
66.5%
71.8%14.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LLWLLLWLWW
Iraklis
WWWWLLLLWW
#10
League position
#7
-9.2
Net rating
-2.2
93.6
Offensive rating
88.3
102.8
Defensive rating
90.5
51.9%
Effective FG%
50.2%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
14.8%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.2%
3-point %
30.7%
67.5%
Assist %
59.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 88.3Defence102.8 · 90.5Shooting51.9% · 50.2%3-point %33.2% · 30.7%Ball care14.8% · 17.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Iraklis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
AEK Athens wins
1
Iraklis wins
DateGameScore
22/03/26AEK Athens v Iraklis100-87
25/10/25Iraklis v AEK Athens61-82
20/04/22AEK Athens v Iraklis80-74
11/12/21Iraklis v AEK Athens86-74
20/03/21AEK Athens v Iraklis100-97 OT
12/12/20Iraklis v AEK Athens72-79
07/03/20AEK Athens v Iraklis86-61
16/11/19Iraklis v AEK Athens68-77
26/04/14AEK Athens v Iraklis78-69
11/01/14Iraklis v AEK Athens51-73
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HLefkadas73-77
08/11/26HPanathinaikos74-83
04/11/26ASzombathely72-66
31/10/26AVikos84-95
24/10/26APAOK62-65
21/10/26HAntwerp Giants76-103
17/10/26HMykonos84-79
10/10/26AAris58-88
07/10/26HSalon Vilpas95-93
03/10/26HMaroussi91-70
Iraklislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APromitheas99-92
11/11/26HMZT Skopje103-73
07/11/26HMykonos95-64
04/11/26HAEK Larnaca81-64
31/10/26HPAOK53-63
28/10/26ATartu Ulikool100-101 OT
24/10/26ALefkadas86-94 OT
21/10/26HDziki Warszawa85-86
17/10/26HAS Karditsas71-53
14/10/26HWurzburg90-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game75.180.568.0
Allowed / game79.677.282.7
Point differential-4.4+3.2-14.7
Avg total154.7157.8150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iraklis
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW43%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game80.171.891.3
Allowed / game76.464.592.3
Point differential+3.7+7.2-1.0
Avg total156.6136.2183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %29%0%67%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos660100%85.867.8+18.0
2 PAOK770100%79.670.4+9.1
3 Panathinaikos76186%87.474.3+13.1
4 Aris65183%84.571.5+13.0
5 AS Karditsas74357%73.771.9+1.9
6 Peristeri74357%81.084.6-3.6
7 Iraklis73443%80.176.4+3.7
8 Kolossos Rhodes73443%79.681.3-1.7
9 Lefkadas73443%78.380.4-2.1
10 AEK Athens72529%75.179.6-4.4
11 Maroussi61517%75.881.5-5.7
12 Vikos61517%74.787.3-12.7
13 Mykonos71614%72.684.4-11.9
14 Promitheas71614%73.388.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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