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Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-75
24-18 19-19 24-25 13-13
Position#1
Record7-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#3
Record8-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game70.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 11
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Panathinaikos v AEK Athens
24 Jan 2027
PAO v AAT
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
PAO103
AAT78
21 Oct 2024
PAO94
AAT74
15 Feb 2024
PAO79
AAT72
20 Nov 2023
PAO86
AAT85
11 Dec 2022
PAO71
AAT57
13 Nov 2021
PAO100
AAT75
23 May 2021
PAO94
AAT83
19 May 2021
PAO78
AAT72
10 Jan 2021
PAO80
AAT75
28 Sep 2019
PAO89
AAT68
23 Dec 2018
PAO111
AAT79
11 May 2018
PAO115
AAT85
18 May 2017
PAO81
AAT72
11 May 2017
PAO80
AAT70
11 Dec 2016
PAO77
AAT68
26 Oct 2014
PAO92
AAT58
06 Apr 2011
PAO111
AAT70
25 Apr 2010
PAO91
AAT62
11 Jan 2009
PAO86
AAT82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H11/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H13/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#7
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
H15/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H17/12
Euroleague
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A20/12
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A22/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#10
W
106-74
106
74
+32
H27/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A30/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#2
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A03/01
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H07/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
21-19
17-17
19-21
13-14
23-17
20-11
20-15
15-14
14-19
19-23
20-12
25-18
14-14
27-20
26-17
19-12
18-16
18-19
18-19
12-21
18-20
22-18
29-30
31-22
21-27
31-15
23-10
15-22
22-26
9-9
25-17
19-9
23-22
17-33
23-28
16-26
19-21
19-29
23-13
160.8Avg total
82.0Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.967.0150.9+16.988%
Season at home (5)87.465.0152.4+22.4100%
Season away (3)78.070.3148.3+7.767%
Last 10 (10)82.078.8160.8+3.240%
Last 5 (5)83.483.6167.0-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.988.1170.0-6.222%
vs Similar (8)77.680.8158.4-3.125%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.269.9158.2+18.392%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#21
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H11/11
Champions League
Cholet
#28
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H17/11
Champions League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
87-66
87
66
+21
A21/11
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H05/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A12/12
Basket League
Cholet
#28
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A15/12
Champions League
Aris
#9
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H20/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A27/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H02/01
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A05/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
31-17
22-20
26-10
21-20
22-17
18-21
22-23
32-17
24-20
12-13
19-16
24-26
28-19
15-16
18-23
11-14
26-17
19-13
23-28
17-24
26-16
16-18
11-21
15-16
27-15
21-17
21-19
13-20
22-18
19-20
16-20
19-25
32-22
21-14
17-11
19-18
13-20
21-17
18-22
155.8Avg total
81.3Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.970.8151.7+10.189%
Season at home (4)86.272.8159.0+13.5100%
Season away (5)76.669.2145.8+7.480%
Last 10 (10)81.374.5155.8+6.870%
Last 5 (5)76.874.6151.4+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)87.091.3178.3-4.333%
vs Similar (7)80.979.0159.9+1.957%
vs Weaker (20)82.871.2154.1+11.6100%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +7.0+7.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
PanathinaikosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H11/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H13/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#7
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H15/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H17/12
Euroleague
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A20/12
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A22/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#10
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H27/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A03/01
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H07/01
Euroleague
75.3Avg total
37.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.978.3+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.737.077.7+3.762%-
Last 30 away (14)39.939.078.9+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.375.3-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.282.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.241.278.4-4.022%-
vs Similar (8)35.440.575.9-5.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.534.179.6+11.592%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minsk
#21
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H11/11
Champions League
Cholet
#28
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H17/11
Champions League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
56-37
56
37
+19
A21/11
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H05/12
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A12/12
Basket League
Cholet
#28
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A15/12
Champions League
Aris
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H20/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A27/12
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H02/01
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A05/01
Champions League
82.1Avg total
43.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.738.381.0+4.477%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.541.186.7+4.473%-
Last 30 away (15)39.935.575.3+4.480%-
Last 10 (10)43.838.382.1+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.879.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)51.046.797.7+4.3100%-
vs Similar (7)41.140.081.1+1.157%-
vs Weaker (20)42.036.578.5+5.580%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.3
54.0%
51.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.5
36.0%
35.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.014.7
81.7%
74.2%14.7
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.4
53.2%
51.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.9
35.0%
35.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.514.9
72.7%
74.2%14.9
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LLLWLWWLWL
AEK Athens
LWLWLWWWWW
#1
League position
#3
+8.6
Net rating
+9.6
111.3
Offensive rating
110.9
102.6
Defensive rating
101.2
54.0%
Effective FG%
53.0%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
17.7%
Turnover %
16.1%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.0%
3-point %
35.0%
66.9%
Assist %
59.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 110.9Defence102.6 · 101.2Shooting54.0% · 53.0%3-point %36.0% · 35.0%Ball care17.7% · 16.1%Off. rebounds28.7% · 28.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Panathinaikos wins
2
AEK Athens wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/21HZenit Petersburg77-89
03/01/21ALavrio82-92
30/12/20ACrvena zvezda71-74
27/12/20HIraklis106-74
22/12/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv81-89
20/12/20AHarilaos Trikoupis73-66
17/12/20HAlba Berlin92-69
15/12/20HReal Madrid93-97 OT
13/12/20HPeristeri76-57
11/12/20HZalgiris Kaunas69-81
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/21AHapoel Holon71-77
02/01/21HKolossos Rhodes89-72
27/12/20ALavrio70-78
20/12/20HAris84-67
15/12/20ACholet70-79
12/12/20AIraklis79-72
05/12/20HPAOK85-84
21/11/20AHarilaos Trikoupis87-66
17/11/20HCholet83-81
11/11/20HMinsk95-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game83.987.478.0
Allowed / game67.065.070.3
Point differential+16.9+22.4+7.7
Avg total150.9152.4148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game80.986.276.6
Allowed / game70.872.869.2
Point differential+10.1+13.5+7.4
Avg total151.7159.0145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Athens98189%80.970.8+10.1
2 Panathinaikos87188%83.967.0+16.9
3 Lavrio96367%79.174.9+4.2
4 Peristeri117464%73.873.6+0.2
5 Promitheas85362%80.176.6+3.5
6 PAOK115645%79.281.1-1.9
7 Iraklis115645%70.575.4-4.9
8 Kolossos Rhodes114736%77.075.8+1.2
9 Ionikos114736%75.479.5-4.1
10 Larisa103730%76.181.6-5.5
11 Aris103730%74.480.2-5.8
12 Harilaos Trikoupis113827%72.579.3-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2419241380
AEK Athens1819251375
← all games of the day
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