AEK Athens vs Lefkadas Result & Analysis

AEK Athens will host Lefkadas in the Greek Basket League on 14 November 2026, with the Pythia model designating AEK as the favourite at 79% versus 21% for Lefkadas, a reflection of AEK's 2-4 record, 75.5 points scored and 80.0 allowed per game, and a 10th-place league position compared with Lefkadas' identical 2-4 record, 78.5 points scored and 81.7 allowed per game, 9th place; AEK's home form is stronger, 2-1 with 83.0 points scored and 77.3 allowed, while Lefkadas' road record is 1-2 with 73.7 points scored and 78.7 allowed. AEK's last five games feature one win and four losses, including a 74-83 defeat to Panathinaikos at home on 8 November, whereas Lefkadas' recent five include two wins and three losses, with a 94-86 victory over Iraklis at home on 24 October. Historically, AEK has won three of the four meetings, most recently 68-64 on 1 April 2017. The model projects an 81-72 score for AEK, a total of 153.4 points, a -9.5 spread with a 50% chance of covering, a 160.5 total line with a 33% over probability, and a 4% chance of overtime. The next game will test whether AEK can convert its home advantage into a decisive win.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost

78.9%fair 1.27

Best odds1.26

Implied80.4%

Edge-1.6pp

Lefkadas winWon

21.1%fair 4.73

Best odds4.81

Implied19.6%

Edge+1.6pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK Athens Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAthens

Date

Competition

Olympiacos

68-95

-27

54avg 80

H30/05

Basket League

Maroussi

#11

91-70

+21

88avg 80

H03/10

Basket League

Salon Vilpas

#15

95-93

95avg 80

H07/10

Champions League

Aris

58-88

-30

47avg 80

A10/10

Basket League

Mykonos

#12

84-79

83avg 80

H17/10

Basket League

Antwerp Giants

#12

76-103

103

-27

65avg 80

H21/10

Champions League

PAOK

62-65

-3

59avg 80

A24/10

Basket League

Vikos

#13

84-95

-11

69avg 80

A31/10

Basket League

Szombathely

#33

72-66

no box

A04/11

Champions League

Panathinaikos

74-83

-9

no box

H08/11

Basket League

10-20

20-24

16-22

22-29

18-12

28-22

18-16

27-20

24-24

25-20

17-27

29-22

10-23

11-19

14-22

23-24

22-17

25-21

18-21

19-20

25-25

25-23

12-28

14-27

15-20

14-5

15-22

18-18

16-20

27-26

17-25

24-24

18-17

20-10

16-21

18-18

19-14

21-23

15-21

19-25

160.1Avg total

76.4Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	75.5	80.0	155.5	-4.5	33%
Season at home (3)	83.0	77.3	160.3	+5.7	67%
Season away (3)	68.0	82.7	150.7	-14.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	83.7	160.1	-7.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	82.4	156.0	-8.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	74.7	86.3	161.0	-11.5	27%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	82.9	82.2	165.1	+0.8	58%
vs Weaker (7)	89.6	79.0	168.6	+10.6	86%

This opponent (Lefkadas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lefkadas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLefkadas

Date

Competition

Koroivos

73-68

no box

A18/03

Peiramatiko Machites

#12

55-63

-8

no box

H21/03

Psychikou

87-78

no box

H28/03

Dafni

#13

65-54

+11

no box

A04/04

Kolossos Rhodes

75-91

-16

57avg 67

A03/10

Basket League

PAOK

73-86

-13

61avg 67

A10/10

Basket League

Promitheas

#14

79-80

-1

74avg 67

H17/10

Basket League

Iraklis

94-86 OT

78avg 67

H24/10

Basket League

Mykonos

#12

73-59

+14

67avg 67

A31/10

Basket League

Aris

77-88

-11

no box

H07/11

Basket League

13-23

19-17

27-18

14-10

17-19

11-18

11-11

16-15

30-26

25-21

13-18

19-13

16-20

20-8

22-13

7-13

13-24

24-22

20-21

18-24

18-22

13-20

23-22

19-22

25-17

20-23

18-27

16-13

19-18

22-23

18-26

19-11

23-17

15-11

19-13

16-18

23-32

12-19

19-17

23-20

150.4Avg total

75.1Scored

75.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	78.5	81.7	160.2	-3.2	33%
Season at home (3)	83.3	84.7	168.0	-1.3	33%
Season away (3)	73.7	78.7	152.3	-5.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	75.1	75.3	150.4	-0.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	79.8	159.0	-0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	81.3	86.7	168.0	-5.3	33%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	77.1	74.6	151.7	+2.4	71%
vs Weaker (13)	74.2	65.9	140.2	+8.3	85%

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 154 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 155-159 (12%). The market's main line is 160.25.

Over/Under 155Actual: Under 155

Over 155

47.2%

@ 1.47-17.0pp

Under 155

52.8%

@ 2.60+17.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.47

Bet365

1.45

Under

Bet365

2.60

Over/Under 160.25 · main lineActual: Under 160.25

Over 160.25

34.5%

@ 1.79-16.0pp

Under 160.25

65.5%

@ 1.83+16.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.79

Under

1xBet

1.83

Over/Under 165Actual: Under 165

Over 165

24.8%

@ 2.22-16.8pp

Under 165

75.2%

@ 1.58+16.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.22

Under

Bet365

1.58

Marathon Be

1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

AEK Athens total 80.5Actual: AEK Athens under 80.5

Over 80.5

55.1%

@ 1.43-8.9pp

Under 80.5

44.9%

@ 2.65+8.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.43

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.38

Under

Bet365

2.65

Betano

2.52

1xBet

2.41

AEK Athens total 84.5 · main lineActual: AEK Athens under 84.5

Over 84.5

39.7%

@ 1.83-10.7pp

Under 84.5

60.3%

@ 1.91+10.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.82

BetVictor

1.80

1xBet

1.71

Under

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.87

Betano

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.73

AEK Athens total 88.5Actual: AEK Athens under 88.5

Over 88.5

25.7%

@ 2.50-11.3pp

Under 88.5

74.3%

@ 1.50+11.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.45

1xBet

2.37

Under

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.38

Lefkadas total 71.5Actual: Lefkadas over 71.5

Over 71.5

52.4%

@ 1.40-12.1pp

Under 71.5

47.6%

@ 2.75+12.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.40

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.36

Under

Bet365

2.75

Betano

2.55

1xBet

2.47

Lefkadas total 75.5 · main lineActual: Lefkadas over 75.5

Over 75.5

37.4%

@ 1.85-12.9pp

Under 75.5

62.6%

@ 1.87+12.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.85

Betano

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

1xBet

1.69

Under

Marathon Be

1.87

Betano

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.76

Lefkadas total 79.5Actual: Lefkadas under 79.5

Over 79.5

24.3%

@ 2.52-13.2pp

Under 79.5

75.7%

@ 1.52+13.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.52

Bet365

2.40

1xBet

2.33

Under

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.40

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from AEK Athens's side (positive = AEK Athens win). Pythia's expected margin is +9.5; AEK Athens win by 1+ in 72% of simulations.

Spread AEK Athens -12Actual: Lefkadas +12

AAT -12

41.2%

@ 2.60-0.0pp

LEF +12

58.8%

@ 1.61+0.0pp

Best 5 market prices

AAT

Bet365

2.60

Pinnacle

2.30

Marathon Be

2.27

LEF

Pinnacle

1.61

Marathon Be

1.51

Bet365

1.47

Spread AEK Athens -9 · main lineActual: Lefkadas +9

AAT -9

51.9%

@ 2.05+1.2pp

LEF +9

48.1%

@ 1.93-1.2pp

Best 5 market prices

AAT

Bet365

2.05

1xBet

1.94

Marathon Be

1.88

Pinnacle

1.88

SBO

1.73

LEF

Pinnacle

1.93

SBO

1.93

1xBet

1.89

Marathon Be

1.83

Bet365

1.71

Spread AEK Athens -6Actual: Lefkadas +6

AAT -6

62.8%

@ 1.64+6.1pp

LEF +6

37.2%

@ 2.15-6.1pp

Best 5 market prices

AAT

Bet365

1.64

Marathon Be

1.54

LEF

Bet365

2.15

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK AthensLefkadas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.6	39.7	+0.6	50%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	56%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	43%	43%
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.2	36.9	-1.5	40%	20%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	36%	45%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.1	20.1	40.2	+0.0	42%	33%
vs Weaker (7)	22.6	18.3	40.9	+4.3	86%	43%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.2	39.9	-0.4	47%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	56%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	36%	21%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.8	41.5	-2.1	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	24.0	44.0	-4.0	33%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.1	22.1	43.2	-0.9	50%	57%
vs Weaker (13)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+0.9	46%	23%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.5	43%	63%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	22.1	44.4	+0.2	44%	81%
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	43%	43%
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.3	70%	70%
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.4	38.8	+4.0	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	45%	55%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.8	21.3	42.1	-0.6	33%	67%
vs Weaker (7)	25.4	22.4	47.9	+3.0	57%	71%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.6	36.7	+1.4	57%	37%
Last 30 at home (16)	17.9	19.2	37.1	-1.2	38%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	15.9	36.2	+4.5	79%	43%
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.2	36.3	-0.1	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.2	35.6	-2.8	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	20.7	36.3	-5.0	0%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.1	64%	36%
vs Weaker (13)	19.5	16.3	35.8	+3.2	62%	38%

AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olympiacos

30-44

-14

H30/05

Basket League

Maroussi

#11

46-34

+12

H03/10

Basket League

Salon Vilpas

#15

49-44

H07/10

Champions League

Aris

21-42

-21

A10/10

Basket League

Mykonos

#12

47-38

H17/10

Basket League

Antwerp Giants

#12

50-48

H21/10

Champions League

PAOK

29-25

A24/10

Basket League

Vikos

#13

43-46

-3

A31/10

Basket League

Szombathely

#33

38-27

+11

A04/11

Champions League

Panathinaikos

40-37

H08/11

Basket League

77.8Avg total

39.3Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.75
Last 30 (30)	41.7	40.6	82.2	+1.1	53%	63%
Last 30 at home (16)	43.3	41.8	85.1	+1.6	56%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	39.8	39.2	79.0	+0.6	50%	57%
Last 10 (10)	39.3	38.5	77.8	+0.8	70%	50%
Last 5 (5)	40.0	36.6	76.6	+3.4	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	38.5	39.5	78.1	-1.0	55%	45%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	40.8	41.4	82.2	-0.6	50%	67%
vs Weaker (7)	48.0	40.7	88.7	+7.3	57%	86%

This opponent (Lefkadas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LefkadasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Koroivos

32-40

-8

A18/03

Peiramatiko Machites

#12

28-37

-9

H21/03

Psychikou

55-47

H28/03

Dafni

#13

36-28

A04/04

Kolossos Rhodes

37-46

-9

A03/10

Basket League

PAOK

31-42

-11

A10/10

Basket League

Promitheas

#14

45-40

H17/10

Basket League

Iraklis

41-41

H24/10

Basket League

Mykonos

#12

38-28

+10

A31/10

Basket League

Aris

35-51

-16

H07/11

Basket League

77.8Avg total

37.8Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.75
Last 30 (30)	38.8	37.8	76.6	+1.0	53%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	39.0	39.5	78.5	-0.5	56%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	35.9	74.4	+2.7	50%	29%
Last 10 (10)	37.8	40.0	77.8	-2.2	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	38.0	40.4	78.4	-2.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.7	44.7	80.3	-9.0	0%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	40.5	40.3	80.8	+0.2	57%	50%
vs Weaker (13)	37.7	33.5	71.2	+4.2	62%	23%

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Lefkadas win

AAT win

71.0%

@ 1.40-2.3pp

LEF win

29.0%

@ 3.54+2.3pp

1st half Spread AEK Athens -5 · main lineActual: Lefkadas +5

AAT -5

50.3%

@ 1.88-0.2pp

LEF +5

49.7%

@ 1.93+0.2pp

1st half Over/Under 79.75 · main lineActual: Over 79.75

Over

39.9%

@ 1.82-9.9pp

Under

60.1%

@ 1.80+9.9pp

AEK Athens 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: AEK Athens under 42.5

Over

41.6%

@ 1.86-7.9pp

Under

58.4%

@ 1.93+7.9pp

Lefkadas 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Lefkadas over 37.5

Over

41.0%

@ 1.85-9.4pp

Under

59.0%

@ 1.91+9.4pp

1st half: AAT + total 79.5

AAT & over

27.4%

@ 2.70-4.8pp

AAT & under

41.0%

@ 2.85+10.5pp

1st half: Draw + total 79.5

Draw & over

1.5%

@ 26.00-1.8pp

Draw & under

2.1%

@ 29.00-0.9pp

1st half: LEF + total 79.5

LEF & over

10.9%

@ 5.50-4.9pp

LEF & under

17.0%

@ 5.75+1.9pp

1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Over 78.5

Over

43.6%

@ 1.68-12.8pp

Under

56.4%

@ 2.18+12.8pp

1st half Over/Under 81Actual: Over 81

Over

34.2%

@ 2.13-10.5pp

Under

65.8%

@ 1.72+10.5pp

1st half Spread AEK Athens -6Actual: Lefkadas +6

AAT -6

46.0%

@ 2.08+0.2pp

LEF +6

54.0%

@ 1.76-0.2pp

1st half Spread AEK Athens -3.5Actual: Lefkadas +3.5

AAT -3.5

56.7%

@ 1.80+1.5pp

LEF +3.5

43.3%

@ 2.10-1.5pp

1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Under 82.5

Over

29.4%

@ 2.20-14.0pp

Under

70.6%

@ 1.65+14.0pp

1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Over 76.5

Over

51.3%

@ 1.47-12.1pp

Under

48.6%

@ 2.55+12.1pp

1st half Spread AEK Athens -7Actual: Lefkadas +7

AAT -7

41.7%

@ 2.14-2.6pp

LEF +7

58.3%

@ 1.70+2.6pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Lefkadas (regulation)

AAT

68.5%

@ 1.44+2.3pp

Draw

3.6%

@ 18.00-1.9pp

LEF

28.0%

@ 3.25-0.4pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.5	43%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.4	62%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.8	21%	43%
Last 10 (10)	15.8	22.5	38.3	-6.7	10%	30%
Last 5 (5)	15.0	23.4	38.4	-8.4	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.5	23.3	39.8	-6.7	9%	45%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.8	18.8	38.5	+1.0	67%	50%
vs Weaker (7)	21.0	18.7	39.7	+2.3	57%	57%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	20.3	17.5	37.7	+2.8	60%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	38%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	16.2	37.9	+5.5	86%	57%
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	21.7	41.7	-1.7	67%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.7	17.4	37.1	+2.3	50%	43%
vs Weaker (13)	20.9	16.5	37.5	+4.4	69%	54%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.3	41.5	-1.0	30%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	23.3	45.5	-1.1	38%	75%
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.9	21%	36%
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.7	44.0	-1.4	20%	70%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.4	41.0	-3.8	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.6	23.5	43.1	-3.8	9%	73%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.7	20.2	40.9	+0.4	42%	50%
vs Weaker (7)	20.6	19.6	40.1	+1.0	43%	43%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	16.7	16.5	33.2	+0.1	43%	20%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.5	14.2	32.8	+4.2	75%	19%
Last 30 away (14)	14.6	19.1	33.7	-4.6	7%	21%
Last 10 (10)	16.7	15.9	32.6	+0.8	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	16.8	35.4	+1.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	17.7	38.0	+2.7	67%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	16.9	16.9	33.8	-0.1	43%	21%
vs Weaker (13)	15.6	15.8	31.5	-0.2	38%	8%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.5
Last 30 (30)	39.1	41.7	80.8	-2.5	33%	57%
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	43.4	85.2	-1.6	38%	75%
Last 30 away (14)	36.1	39.7	75.8	-3.6	29%	36%
Last 10 (10)	37.1	45.2	82.3	-8.1	10%	70%
Last 5 (5)	33.6	45.8	79.4	-12.2	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.2	46.7	82.9	-10.5	0%	73%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	40.4	39.0	79.4	+1.4	42%	50%
vs Weaker (7)	41.6	38.3	79.9	+3.3	71%	43%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.5
Last 30 (30)	36.9	34.0	70.9	+2.9	63%	17%
Last 30 at home (16)	37.5	32.8	70.3	+4.7	69%	12%
Last 30 away (14)	36.3	35.4	71.6	+0.9	57%	21%
Last 10 (10)	35.7	34.5	70.2	+1.2	60%	20%
Last 5 (5)	38.0	37.8	75.8	+0.2	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.3	39.3	79.7	+1.0	33%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	36.6	34.4	70.9	+2.2	57%	21%
vs Weaker (13)	36.5	32.4	68.9	+4.2	77%	8%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

AAT win + total 160.5

🔒 Pro

LEF win + total 160.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: AAT leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: LEF leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (AAT:LEF): AAT wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 164	73.2%	1.61	Bet365 1.64	Marathon Bet 1.58	-	-	-	+16.8pp	Won
Under 165	75.2%	1.55	Bet365 1.58	Marathon Bet 1.52	-	-	-	+16.8pp	Won
Under 163.5	71.8%	1.62	Bet365 1.68	Betano 1.62	Marathon Bet 1.61	1xBet 1.59	-	+16.2pp	Won
Under 166	77.0%	1.50	Bet365 1.52	Marathon Bet 1.47	-	-	-	+15.8pp	Won
Under 168	80.5%	1.43	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	-	+15.6pp	Won
Under 167	78.8%	1.47	Bet365 1.47	-	-	-	-	+15.4pp	Won
Under 169	82.1%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+15.1pp	Won
Under 164.5	73.8%	1.57	Bet365 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.56	Betano 1.55	-	-	+15.1pp	Won
Under 165.5	75.6%	1.52	Bet365 1.55	Betano 1.50	Marathon Bet 1.50	-	-	+15.0pp	Won
Under 166.5	77.5%	1.47	Bet365 1.50	Marathon Bet 1.46	Betano 1.44	-	-	+14.3pp	Won
Under 163	71.2%	1.67	Bet365 1.71	Pinnacle 1.67	Marathon Bet 1.64	-	-	+14.0pp	Won
Under 167.5	79.2%	1.42	Bet365 1.45	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	+14.0pp	Won
1st half: Under 82.5	70.6%	1.62	Betano 1.65	Bet365 1.60	-	-	-	+14.0pp	Won
1st half: Under 84.5	76.8%	1.47	Betano 1.50	Bet365 1.44	-	-	-	+14.0pp	Won
Under 168.5	80.8%	1.38	Bet365 1.40	Betano 1.36	-	-	-	+13.8pp	Won
Under 169.5	82.4%	1.34	Bet365 1.36	Betano 1.32	-	-	-	+13.4pp	Won
Lefkadas under 79.5	75.7%	1.45	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.40	-	-	+13.2pp	Won
1st half: Under 83.5	73.8%	1.52	Betano 1.57	Bet365 1.47	-	-	-	+12.9pp	Won
Under 171.5	85.2%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+12.9pp	Won
Under 170.5	83.9%	1.30	Bet365 1.32	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+12.7pp	Won
Lefkadas under 81.5	81.1%	1.32	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	+12.4pp	Won
Lefkadas under 78.5	72.7%	1.50	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.47	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
2nd half: Lefkadas under 42.5	81.7%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
Lefkadas under 83.5	85.6%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
1st half: Under 86.5	81.9%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+11.4pp	Won
Lefkadas under 86.5	90.9%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+11.4pp	Won
AEK Athens under 92.5	85.1%	1.25	Bet365 1.27	Betano 1.22	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Won
AEK Athens under 95.5	90.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Won
AEK Athens under 88.5	74.3%	1.44	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.44	1xBet 1.38	-	-	+11.3pp	Won
AEK Athens under 87.5	71.0%	1.48	Betano 1.52	1xBet 1.45	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
Lefkadas under 80.5	78.5%	1.35	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Q4: Lefkadas under 22.5	79.4%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Under 175.5	89.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
2nd half: Lefkadas under 41.5	77.7%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+10.9pp	Won
2nd half: Lefkadas under 40.5	73.5%	1.40	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	-	+10.9pp	Won
AEK Athens under 89.5	77.3%	1.35	Betano 1.36	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	+10.9pp	Won
AEK Athens under 90.5	80.1%	1.32	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.31	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+10.9pp	Won
1st half: Lefkadas under 42.5	82.6%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Lost
1st half: AEK Athens under 45.5	73.7%	1.42	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
1st half: Lefkadas under 40.5	74.1%	1.43	Bet365 1.50	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Lost
Q1: Under 42.5	71.5%	1.51	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.50	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
AEK Athens under 91.5	82.7%	1.25	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
Lefkadas under 85.5	89.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
Q4: Lefkadas under 21.5	73.7%	1.38	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
Under 176.5	90.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
1st half: Lefkadas under 41.5	78.7%	1.33	Bet365 1.36	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Lost
AEK Athens under 94.5	89.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp	Won
1st half: Under 88.5	86.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Q1: AEK Athens under 24.5	79.1%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Under 174.5	88.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
AEK Athens under 96.5	92.3%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
1st half: Under 85.5	79.4%	1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
Lefkadas under 82.5	83.5%	1.25	Bet365 1.26	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
1st half: Lefkadas under 43.5	85.9%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Lost
1st half: Under 90.5	90.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
1st half: Lefkadas under 44.5	89.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Lost
1st half: Under 87.5	84.2%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Won
Q4: AEK Athens +3.5	78.4%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Q1: Under 44.5	79.8%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Lefkadas under 87.5	92.2%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Q4: AEK Athens under 24.5	78.6%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Q1: AEK Athens under 23.5	72.6%	1.41	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.38	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Q1: Under 46.5	86.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
1st half: Under 89.5	88.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Won
Q1: Lefkadas under 21.5	75.6%	1.32	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Lost
Lefkadas under 84.5	87.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
AEK Athens under 98.5	94.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Q4: AEK Athens +2.5	73.9%	1.36	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Lost
1st half: AEK Athens under 46.5	77.9%	1.31	Bet365 1.32	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Q3: AEK Athens under 23.5	74.6%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
1st half: Lefkadas under 45.5	91.3%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Q4: AEK Athens under 23.5	72.8%	1.36	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
2nd half: AEK Athens under 45.5	75.7%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
AEK Athens under 100.5	96.4%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Q1: AEK Athens under 25.5	84.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Under 181.5	94.7%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
AEK Athens under 102.5	97.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
1st half: Lefkadas under 46.5	93.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Under 180.5	94.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Lefkadas under 89.5	94.5%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
2nd half: AEK Athens +2.5	77.0%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
2nd half: AEK Athens +1.5	73.9%	1.34	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Q3: Lefkadas under 21.5	77.0%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
2nd half: AEK Athens under 44.5	71.0%	1.38	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Under 186.5	97.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
1st half: AEK Athens under 48.5	85.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
1st half: Lefkadas under 48.5	96.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
AEK Athens under 105.5	98.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Under 185.5	96.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Under 179.5	93.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
1st half: AEK Athens under 50.5	91.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Lefkadas under 91.5	96.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
AEK Athens under 104.5	98.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Lefkadas under 93.5	97.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Under 184.5	96.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
1st half: Lefkadas under 47.5	95.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Lefkadas under 88.5	93.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Q2: Lefkadas under 21.5	76.7%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Lefkadas under 95.5	98.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Q3: Lefkadas under 20.5	70.6%	1.37	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
1st half: AEK Athens under 52.5	94.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Lefkadas under 90.5	95.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Lefkadas under 96.5	98.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
AEK Athens under 106.5	99.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Q1: AEK Athens under 27.5	91.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Q1: AEK Athens under 29.5	96.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Q1: Lefkadas under 22.5	81.4%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Lost
Q2: Lefkadas under 20.5	70.1%	1.37	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Lefkadas under 92.5	96.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
AEK Athens -3	72.7%	1.39	Bet365 1.39	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Lost
Q2: AEK Athens under 23.5	72.0%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Lost
Q1: AEK Athens under 31.5	98.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Lefkadas under 94.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
AEK Athens -2	76.0%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Lost
Q1: Lefkadas under 26.5	95.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Lost
Q1: Lefkadas under 24.5	90.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Lost
Lefkadas under 97.5	98.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
1st half: AEK Athens +4.5	84.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Lost
Overtime: no	96.3%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Q1: Lefkadas under 28.5	98.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
AEK Athens +11.5	95.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
AEK Athens -1.5	76.8%	1.28	Bet365 1.30	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Lost
AEK Athens -3.5	70.8%	1.39	Bet365 1.44	Marathon Bet 1.37	Betano 1.36	-	-	+4.5pp	Lost
AEK Athens -1	78.4%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Lost
Lefkadas +30.5	95.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
AEK Athens (regulation)	76.7%	1.26	1xBet 1.27	Betano 1.26	Marathon Bet 1.25	-	-	+4.3pp	Lost
Lefkadas +21.5	84.3%	1.15	Betano 1.15	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
AEK Athens -2.5	73.4%	1.33	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Lost
1st half: AEK Athens +2.5	78.8%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Lost
1st half: AEK Athens +0.5	72.0%	1.36	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Q1: AEK Athens over 11.5	96.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
2nd half: Lefkadas +10.5	73.3%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Lefkadas +33.5	97.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
AEK Athens over 63.5	96.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
1st half: AEK Athens +6.5	89.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Lost
AEK Athens +2.5	83.2%	1.15	Betano 1.15	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Lost
Q1: AEK Athens or Lefkadas	94.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
AEK Athens +14.5	97.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Lefkadas +28.5	93.6%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
1st half: AEK Athens +5.5	86.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Lost
AEK Athens over 65.5	94.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
AEK Athens over 64.5	95.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
AEK Athens +9.5	93.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
1st half: AEK Athens +3.5	81.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Lost
Lefkadas +25.5	90.7%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Q1: AEK Athens +3.5	80.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Lost
AEK Athens +6.5	90.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Q1: AEK Athens +1.5	71.6%	1.32	Bet365 1.33	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Lost
Q1: AEK Athens over 13.5	92.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Lost
Lefkadas +20.5	82.3%	1.15	Bet365 1.16	Betano 1.15	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Q1: Lefkadas over 10.5	93.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
1st half: AEK Athens +1.5	75.5%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Lost
Q1: Lefkadas +6.5	72.0%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
AEK Athens over 66.5	92.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
2nd half: Lefkadas +9.5	70.0%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
AEK Athens +1.5	80.7%	1.17	Betano 1.18	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Lost
Lefkadas over 54.5	95.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
AEK Athens over 67.5	91.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Q2: AEK Athens over 17.5	71.9%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Q1: Lefkadas +8.5	80.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Q2: AEK Athens or Lefkadas	94.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Lefkadas +23.5	87.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Q3: AEK Athens over 17.5	70.6%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
1st half: AEK Athens over 32.5	88.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Q4: AEK Athens over 17.5	70.3%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Lost
Lefkadas over 55.5	94.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
1st half: Lefkadas +10.5	71.5%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Lefkadas +19.5	80.1%	1.16	Betano 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Lefkadas over 56.5	93.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
AEK Athens over 68.5	90.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Lefkadas +18.5	77.8%	1.20	Betano 1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Lefkadas over 57.5	92.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Lefkadas +17.5	75.2%	1.23	Betano 1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
1st half: Lefkadas +14.5	83.9%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
2nd half: AEK Athens over 36.5	70.7%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Lost
Lefkadas over 58.5	90.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
AEK Athens over 69.5	88.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Lefkadas +16.5	72.5%	1.27	Betano 1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
1st half: AEK Athens over 34.5	82.1%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
Lefkadas +17	74.5%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
AEK Athens +4.5	86.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Q1: Lefkadas over 12.5	87.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
1st half: Lefkadas +12.5	78.4%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Won
Q1: Lefkadas over 15.5	70.0%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
Q1: AEK Athens over 15.5	84.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Lost
1st half: Lefkadas over 27.5	88.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-0.9pp	Won
1st half: Lefkadas +13.5	81.2%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-1.1pp	Won
AEK Athens over 70.5	86.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Won
Lefkadas over 59.5	89.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Won
AEK Athens win	78.9%	1.20	1xBet 1.26	Marathon Bet 1.24	Betano 1.23	Bet365 1.22	WilliamHill 1.21	-1.6pp	Lost
Lefkadas over 60.5	87.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Won
AEK Athens over 71.5	84.0%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Won
1st half: AEK Athens win	71.0%	1.34	Bet365 1.40	WilliamHill 1.38	Betano 1.33	BetVictor 1.32	Pinnacle 1.29	-2.3pp	Lost
1st half: AEK Athens over 36.5	73.8%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-2.4pp	Won
AEK Athens over 73.5	78.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-2.5pp	Lost
Q1: AEK Athens over 17.5	72.7%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	-2.6pp	Lost
1st half: Lefkadas +11.5	75.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-2.7pp	Won
1st half: Lefkadas over 28.5	85.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-2.8pp	Won
Over 134.5	88.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-2.8pp	Won
Q1: Lefkadas over 14.5	76.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-3.1pp	Won
Lefkadas +16	71.7%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	-3.3pp	Won
AEK Athens over 72.5	81.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-3.5pp	Won
AEK Athens over 74.5	76.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-3.5pp	Lost
Lefkadas over 61.5	85.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-3.8pp	Won
Over 135.5	86.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-4.0pp	Won
1st half: Lefkadas over 29.5	82.0%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-4.1pp	Won
Q1: Over 34.5	72.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-4.1pp	Won
Lefkadas over 62.5	82.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-4.2pp	Won
Over 136.5	85.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-4.9pp	Won
1st half: Lefkadas over 30.5	78.1%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	-5.0pp	Won
1st half: Over 69.5	76.0%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-5.4pp	Won
1st half: Lefkadas over 31.5	73.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-5.7pp	Won
AEK Athens over 75.5	72.9%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-5.9pp	Lost
Lefkadas over 64.5	77.0%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	-6.1pp	Won
1st half: Over 70.5	72.9%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-6.7pp	Won
Lefkadas over 63.5	80.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-7.0pp	Won
Over 139.5	80.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-7.2pp	Won
Over 140.5	79.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-8.5pp	Won
Lefkadas over 65.5	73.9%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	-9.2pp	Won
Over 141.5	77.3%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-9.4pp	Won
Lefkadas over 66.5	70.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-9.8pp	Won
Over 144.5	71.4%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-10.0pp	Won
AEK Athens or draw	79.9%	1.16	Marathon Bet 1.16	-	-	-	-	-	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game

46%

34%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	21.0	53.0%	50.6%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	7.3	33.2%	34.4%	21.9
🏀 Free throws	22.2	16.1	72.5%	71.8%	16.1

They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Lefkadastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lefkadas: 76.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game

46%

34%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	20.0	51.3%	50.6%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	7.4	32.2%	34.4%	22.2
🏀 Free throws	21.0	14.2	67.6%	71.8%	14.2

They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	20.5	53.1%	50.6%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	10.3	38.3%	34.4%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	20.9	16.0	76.6%	71.8%	16.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.0	51.1%	50.6%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	8.8	36.7%	34.4%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	27.6	18.0	65.2%	71.8%	18.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	20.1	53.8%	50.6%	40.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.9	8.4	36.5%	34.4%	25.1
🏀 Free throws	23.1	16.8	73.0%	71.8%	16.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	19.6	52.8%	50.6%	39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	9.6	34.2%	34.4%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	20.4	15.4	75.2%	71.8%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.0	51.1%	50.6%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	8.8	36.7%	34.4%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	27.6	18.0	65.2%	71.8%	18.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

AEK Athens

LWLLLWLWWL

Lefkadas

LWWLLLWWLW

#10

League position

-9.2

Net rating

-4.8

93.6

Offensive rating

91.2

102.8

Defensive rating

96.0

51.9%

Effective FG%

50.2%

54.9%

Opp. effective FG%

52.7%

14.8%

Turnover %

14.2%

0.36

Free-throw rate

0.34

33.2%

3-point %

32.2%

67.5%

Assist %

48.2%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ AEK Athens ■ Lefkadas

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Athens wins

Lefkadas wins

Date	Game	Score
01/04/17	Lefkadas v AEK Athens	64-68
17/12/16	AEK Athens v Lefkadas	84-60
28/04/12	AEK Athens v Lefkadas	73-54
07/01/12	Lefkadas v AEK Athens	64-52

AEK Athenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/26	H	Panathinaikos	74-83
04/11/26	A	Szombathely	72-66
31/10/26	A	Vikos	84-95
24/10/26	A	PAOK	62-65
21/10/26	H	Antwerp Giants	76-103
17/10/26	H	Mykonos	84-79
10/10/26	A	Aris	58-88
07/10/26	H	Salon Vilpas	95-93
03/10/26	H	Maroussi	91-70
30/05/26	H	Olympiacos	68-95

Lefkadaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	H	Aris	77-88
31/10/26	A	Mykonos	73-59
24/10/26	H	Iraklis	94-86 OT
17/10/26	H	Promitheas	79-80
10/10/26	A	PAOK	73-86
03/10/26	A	Kolossos Rhodes	75-91
04/04/26	A	Dafni	65-54
28/03/26	H	Psychikou	87-78
21/03/26	H	Peiramatiko Machites	55-63
18/03/26	A	Koroivos	73-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens

Basket League 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	33%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	33%	67%	0%
Points / game	75.5	83.0	68.0
Allowed / game	80.0	77.3	82.7
Point differential	-4.5	+5.7	-14.7
Avg total	155.5	160.3	150.7
Over 160.25	50%	67%	33%
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Lefkadas

Basket League 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	33%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	33%	33%	33%
Points / game	78.5	83.3	73.7
Allowed / game	81.7	84.7	78.7
Point differential	-3.2	-1.3	-5.0
Avg total	160.2	168.0	152.3
Over 160.25	50%	67%	33%
Win by 10+	17%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	17%	33%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olympiacos	6	6	0	100%	85.8	67.8	+18.0
2	PAOK	6	6	0	100%	80.5	70.7	+9.8
3	Panathinaikos	6	5	1	83%	89.0	74.5	+14.5
4	Aris	6	5	1	83%	84.5	71.5	+13.0
5	AS Karditsas	6	4	2	67%	74.5	71.5	+3.0
6	Kolossos Rhodes	6	3	3	50%	80.7	81.8	-1.2
7	Peristeri	6	3	3	50%	80.5	87.5	-7.0
8	Iraklis	6	2	4	33%	77.0	73.8	+3.2
9	Lefkadas	6	2	4	33%	78.5	81.7	-3.2
10	AEK Athens	6	2	4	33%	75.5	80.0	-4.5
11	Maroussi	6	1	5	17%	75.8	81.5	-5.7
12	Mykonos	6	1	5	17%	73.5	84.5	-11.0
13	Vikos	6	1	5	17%	74.7	87.3	-12.7
14	Promitheas	6	1	5	17%	70.2	86.5	-16.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Athens	13	24	22	14	73
Lefkadas	27	18	15	17	77

← all games of the day

AEK Athens vs Lefkadas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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