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Unicaja vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 May 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 65-78
9-14 12-23 22-19 22-22
Position#2
Record12-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#1
Record13-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game76.7
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Semi-finals· Palacio de Deportes José María Martín Carpena
European cup2025
Meetings · Unicaja v AEK Athens
07 May 2026
UNI65
AAT78
25 Jan 2023
UNI88
AAT66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Unicaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UnicajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnicaja
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#5
W
86-74
86
74
+12
83avg 80
H17/03
Champions League
Tenerife
#8
L
70-95
70
95
-25
47avg 80
H21/03
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
91-97
91
97
-6
83avg 80
A29/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#11
W
72-69
72
69
+3
65avg 80
H01/04
Champions League
Bilbao
#7
L
74-90
74
90
-16
59avg 80
A04/04
ACB
Alba Berlin
#11
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
73avg 80
A08/04
Champions League
Valencia
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 80
H12/04
ACB
Granada
#18
L
71-83
71
83
-12
55avg 80
A19/04
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
91-72
91
72
+19
88avg 80
H25/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
90avg 80
H29/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
18-23
19-17
24-14
11-20
19-26
24-28
16-21
17-22
24-25
28-27
22-23
24-22
10-7
22-20
16-20
23-26
19-23
21-27
11-14
13-15
21-21
26-13
14-25
23-27
26-21
19-28
21-20
9-24
22-17
22-26
18-16
19-19
18-15
32-14
22-24
25-19
19-24
25-22
18-22
169.4Avg total
83.2Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.575.1163.6+13.486%
Season at home (7)96.177.1173.3+19.0100%
Season away (7)80.973.0153.9+7.971%
Last 10 (10)83.286.2169.4-3.040%
Last 5 (5)87.887.4175.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)87.490.1177.6-2.729%
vs Similar (8)84.085.6169.6-1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.181.5172.7+9.680%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
78-103
78
103
-25
68avg 79
A15/03
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#11
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
90avg 79
A18/03
Champions League
Iraklis
#8
W
100-87
100
87
+13
101avg 79
H22/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
64-74
64
74
-10
54avg 79
H28/03
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 79
H01/04
Champions League
Aris
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
73avg 79
A04/04
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
66-88
66
88
-22
58avg 79
A07/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
66avg 79
H15/04
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
71-57
71
57
+14
72avg 79
A19/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
77avg 79
H25/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
21-37
15-24
11-24
28-19
24-27
12-16
15-17
30-26
24-29
25-17
21-15
14-16
14-19
10-26
26-13
16-24
18-23
30-14
23-23
21-22
18-22
18-24
21-14
13-27
18-26
24-19
11-16
20-18
14-22
16-15
22-12
21-7
17-22
21-13
12-15
21-22
19-24
24-22
20-26
161.7Avg total
79.3Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.576.7161.2+7.787%
Season at home (8)89.577.6167.1+11.9100%
Season away (7)78.775.7154.4+3.071%
Last 10 (10)79.382.4161.7-3.150%
Last 5 (5)74.277.6151.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.599.5179.0-20.00%
vs Similar (9)79.878.9158.7+0.967%
vs Weaker (17)89.777.1166.8+12.694%
This opponent (Unicaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
UnicajaAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UnicajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H17/03
Champions League
Tenerife
#8
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H21/03
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A29/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#11
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H01/04
Champions League
Bilbao
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A04/04
ACB
Alba Berlin
#11
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A08/04
Champions League
Valencia
#1
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H12/04
ACB
Granada
#18
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A19/04
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H25/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H29/04
ACB
80.1Avg total
38.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.584.2+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.541.485.9+3.165%-
Last 30 away (13)40.441.581.9-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.680.1-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.479.4-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)46.344.390.6+2.057%-
vs Similar (8)40.643.183.8-2.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.239.381.5+2.960%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A15/03
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#11
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A18/03
Champions League
Iraklis
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H22/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H28/03
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H01/04
Champions League
Aris
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/04
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A07/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H15/04
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A19/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H25/04
Basket League
85.2Avg total
40.2Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.085.1-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.844.485.1-3.631%-
Last 30 away (14)43.641.485.0+2.164%-
Last 10 (10)40.245.085.2-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.478.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.054.293.2-15.20%-
vs Similar (9)37.142.479.6-5.333%-
vs Weaker (17)45.440.686.1+4.865%-
This opponent (Unicaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Unicajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unicaja: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.9
50.7%
52.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.3
33.0%
33.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.815.5
68.0%
74.1%15.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.7
54.1%
52.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.5
33.8%
33.8%22.5
🏀 Free throws24.317.4
71.6%
74.1%17.4
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Unicaja
LWLLWLWLLW
AEK Athens
LWWLLWLWWL
#2
League position
#1
-3.3
Net rating
-3.7
94.8
Offensive rating
95.2
98.2
Defensive rating
98.9
50.2%
Effective FG%
52.8%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
13.1%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.41
33.0%
3-point %
33.8%
62.8%
Assist %
56.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.8 · 95.2Defence98.2 · 98.9Shooting50.2% · 52.8%3-point %33.0% · 33.8%Ball care13.1% · 15.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Unicaja   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Unicaja wins
0
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
09/05/25AEK Athens v Unicaja65-71
21/03/23AEK Athens v Unicaja65-75
25/01/23Unicaja v AEK Athens88-66
Unicajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/26HGran Canaria100-101 OT
25/04/26HForca Lleida91-72
19/04/26AGranada71-83
12/04/26HValencia89-96
08/04/26AAlba Berlin88-85 OT
04/04/26ABilbao74-90
01/04/26HAlba Berlin72-69
29/03/26ABarcelona91-97
21/03/26HTenerife70-95
17/03/26HJoventut Badalona86-74
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26HOlympiacos84-94
19/04/26APanionios71-57
15/04/26HJoventut Badalona72-67
07/04/26AJoventut Badalona66-88
04/04/26AAris78-82
01/04/26HJoventut Badalona87-84
28/03/26HPeristeri64-74
22/03/26HIraklis100-87
18/03/26AAlba Berlin93-88 OT
15/03/26APanathinaikos78-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Unicaja
Champions League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%100%71%
Points / game88.596.180.9
Allowed / game75.177.173.0
Point differential+13.4+19.0+7.9
Avg total163.6173.3153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%71%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
AEK Athens
Champions League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %87%100%71%
Points / game84.589.578.7
Allowed / game76.777.675.7
Point differential+7.7+11.9+3.0
Avg total161.2167.1154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %20%12%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Athens1513287%84.576.7+7.7
2 Unicaja1412286%88.575.1+13.4
3 Gran Canaria129375%81.773.1+8.6
4 Joventut Badalona1511473%85.077.3+7.7
5 Rytas1511473%90.583.3+7.2
6 Chalon/Saone1712571%88.685.5+3.1
7 Murcia32167%89.783.7+6.0
8 Galatasaray1510567%84.081.3+2.7
9 Bakken Bears32167%88.086.0+2.0
10 Antwerp Giants32167%72.775.3-2.7
11 Alba Berlin149564%85.380.4+4.9
12 Tenerife1610662%82.275.9+6.3
13 Levice127558%79.279.8-0.6
14 Le Mans148657%87.681.1+6.6
15 Wurzburg158753%81.778.3+3.4
16 Reggiana21150%88.584.0+4.5
17 Den Bosch21150%78.575.0+3.5
18 Juventus21150%87.085.0+2.0
19 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%81.082.5-1.5
20 PAOK21150%76.079.5-3.5
21 FC Porto21150%81.089.5-8.5
22 Mersin SK84450%80.088.6-8.6
23 Cholet94544%89.087.0+2.0
24 Szolnoki Olaj94544%76.476.4+0.0
25 Trapani73443%75.179.1-4.0
26 Trieste156940%81.583.6-2.1
27 Tofas156940%84.386.8-2.5
28 Spartak Subotica83538%78.279.4-1.1
29 Heidelberg83538%79.582.1-2.6
30 Nymburk1661038%79.181.9-2.8
31 Promitheas83538%80.186.5-6.4
32 AS Karditsas145936%78.485.5-7.1
33 Legia62433%78.077.8+0.2
34 Bnei Herzliya62433%84.890.5-5.7
35 Bursaspor93633%76.883.0-6.2
36 Hapoel Holon134931%83.186.1-3.0
37 Sabah Baku61517%81.090.7-9.7
38 VEF Riga61517%68.580.0-11.5
39 Igokea61517%75.387.0-11.7
40 Benfica61517%71.592.2-20.7
41 Kutaisi1010%81.084.0-3.0
42 Szombathely1010%79.083.0-4.0
43 Basketball Braunschweig1010%74.081.0-7.0
44 CSM Oradea1010%71.079.0-8.0
45 Rilski Sportist1010%84.093.0-9.0
46 Oostende6060%81.092.7-11.7
47 Pelister1010%87.099.0-12.0
48 Studentski Centar1010%67.079.0-12.0
49 Trepca1010%68.080.0-12.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%89.0103.0-14.0
51 Lublin1010%84.0100.0-16.0
52 AEK Larnaca1010%69.090.0-21.0
53 Fribourg Olympic1010%80.0107.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 53 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Unicaja912222265
AEK Athens1423192278
← all games of the day
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