PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

AEK Athens vs Strasbourg Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 77-68
15-22 24-14 17-20 21-12
Position#12
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#15
Record4-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game77.8
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 3
European cup2020
Meetings · AEK Athens v Strasbourg
16 Mar 2021
AAT77
STR68
28 Mar 2018
AAT78
STR69
23 Jan 2018
AAT87
STR88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Strasbourg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H16/01
Basket League
Minsk
#21
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A20/01
Champions League
Ionikos
#8
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H23/01
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H27/01
Basket League
Larisa
#11
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A30/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
91-59
91
59
+32
H06/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#11
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
A10/02
Greek Cup
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H06/03
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#13
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H10/03
Champions League
PAOK
#5
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
A13/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
19-20
19-31
22-19
20-16
20-17
27-22
28-35
14-18
19-19
20-19
28-18
26-6
18-21
17-12
15-17
20-21
23-30
17-13
15-12
19-17
25-11
23-14
24-17
24-16
13-19
21-17
16-22
27-24
25-16
24-20
22-16
16-12
22-19
19-15
17-19
19-17
18-19
20-16
17-22
159.0Avg total
83.7Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.079.6163.6+4.471%
Season at home (4)88.077.8165.8+10.2100%
Season away (3)78.782.0160.7-3.333%
Last 10 (10)83.775.3159.0+8.470%
Last 5 (5)87.075.0162.0+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.785.7164.3-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.479.7161.1+1.856%
vs Weaker (17)84.572.1156.6+12.594%
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StrasbourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#25
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A22/12
Champions League
Cholet
#36
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A09/01
French Cup
VEF Riga
#29
W
101-94 OT
101
94
+7
H13/01
Champions League
Roanne
#15
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A16/01
LNB
Rytas
#31
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A26/01
Champions League
Cholet
#14
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H01/02
LNB
Levallois
#6
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A06/02
LNB
Turk Telekom
#13
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A02/03
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H10/03
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#17
W
96-92
96
92
+4
H13/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
26-15
21-25
15-18
15-23
22-10
17-19
28-26
13-22
24-17
23-19
22-24
23-14
12-25
32-20
15-19
21-12
15-26
14-19
27-24
19-20
22-16
22-24
12-12
19-17
28-10
14-21
10-15
20-25
17-21
19-18
20-19
22-13
14-16
21-25
11-19
28-15
18-28
26-24
24-25
159.7Avg total
80.7Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.577.8157.2+1.850%
Season at home (4)81.876.8158.5+5.050%
Season away (4)77.278.8156.0-1.550%
Last 10 (10)80.779.0159.7+1.770%
Last 5 (5)77.276.6153.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.284.5157.8-11.20%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.581.6163.1-0.150%
vs Weaker (12)84.679.9164.5+4.767%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.7-1.7
AEK AthensStrasbourg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H16/01
Basket League
Minsk
#21
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A20/01
Champions League
Ionikos
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H23/01
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H27/01
Basket League
Larisa
#11
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A30/01
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H06/02
Basket League
Lavrio
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A10/02
Greek Cup
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H06/03
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#13
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H10/03
Champions League
PAOK
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A13/03
Basket League
75.2Avg total
40.2Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.679.0+3.873%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.537.480.9+6.181%-
Last 30 away (14)39.137.876.9+1.364%-
Last 10 (10)40.235.075.2+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.634.075.6+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.343.085.3-0.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.237.878.0+2.467%-
vs Weaker (17)42.236.778.9+5.576%-
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StrasbourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#25
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A22/12
Champions League
Cholet
#36
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A09/01
French Cup
VEF Riga
#29
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H13/01
Champions League
Roanne
#15
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A16/01
LNB
Rytas
#31
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/01
Champions League
Cholet
#14
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/02
LNB
Levallois
#6
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A06/02
LNB
Turk Telekom
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A02/03
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H10/03
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#17
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H13/03
LNB
75.8Avg total
39.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.382.0+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.541.583.9+1.067%-
Last 30 away (15)40.839.280.0+1.647%-
Last 10 (10)39.536.375.8+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.277.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.543.882.2-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.539.883.3+3.775%-
vs Weaker (12)42.039.881.8+2.250%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.8
52.4%
52.7%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.1
33.9%
35.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.516.8
78.1%
73.2%16.8
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Strasbourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Strasbourg: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.9
50.9%
52.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.7
34.9%
35.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.513.0
78.8%
73.2%13.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WWWLWLWWWL
Strasbourg
WLLWWLWWWW
#12
League position
#15
+11.7
Net rating
+7.4
115.4
Offensive rating
109.4
103.7
Defensive rating
102.1
51.8%
Effective FG%
51.5%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.6%
37.9%
Off. rebound %
35.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.9%
3-point %
34.9%
67.4%
Assist %
64.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 109.4Defence103.7 · 102.1Shooting51.8% · 51.5%3-point %33.9% · 34.9%Ball care17.7% · 18.6%Off. rebounds37.9% · 35.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Strasbourg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AEK Athens wins
2
Strasbourg wins
DateGameScore
04/04/18Strasbourg v AEK Athens83-83
28/03/18AEK Athens v Strasbourg78-69
23/01/18AEK Athens v Strasbourg87-88
07/11/17Strasbourg v AEK Athens80-78
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/21APAOK87-85 OT
10/03/21HTurk Telekom74-65
06/03/21HHarilaos Trikoupis98-76
10/02/21ALavrio85-90 OT
06/02/21HPeristeri91-59
30/01/21ALarisa75-76
27/01/21HPAOK76-56
23/01/21HIonikos81-74
20/01/21AMinsk95-90
16/01/21HPromitheas75-82
Strasbourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/21HChalon/Saone96-92
10/03/21HNizhny Novgorod68-73
02/03/21ATurk Telekom76-83
06/02/21ALevallois71-63
01/02/21HCholet75-72
26/01/21ARytas77-81
16/01/21ARoanne82-78
13/01/21HVEF Riga101-94 OT
09/01/21ACholet82-78
22/12/20APeristeri79-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game84.088.078.7
Allowed / game79.677.882.0
Point differential+4.4+10.2-3.3
Avg total163.6165.8160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Strasbourg
Champions League 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game79.581.877.2
Allowed / game77.876.878.8
Point differential+1.8+5.0-1.5
Avg total157.2158.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos87188%90.078.0+12.0
2 Basket Zaragoza87188%87.481.5+5.9
3 Nymburk86275%90.981.1+9.8
4 Bamberg86275%82.674.6+8.0
5 Hapoel Holon86275%82.477.6+4.8
6 Turk Telekom86275%79.478.4+1.0
7 Nizhny Novgorod75271%81.375.9+5.4
8 AEK Athens75271%84.079.6+4.4
9 Dijon64267%76.274.8+1.3
10 Bakken Bears85362%87.581.1+6.4
11 Tenerife85362%89.183.8+5.4
12 Karsiyaka85362%79.174.2+4.9
13 Brindisi85362%86.184.2+1.9
14 Igokea106460%76.276.6-0.4
15 Donar Groningen21150%72.556.5+16.0
16 Szombathely63350%82.278.5+3.7
17 Tofas84450%85.081.6+3.4
18 Strasbourg84450%79.577.8+1.8
19 VEF Riga84450%79.078.0+1.0
20 Sporting CP21150%74.074.0+0.0
21 Belfius Mons21150%76.077.5-1.5
22 Minsk84450%75.577.8-2.2
23 Sassari84450%87.089.2-2.2
24 Neptunas21150%68.071.0-3.0
25 Hapoel Jerusalem62433%82.080.3+1.7
26 Peristeri62433%76.377.0-0.7
27 Bilbao62433%74.275.2-1.0
28 Limoges62433%76.577.7-1.2
29 Cholet62433%76.378.0-1.7
30 Oostende62433%80.786.2-5.5
31 Rytas62433%77.885.7-7.8
32 Keravnos82625%69.885.1-15.4
33 Darussafaka61517%75.284.0-8.8
34 Galatasaray61517%82.591.8-9.3
35 Iraklis1010%94.096.0-2.0
36 London Lions1010%73.077.0-4.0
37 Fribourg Olympic1010%78.084.0-6.0
38 Cluj Napoca1010%75.082.0-7.0
39 Balkan1010%65.073.0-8.0
40 Anwil Wloclawek1010%69.081.0-12.0
41 Lublin6060%72.085.0-13.0
42 Fortitudo Bologna6060%63.882.0-18.2
43 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%71.091.0-20.0
44 BC Dnipro1010%53.088.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1524172177
Strasbourg2214201268
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.