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AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 84-94
21-22 19-24 24-22 20-26
Position#4
Record16-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#1
Record23-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game79.2
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 26· SUNEL Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · AEK Athens v Olympiacos
20 Dec 2026
AAT v OLY
upcoming
30 May 2026
AAT68
OLY95
25 Apr 2026
AAT84
OLY94
15 May 2025
AAT64
OLY90
03 Nov 2024
AAT77
OLY96
18 May 2024
AAT68
OLY100
07 Jan 2024
AAT80
OLY92
09 Apr 2023
AAT78
OLY85
29 Jan 2022
AAT74
OLY80
20 Apr 2019
AAT67
OLY76
10 Dec 2017
AAT66
OLY62
13 Mar 2017
AAT63
OLY70
03 Nov 2014
AAT62
OLY81
29 Jan 2011
AAT74
OLY79
03 Jan 2010
AAT91
OLY96
18 Feb 2009
AAT75
OLY95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Tofas
#27
W
96-88
96
88
+8
91avg 79
H11/03
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
78-103
78
103
-25
68avg 79
A15/03
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#11
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
90avg 79
A18/03
Champions League
Iraklis
#8
W
100-87
100
87
+13
101avg 79
H22/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
64-74
64
74
-10
54avg 79
H28/03
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 79
H01/04
Champions League
Aris
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
73avg 79
A04/04
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
66-88
66
88
-22
58avg 79
A07/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
66avg 79
H15/04
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
71-57
71
57
+14
72avg 79
A19/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
30-33
23-17
24-20
31-18
21-37
15-24
11-24
28-19
24-27
12-16
15-17
30-26
24-29
25-17
21-15
14-16
14-19
10-26
26-13
16-24
18-23
30-14
23-23
21-22
18-22
18-24
21-14
13-27
18-26
24-19
11-16
20-18
14-22
16-15
22-12
21-7
17-22
21-13
12-15
162.3Avg total
80.5Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.678.7162.3+4.870%
Season at home (11)84.278.0162.2+6.273%
Season away (12)83.079.4162.4+3.667%
Last 10 (10)80.581.8162.3-1.360%
Last 5 (5)74.875.6150.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)78.0101.3179.3-23.30%
vs Similar (10)79.478.8158.2+0.660%
vs Weaker (17)89.777.1166.8+12.694%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
W
104-87
104
87
+17
105avg 90
H17/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
W
90-80
90
80
+10
92avg 90
H19/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
84-85
84
85
-1
81avg 90
A24/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
101-94
101
94
+7
98avg 90
A30/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
82-74
82
74
+8
90avg 90
A03/04
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
109-83
109
83
+26
111avg 90
H05/04
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
W
102-88
102
88
+14
107avg 90
H07/04
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
89-85
89
85
+4
89avg 90
A09/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
85-76
85
76
+9
83avg 90
H16/04
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
92-81
92
81
+11
99avg 90
H19/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
25-17
26-21
30-20
19-24
22-16
28-22
21-18
23-25
27-17
19-25
15-18
30-21
30-23
20-30
21-20
25-24
22-15
14-19
21-16
17-20
37-27
31-12
24-24
31-19
18-23
23-15
30-31
22-18
29-30
22-19
16-18
26-23
21-22
21-10
17-21
15-23
25-17
31-18
21-23
177.1Avg total
93.8Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)97.479.2176.6+18.3100%
Season at home (12)98.182.0180.1+16.1100%
Season away (11)96.776.1172.8+20.6100%
Last 10 (10)93.883.3177.1+10.590%
Last 5 (5)95.482.6178.0+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)93.086.5179.5+6.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)95.281.6176.9+13.689%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
AEK AthensOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#27
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H11/03
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A15/03
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#11
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A18/03
Champions League
Iraklis
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H22/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H28/03
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H01/04
Champions League
Aris
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/04
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A07/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H15/04
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A19/04
Basket League
86.6Avg total
41.1Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.584.6-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.843.484.2-2.738%-
Last 30 away (14)43.641.485.0+2.164%-
Last 10 (10)41.145.586.6-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)35.242.677.8-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)38.757.095.7-18.30%-
vs Similar (10)37.441.378.7-3.940%-
vs Weaker (17)45.440.686.1+4.865%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H17/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H19/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A24/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
60-44
60
44
+16
A30/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A03/04
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H05/04
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H07/04
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A09/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H16/04
Euroleague
Aris
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H19/04
Basket League
92.0Avg total
48.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.240.788.9+7.587%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.139.888.8+9.394%-
Last 30 away (14)47.241.788.9+5.579%-
Last 10 (10)48.743.392.0+5.490%-
Last 5 (5)48.244.492.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)49.542.091.5+7.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)48.140.688.7+7.586%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.8
53.1%
54.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.6
33.5%
34.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws25.018.1
72.4%
74.4%18.1
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws4.1 pts a game · 6% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers16.416.3
99.4%
54.1%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.7
38.1%
34.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws5.74.1
71.9%
74.4%4.1
They take 44.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 63% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WWLLWLWWLW
Olympiacos
WWWWWWWLWW
#4
League position
#1
-1.5
Net rating
+7.4
95.3
Offensive rating
50.8
96.9
Defensive rating
43.4
52.0%
Effective FG%
72.7%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
65.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
20.6%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.13
33.5%
3-point %
38.1%
57.7%
Assist %
93.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 50.8Defence96.9 · 43.4Shooting52.0% · 72.7%3-point %33.5% · 38.1%Ball care15.7% · 20.6%Free throws0.42 · 0.13Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
10
Olympiacos wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26APanionios71-57
15/04/26HJoventut Badalona72-67
07/04/26AJoventut Badalona66-88
04/04/26AAris78-82
01/04/26HJoventut Badalona87-84
28/03/26HPeristeri64-74
22/03/26HIraklis100-87
18/03/26AAlba Berlin93-88 OT
15/03/26APanathinaikos78-103
11/03/26HTofas96-88
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26HAris92-81
16/04/26HOlimpia Milano85-76
09/04/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv89-85
07/04/26HReal Madrid102-88
05/04/26HMykonos109-83
03/04/26ALyon-Villeurbanne82-74
30/03/26APanathinaikos101-94
24/03/26AValencia84-85
19/03/26HBaskonia90-80
17/03/26HFenerbahce104-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW70%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %70%73%67%
Points / game83.684.283.0
Allowed / game78.778.079.4
Point differential+4.8+6.2+3.6
Avg total162.3162.2162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olympiacos
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.498.196.7
Allowed / game79.282.076.1
Point differential+18.3+16.1+20.6
Avg total176.6180.1172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%83%82%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos23230100%97.479.2+18.3
2 Panathinaikos2419579%91.177.7+13.4
3 AEK Athens2316770%83.678.7+4.8
4 PAOK2316770%83.380.6+2.7
5 Peristeri24141058%78.979.2-0.3
6 Aris23131057%84.381.7+2.6
7 Mykonos2491538%80.087.4-7.3
8 Iraklis2381535%79.884.0-4.3
9 Kolossos Rhodes2371630%82.085.9-3.9
10 AS Karditsas2371630%79.084.5-5.5
11 Promitheas2371630%83.490.4-7.0
12 Maroussi2361726%85.991.7-5.9
13 Panionios2361726%78.186.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2119242084
Olympiacos2224222694
← all games of the day
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