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AEK Athens vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-92 (OT)
25-15 17-10 21-20 17-35 6-12
Position#1
Record14-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Rytas 🏆
Position#4
Record11-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game83.3
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final· Palau Municipal d
European cup2025Neutral venue
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#11
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
A18/03
Champions League
Iraklis
#8
W
100-87
100
87
+13
H22/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H28/03
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H01/04
Champions League
Aris
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A04/04
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A07/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H15/04
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A19/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H25/04
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A07/05
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
24-27
12-16
15-17
30-26
24-29
25-17
21-15
14-16
14-19
10-26
26-13
16-24
18-23
30-14
23-23
21-22
18-22
18-24
21-14
13-27
18-26
24-19
11-16
20-18
14-22
16-15
22-12
21-7
17-22
21-13
12-15
21-22
19-24
24-22
20-26
14-9
23-12
19-22
22-22
157.9Avg total
79.3Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.176.0160.1+8.188%
Season at home (8)89.577.6167.1+11.9100%
Season away (8)78.674.4153.0+4.275%
Last 10 (10)79.378.6157.9+0.760%
Last 5 (5)74.274.2148.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.292.6171.8-13.420%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.878.9158.7+0.967%
vs Weaker (16)89.477.9167.3+11.494%
This opponent (Rytas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
105-91
105
91
+14
H04/04
LKL
Nymburk
#30
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A07/04
Champions League
Siauliai
#4
L
90-107
90
107
-17
A12/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H19/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H22/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
102-80
102
80
+22
H25/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
102-72
102
72
+30
H27/04
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
98-91
98
91
+7
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
71-96
71
96
-25
A03/05
LKL
Tenerife
#12
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H07/05
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
28-14
25-22
27-28
21-21
17-20
14-19
18-9
27-31
24-22
18-23
21-31
21-15
16-27
25-19
8-14
29-13
20-21
25-24
24-23
25-18
23-13
23-18
31-31
22-22
19-18
32-14
29-18
24-24
22-21
20-22
32-24
19-24
14-24
22-26
16-22
18-17
22-17
22-19
25-16
172.4Avg total
89.3Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)90.583.3173.9+7.273%
Season at home (8)95.480.5175.9+14.988%
Season away (7)85.086.6171.6-1.657%
Last 10 (10)89.383.1172.4+6.270%
Last 5 (5)92.081.6173.6+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.291.0170.2-11.80%
vs Similar ◀ (7)93.085.4178.4+7.671%
vs Weaker (19)92.584.9177.4+7.574%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
AEK AthensRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#11
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A18/03
Champions League
Iraklis
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H22/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H28/03
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H01/04
Champions League
Aris
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/04
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A07/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H15/04
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A19/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H25/04
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A07/05
Champions League
80.3Avg total
38.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.384.3-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.744.685.3-3.933%-
Last 30 away (15)43.140.183.2+3.167%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.680.3-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.873.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.647.686.2-9.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.142.479.6-5.333%-
vs Weaker (16)45.740.686.3+5.169%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H04/04
LKL
Nymburk
#30
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A07/04
Champions League
Siauliai
#4
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A12/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H19/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H22/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H25/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H27/04
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A03/05
LKL
Tenerife
#12
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H07/05
Champions League
84.5Avg total
43.6Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.943.487.3+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.040.685.6+4.471%-
Last 30 away (13)42.547.189.5-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)43.640.984.5+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.681.2+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.253.089.2-16.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)47.340.988.1+6.486%-
vs Weaker (19)44.342.386.6+1.958%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.2
55.2%
52.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.7
34.7%
33.8%23.1
🏀 Free throws25.017.8
71.2%
74.1%17.8
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.322.2
61.2%
52.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.8
33.3%
33.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws24.718.5
74.9%
74.1%18.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLWWLLWLWW
Rytas
WLWWWWLLWW
#1
League position
#4
+0.8
Net rating
+7.1
95.7
Offensive rating
102.6
94.9
Defensive rating
95.4
53.9%
Effective FG%
56.5%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.7%
3-point %
33.3%
58.7%
Assist %
73.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.7 · 102.6Defence94.9 · 95.4Shooting53.9% · 56.5%3-point %34.7% · 33.3%Ball care16.2% · 14.7%Free throws0.44 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
0
Rytas wins
No previous meetings.
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/26AUnicaja78-65
25/04/26HOlympiacos84-94
19/04/26APanionios71-57
15/04/26HJoventut Badalona72-67
07/04/26AJoventut Badalona66-88
04/04/26AAris78-82
01/04/26HJoventut Badalona87-84
28/03/26HPeristeri64-74
22/03/26HIraklis100-87
18/03/26AAlba Berlin93-88 OT
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/26HTenerife87-69
03/05/26ALietkabelis71-96
29/04/26ANeptunas98-91
27/04/26HSiauliai102-72
25/04/26HJuventus102-80
22/04/26HJonava98-81
19/04/26HZalgiris Kaunas70-75
12/04/26ASiauliai90-107
07/04/26ANymburk70-69
04/04/26HNevezis105-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game84.189.578.6
Allowed / game76.077.674.4
Point differential+8.1+11.9+4.2
Avg total160.1167.1153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %19%12%25%
Rytas
Champions League 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%88%57%
Points / game90.595.485.0
Allowed / game83.380.586.6
Point differential+7.2+14.9-1.6
Avg total173.9175.9171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Athens1614288%84.176.0+8.1
2 Unicaja1613381%86.875.6+11.2
3 Gran Canaria129375%81.773.1+8.6
4 Joventut Badalona1511473%85.077.3+7.7
5 Rytas1511473%90.583.3+7.2
6 Chalon/Saone1712571%88.685.5+3.1
7 Murcia32167%89.783.7+6.0
8 Galatasaray1510567%84.081.3+2.7
9 Bakken Bears32167%88.086.0+2.0
10 Antwerp Giants32167%72.775.3-2.7
11 Alba Berlin149564%85.380.4+4.9
12 Tenerife1710759%82.176.4+5.6
13 Levice127558%79.279.8-0.6
14 Le Mans148657%87.681.1+6.6
15 Wurzburg158753%81.778.3+3.4
16 Reggiana21150%88.584.0+4.5
17 Den Bosch21150%78.575.0+3.5
18 Juventus21150%87.085.0+2.0
19 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%81.082.5-1.5
20 PAOK21150%76.079.5-3.5
21 FC Porto21150%81.089.5-8.5
22 Mersin SK84450%80.088.6-8.6
23 Cholet94544%89.087.0+2.0
24 Szolnoki Olaj94544%76.476.4+0.0
25 Trapani73443%75.179.1-4.0
26 Trieste156940%81.583.6-2.1
27 Tofas156940%84.386.8-2.5
28 Spartak Subotica83538%78.279.4-1.1
29 Heidelberg83538%79.582.1-2.6
30 Nymburk1661038%79.181.9-2.8
31 Promitheas83538%80.186.5-6.4
32 AS Karditsas145936%78.485.5-7.1
33 Legia62433%78.077.8+0.2
34 Bnei Herzliya62433%84.890.5-5.7
35 Bursaspor93633%76.883.0-6.2
36 Hapoel Holon134931%83.186.1-3.0
37 Sabah Baku61517%81.090.7-9.7
38 VEF Riga61517%68.580.0-11.5
39 Igokea61517%75.387.0-11.7
40 Benfica61517%71.592.2-20.7
41 Kutaisi1010%81.084.0-3.0
42 Szombathely1010%79.083.0-4.0
43 Basketball Braunschweig1010%74.081.0-7.0
44 CSM Oradea1010%71.079.0-8.0
45 Rilski Sportist1010%84.093.0-9.0
46 Oostende6060%81.092.7-11.7
47 Pelister1010%87.099.0-12.0
48 Studentski Centar1010%67.079.0-12.0
49 Trepca1010%68.080.0-12.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%89.0103.0-14.0
51 Lublin1010%84.0100.0-16.0
52 AEK Larnaca1010%69.090.0-21.0
53 Fribourg Olympic1010%80.0107.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
AEK Athens25172117686
Rytas151020351292
← all games of the day
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