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AEK Athens vs Iraklis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 100-87
30-26 24-29 25-17 21-15
Position#4
Record14-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#8
Record8-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game82.3
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 22· SUNEL Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · AEK Athens v Iraklis
10 Apr 2027
AAT v IRA
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
AAT100
IRA87
20 Apr 2022
AAT80
IRA74
20 Mar 2021
AAT100
IRA97
07 Mar 2020
AAT86
IRA61
26 Apr 2014
AAT78
IRA69
02 Apr 2011
AAT81
IRA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iraklis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
82avg 80
H28/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
96-83
96
83
+13
97avg 80
H31/01
Basket League
Tofas
#27
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
91avg 80
A03/02
Champions League
Maroussi
#12
W
83-74
83
74
+9
82avg 80
H07/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#32
W
90-62
90
62
+28
90avg 80
A10/02
Champions League
PAOK
#3
W
88-71
88
71
+17
91avg 80
A14/02
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
W
102-85
102
85
+17
96avg 80
H07/03
Basket League
Tofas
#27
W
96-88
96
88
+8
91avg 80
H11/03
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
78-103
78
103
-25
68avg 80
A15/03
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#11
W
93-88 OT
93
88
+5
90avg 80
A18/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
20-20
22-24
24-10
20-31
29-11
22-22
25-19
27-20
15-24
12-14
23-19
23-15
14-26
17-18
29-15
26-19
27-9
18-19
19-15
14-21
23-14
25-20
26-16
24-21
28-17
25-19
25-28
19-18
30-33
23-17
24-20
31-18
21-37
15-24
11-24
28-19
24-27
12-16
15-17
173.1Avg total
90.7Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.779.5164.2+5.274%
Season at home (9)84.777.4162.1+7.278%
Season away (10)84.781.4166.1+3.370%
Last 10 (10)90.782.4173.1+8.390%
Last 5 (5)91.487.0178.4+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.0101.3179.3-23.30%
vs Similar (6)82.278.7160.8+3.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)87.574.4161.9+13.195%
This opponent (Iraklis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraklis
Date
Competition
Peja
#26
W
122-80
122
80
+42
120avg 77
H20/01
ENBL
Mykonos
#7
L
80-83
80
83
-3
75avg 77
A24/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
93-73
93
73
+20
86avg 77
H31/01
Basket League
Olomoucko
#16
W
109-82
109
82
+27
110avg 77
A04/02
ENBL
Peristeri
#6
L
74-92
74
92
-18
61avg 77
A07/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
70-95
70
95
-25
63avg 77
H14/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
76-74
76
74
+2
63avg 77
H08/03
Basket League
Tal Tech
#14
W
76-63
76
63
+13
70avg 77
H11/03
ENBL
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
85-98
85
98
-13
71avg 77
A15/03
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
83avg 77
A18/03
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
26-24
32-20
33-16
22-26
17-19
19-10
22-28
17-22
21-16
21-14
34-21
23-20
21-22
32-18
33-22
13-21
20-21
16-25
25-25
11-23
25-19
20-32
14-21
18-20
10-23
22-16
26-15
24-15
20-10
18-20
14-18
18-26
22-22
20-23
25-27
23-18
16-28
22-19
21-24
169.6Avg total
86.7Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.482.3162.6-1.942%
Season at home (10)78.276.1154.3+2.160%
Season away (9)82.889.1171.9-6.322%
Last 10 (10)86.782.9169.6+3.850%
Last 5 (5)77.883.8161.6-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.785.6164.2-6.922%
vs Similar (13)83.279.4162.6+3.862%
vs Weaker (8)89.673.2162.9+16.488%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
AEK AthensIraklis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#11
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H28/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H31/01
Basket League
Tofas
#27
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A03/02
Champions League
Maroussi
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/02
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#32
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A10/02
Champions League
PAOK
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A14/02
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H07/03
Basket League
Tofas
#27
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H11/03
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A15/03
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#11
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A18/03
Champions League
89.1Avg total
46.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.083.1+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.940.782.6+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)44.439.383.7+5.173%-
Last 10 (10)46.542.689.1+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)48.445.093.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.757.095.7-18.30%-
vs Similar (6)41.339.580.8+1.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.337.782.0+6.676%-
This opponent (Iraklis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peja
#26
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H20/01
ENBL
Mykonos
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A24/01
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H31/01
Basket League
Olomoucko
#16
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/02
ENBL
Peristeri
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A07/02
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H14/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H08/03
Basket League
Tal Tech
#14
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H11/03
ENBL
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/03
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#2
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A18/03
ENBL
81.3Avg total
39.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.980.9+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.637.678.2+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)41.342.383.6-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.581.3-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.878.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.644.382.9-5.822%-
vs Similar (13)40.539.479.8+1.138%-
vs Weaker (8)44.535.980.4+8.6100%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.0
55.0%
54.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.710.1
42.6%
34.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.617.2
76.1%
74.4%17.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iraklistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraklis: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.8
57.4%
54.1%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.7
33.1%
34.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.314.0
65.7%
74.4%14.0
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLWWWWWWWW
Iraklis
LLWWLLWWLW
#4
League position
#8
+8.6
Net rating
+4.3
105.7
Offensive rating
99.1
97.1
Defensive rating
94.8
58.4%
Effective FG%
54.0%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
42.6%
3-point %
33.1%
66.2%
Assist %
66.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 99.1Defence97.1 · 94.8Shooting58.4% · 54.0%3-point %42.6% · 33.1%Ball care14.5% · 13.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Iraklis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
AEK Athens wins
1
Iraklis wins
DateGameScore
25/10/25Iraklis v AEK Athens61-82
20/04/22AEK Athens v Iraklis80-74
11/12/21Iraklis v AEK Athens86-74
20/03/21AEK Athens v Iraklis100-97 OT
12/12/20Iraklis v AEK Athens72-79
07/03/20AEK Athens v Iraklis86-61
16/11/19Iraklis v AEK Athens68-77
26/04/14AEK Athens v Iraklis78-69
11/01/14Iraklis v AEK Athens51-73
02/04/11AEK Athens v Iraklis81-74
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/26AAlba Berlin93-88 OT
15/03/26APanathinaikos78-103
11/03/26HTofas96-88
07/03/26HPromitheas102-85
14/02/26APAOK88-71
10/02/26AAS Karditsas90-62
07/02/26HMaroussi83-74
03/02/26ATofas93-90 OT
31/01/26HKolossos Rhodes96-83
28/01/26HAlba Berlin88-80
Iraklislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/26ADziki Warszawa82-89
15/03/26AKolossos Rhodes85-98
11/03/26HTal Tech76-63
08/03/26HPanathinaikos76-74
14/02/26HOlympiacos70-95
07/02/26APeristeri74-92
04/02/26AOlomoucko109-82
31/01/26HAS Karditsas93-73
24/01/26AMykonos80-83
20/01/26HPeja122-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL74%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%78%70%
Points / game84.784.784.7
Allowed / game79.577.481.4
Point differential+5.2+7.2+3.3
Avg total164.2162.1166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iraklis
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeWWWLW60%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%60%22%
Points / game80.478.282.8
Allowed / game82.376.189.1
Point differential-1.9+2.1-6.3
Avg total162.6154.3171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos20200100%97.078.2+18.8
2 Panathinaikos2016480%90.877.8+12.9
3 AEK Athens1914574%84.779.5+5.2
4 Aris1811761%84.980.7+4.2
5 PAOK1811761%81.181.0+0.1
6 Peristeri2011955%78.379.4-1.1
7 Iraklis1981142%80.482.3-1.9
8 Mykonos2081240%79.285.2-6.0
9 Kolossos Rhodes2071335%81.084.2-3.3
10 Promitheas2071335%85.389.4-4.0
11 Panionios1951426%78.787.5-8.7
12 AS Karditsas2051525%77.385.0-7.6
13 Maroussi2141719%84.692.6-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens30242521100
Iraklis2629171587
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