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AEK Athens vs Minsk Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 95-69
16-22 31-17 22-20 26-10
Position#12
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game96.0
vs
Position#21
Record3-0
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game66.3
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 1
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A25/01
Basket League
Rethymno
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H26/02
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
101-96 OT
101
96
+5
A29/02
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H07/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#1
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A23/09
Super Cup
Panathinaikos
#3
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H24/09
Super Cup
Ionikos
#8
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A24/10
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H31/10
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#9
W
100-96
100
96
+4
H04/11
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A07/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
18-18
17-18
22-19
16-22
17-21
25-17
26-23
23-21
19-17
24-22
18-24
30-12
14-20
16-19
26-10
25-23
21-20
21-24
21-31
21-20
23-23
15-16
14-20
15-21
17-18
27-20
22-9
26-15
19-20
18-21
24-12
24-21
26-31
25-24
25-20
18-12
12-15
12-20
24-15
162.7Avg total
84.3Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)100.096.0196.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)100.096.0196.0+4.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.378.4162.7+5.980%
Last 5 (5)81.474.6156.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.287.8167.0-8.620%
vs Similar ◀ (3)89.086.7175.7+2.367%
vs Weaker (22)82.570.5153.0+12.186%
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grodno
#3
W
100-59
100
59
+41
H04/09
Premier League
Rubon
#5
W
113-48
113
48
+65
A05/09
Premier League
Borisfen
#2
W
92-53
92
53
+39
H06/09
Premier League
Balkan
#39
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H22/09
Champions League
Neptunas
#22
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H24/09
Champions League
Enisey
#11
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A01/10
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
73-104
73
104
-31
A04/10
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#6
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A01/11
VTB United League
Cholet
#28
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H04/11
Champions League
Saratov
#8
L
69-86
69
86
-17
H07/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
25-14
20-11
27-19
27-14
27-11
39-9
20-14
18-14
19-11
31-14
24-14
17-9
13-19
23-13
20-24
12-15
26-21
14-13
17-10
27-17
21-24
17-20
21-20
23-24
15-32
17-23
18-25
13-24
28-24
11-16
23-25
19-17
26-16
16-19
21-23
24-18
17-16
15-21
13-31
155.1Avg total
83.2Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.766.3141.0+8.3100%
Season at home (3)74.766.3141.0+8.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.271.9155.1+11.370%
Last 5 (5)77.087.0164.0-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.287.8163.0-12.58%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.882.2166.1+1.654%
vs Weaker (3)101.753.3155.0+48.3100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
AEK AthensMinsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A25/01
Basket League
Rethymno
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H26/02
Basket League
Panionios
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A29/02
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H07/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A23/09
Super Cup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H24/09
Super Cup
Ionikos
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A24/10
Basket League
Larisa
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H31/10
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H04/11
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A07/11
Basket League
79.2Avg total
40.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.737.879.6+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.338.582.7+5.867%-
Last 30 away (15)39.237.276.4+2.073%-
Last 10 (10)40.438.879.2+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.279.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.645.490.0-0.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)42.339.381.7+3.067%-
vs Weaker (22)41.035.976.9+5.173%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grodno
#3
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H04/09
Premier League
Rubon
#5
W
54-25
54
25
+29
A05/09
Premier League
Borisfen
#2
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H06/09
Premier League
Balkan
#39
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H22/09
Champions League
Neptunas
#22
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/09
Champions League
Enisey
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A01/10
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A04/10
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#6
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A01/11
VTB United League
Cholet
#28
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H04/11
Champions League
Saratov
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H07/11
VTB United League
78.0Avg total
42.5Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.780.1+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.135.975.1+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)41.844.085.8-2.243%-
Last 10 (10)42.535.578.0+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.485.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.943.782.6-4.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.839.780.5+1.262%-
vs Weaker (3)48.026.374.3+21.7100%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.5 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.2
55.3%
52.7%44.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.87.8
39.2%
35.4%23.2
🏀 Free throws21.814.7
67.8%
73.2%14.8
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.7 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.318.9
46.8%
52.7%37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.3
36.2%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.011.9
69.7%
73.2%11.9
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/7 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WWWWLLWWWW
Minsk
LWLLWWWWWW
#12
League position
#21
+14.3
Net rating
-5.9
118.2
Offensive rating
101.8
103.9
Defensive rating
107.6
56.5%
Effective FG%
49.5%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.4%
Turnover %
21.0%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.2%
3-point %
36.2%
69.2%
Assist %
67.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 101.8Defence103.9 · 107.6Shooting56.5% · 49.5%3-point %39.2% · 36.2%Ball care15.4% · 21.0%Off. rebounds33.3% · 35.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Minsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
0
Minsk wins
No previous meetings.
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/20APeristeri66-62
04/11/20HHapoel Holon100-96
31/10/20HLarisa87-68
24/10/20AIonikos81-68
24/09/20HPanathinaikos73-79
23/09/20APromitheas88-98
07/03/20HIraklis86-61
29/02/20APanionios101-96 OT
26/02/20HRethymno84-83
25/01/20APeristeri77-73
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/20HSaratov69-86
04/11/20HCholet82-75
01/11/20AZielona Gora75-89
04/10/20AZenit Petersburg73-104
01/10/20AEnisey86-81
24/09/20HNeptunas69-59
22/09/20HBalkan73-65
06/09/20HBorisfen92-53
05/09/20ARubon113-48
04/09/20HGrodno100-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game100.0100.0-
Allowed / game96.096.0-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total196.0196.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Minsk
Champions League 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game74.774.7-
Allowed / game66.366.3-
Point differential+8.3+8.3-
Avg total141.0141.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bamberg220100%88.567.0+21.5
2 Dijon220100%88.070.0+18.0
3 Sassari220100%92.578.0+14.5
4 Karsiyaka110100%81.072.0+9.0
5 Szombathely110100%84.075.0+9.0
6 Minsk330100%74.766.3+8.3
7 Darussafaka110100%79.074.0+5.0
8 Limoges110100%80.075.0+5.0
9 AEK Athens110100%100.096.0+4.0
10 Turk Telekom110100%98.094.0+4.0
11 Basket Zaragoza110100%86.085.0+1.0
12 Igokea32167%75.773.0+2.7
13 Donar Groningen21150%72.556.5+16.0
14 Peristeri21150%93.586.0+7.5
15 Tofas21150%88.585.0+3.5
16 Hapoel Holon21150%84.581.5+3.0
17 Tenerife21150%85.082.5+2.5
18 Galatasaray21150%87.587.0+0.5
19 VEF Riga21150%79.579.0+0.5
20 Bakken Bears42250%82.882.8+0.0
21 Sporting CP21150%74.074.0+0.0
22 Strasbourg21150%79.079.0+0.0
23 Belfius Mons21150%76.077.5-1.5
24 Oostende21150%86.588.5-2.0
25 Neptunas21150%68.071.0-3.0
26 Keravnos42250%77.281.5-4.2
27 Rytas21150%85.593.5-8.0
28 Nymburk21150%78.589.0-10.5
29 San Pablo Burgos1010%98.099.0-1.0
30 Iraklis1010%94.096.0-2.0
31 Hapoel Jerusalem1010%94.098.0-4.0
32 London Lions1010%73.077.0-4.0
33 Lublin2020%80.085.0-5.0
34 Fribourg Olympic1010%78.084.0-6.0
35 Cluj Napoca1010%75.082.0-7.0
36 Bilbao2020%71.579.0-7.5
37 Balkan1010%65.073.0-8.0
38 Cholet2020%69.077.5-8.5
39 Anwil Wloclawek1010%69.081.0-12.0
40 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%71.091.0-20.0
41 BC Dnipro1010%53.088.0-35.0
42 Fortitudo Bologna1010%63.0100.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1631222695
Minsk2217201069
← all games of the day
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